Northern Eurasia glacier response to global climate change (scientific note)
One way to predict climate change in the future is reconstruction of former climates. This approach is called the method of paleoanalogues. In this paper the climatic reconstructions for Holocene optimum (scenario 1) and Eemian Interglacial (scenario 2) are used as paleoanalogues of possible future...
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Institute of Geography, Russian Academy of Sciences/Institute of Geography, Russian Academy of Sciences/Institute of Geography, Russian Academy of Sciences
2001
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ftnipr:oai:nipr.repo.nii.ac.jp:00002373 2023-05-15T14:57:48+02:00 Northern Eurasia glacier response to global climate change (scientific note) Kononov,Yuriy Ananicheva,Maria Davidovich, Natalia 2001-03 https://nipr.repo.nii.ac.jp/?action=repository_uri&item_id=2373 http://id.nii.ac.jp/1291/00002373/ https://nipr.repo.nii.ac.jp/?action=repository_action_common_download&item_id=2373&item_no=1&attribute_id=18&file_no=1 en eng Institute of Geography, Russian Academy of Sciences/Institute of Geography, Russian Academy of Sciences/Institute of Geography, Russian Academy of Sciences https://nipr.repo.nii.ac.jp/?action=repository_uri&item_id=2373 http://id.nii.ac.jp/1291/00002373/ AA00733561 Memoirs of National Institute of Polar Research. Special issue, 54, 183-191(2001-03) https://nipr.repo.nii.ac.jp/?action=repository_action_common_download&item_id=2373&item_no=1&attribute_id=18&file_no=1 Departmental Bulletin Paper P(論文) 2001 ftnipr 2022-11-12T19:43:08Z One way to predict climate change in the future is reconstruction of former climates. This approach is called the method of paleoanalogues. In this paper the climatic reconstructions for Holocene optimum (scenario 1) and Eemian Interglacial (scenario 2) are used as paleoanalogues of possible future climate warming. Two techniques worked out by authors have been applied to calculate the change of the equilibrium line altitude (ELA) : (1) based on calculations of ablation and accumulation on the Novaya Zemlya ice cap (the insufficient paleodata situation) and (2) on the other ice caps of the Eurasian Arctic (the insufficient paleodata situation). The latter involves the term "lower bottom of chionosphere" which under some assumptions is transformed into the ELA of each ice cap under climatic conditions of the Holocene and Eemian Interglacials. According to these scenarios, the greatest changes of air temperature will be in the Arctic. For example, under global warming appropriate to scenario 1,the mean summer temperature in the Novaya Zemlya archipelago will rise by 4℃; according to scenario 2-by 8℃. By both scenarios the archipelagoes of Franz Joseph Land. Novaya Zemlya and Severnaya Zemlya will undergo the greatest warming in Northern Hemisphere. Annual precipitation will also reach maximum increase in this region (+100mm under scenario 1 and +200mm under scenario 2 in comparison with present values). Report Arctic Climate change Franz Joseph Land Global warming Ice cap Memoirs of National Institute of Polar Research Novaya Zemlya Polar Research Severnaya Zemlya National Institute of Polar Research Repository, Japan Arctic Ela ENVELOPE(9.642,9.642,63.170,63.170) Severnaya Zemlya ENVELOPE(98.000,98.000,79.500,79.500) |
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Open Polar |
collection |
National Institute of Polar Research Repository, Japan |
op_collection_id |
ftnipr |
language |
English |
description |
One way to predict climate change in the future is reconstruction of former climates. This approach is called the method of paleoanalogues. In this paper the climatic reconstructions for Holocene optimum (scenario 1) and Eemian Interglacial (scenario 2) are used as paleoanalogues of possible future climate warming. Two techniques worked out by authors have been applied to calculate the change of the equilibrium line altitude (ELA) : (1) based on calculations of ablation and accumulation on the Novaya Zemlya ice cap (the insufficient paleodata situation) and (2) on the other ice caps of the Eurasian Arctic (the insufficient paleodata situation). The latter involves the term "lower bottom of chionosphere" which under some assumptions is transformed into the ELA of each ice cap under climatic conditions of the Holocene and Eemian Interglacials. According to these scenarios, the greatest changes of air temperature will be in the Arctic. For example, under global warming appropriate to scenario 1,the mean summer temperature in the Novaya Zemlya archipelago will rise by 4℃; according to scenario 2-by 8℃. By both scenarios the archipelagoes of Franz Joseph Land. Novaya Zemlya and Severnaya Zemlya will undergo the greatest warming in Northern Hemisphere. Annual precipitation will also reach maximum increase in this region (+100mm under scenario 1 and +200mm under scenario 2 in comparison with present values). |
format |
Report |
author |
Kononov,Yuriy Ananicheva,Maria Davidovich, Natalia |
spellingShingle |
Kononov,Yuriy Ananicheva,Maria Davidovich, Natalia Northern Eurasia glacier response to global climate change (scientific note) |
author_facet |
Kononov,Yuriy Ananicheva,Maria Davidovich, Natalia |
author_sort |
Kononov,Yuriy |
title |
Northern Eurasia glacier response to global climate change (scientific note) |
title_short |
Northern Eurasia glacier response to global climate change (scientific note) |
title_full |
Northern Eurasia glacier response to global climate change (scientific note) |
title_fullStr |
Northern Eurasia glacier response to global climate change (scientific note) |
title_full_unstemmed |
Northern Eurasia glacier response to global climate change (scientific note) |
title_sort |
northern eurasia glacier response to global climate change (scientific note) |
publisher |
Institute of Geography, Russian Academy of Sciences/Institute of Geography, Russian Academy of Sciences/Institute of Geography, Russian Academy of Sciences |
publishDate |
2001 |
url |
https://nipr.repo.nii.ac.jp/?action=repository_uri&item_id=2373 http://id.nii.ac.jp/1291/00002373/ https://nipr.repo.nii.ac.jp/?action=repository_action_common_download&item_id=2373&item_no=1&attribute_id=18&file_no=1 |
long_lat |
ENVELOPE(9.642,9.642,63.170,63.170) ENVELOPE(98.000,98.000,79.500,79.500) |
geographic |
Arctic Ela Severnaya Zemlya |
geographic_facet |
Arctic Ela Severnaya Zemlya |
genre |
Arctic Climate change Franz Joseph Land Global warming Ice cap Memoirs of National Institute of Polar Research Novaya Zemlya Polar Research Severnaya Zemlya |
genre_facet |
Arctic Climate change Franz Joseph Land Global warming Ice cap Memoirs of National Institute of Polar Research Novaya Zemlya Polar Research Severnaya Zemlya |
op_relation |
https://nipr.repo.nii.ac.jp/?action=repository_uri&item_id=2373 http://id.nii.ac.jp/1291/00002373/ AA00733561 Memoirs of National Institute of Polar Research. Special issue, 54, 183-191(2001-03) https://nipr.repo.nii.ac.jp/?action=repository_action_common_download&item_id=2373&item_no=1&attribute_id=18&file_no=1 |
_version_ |
1766329909651701760 |