Future risk for Southern Ocean ecosystem services under climate change
The Southern Ocean supports ecosystem services that are important on a global scale. Climate change and human activities (tourism, fishing, and research) will affect both the demand for, and the provision of, these services into the future. Here we synthesize recent assessments of the current status...
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ftnerc:oai:nora.nerc.ac.uk:528672 2023-05-15T13:41:45+02:00 Future risk for Southern Ocean ecosystem services under climate change Cavanagh, Rachel D. Melbourne-Thomas, Jess Grant, Susie M. Barnes, David K.A. Hughes, Kevin A. Halfter, Svenja Meredith, Michael P. Murphy, Eugene J. Trebilco, Rowan Hill, Simeon L. 2021-01-14 text http://nora.nerc.ac.uk/id/eprint/528672/ https://nora.nerc.ac.uk/id/eprint/528672/1/fmars-07-615214.pdf https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmars.2020.615214/ en eng Frontiers Media S.A. https://nora.nerc.ac.uk/id/eprint/528672/1/fmars-07-615214.pdf Cavanagh, Rachel D. orcid:0000-0002-2474-9716 Melbourne-Thomas, Jess; Grant, Susie M.; Barnes, David K.A. orcid:0000-0002-9076-7867 Hughes, Kevin A. orcid:0000-0003-2701-726X Halfter, Svenja; Meredith, Michael P. orcid:0000-0002-7342-7756 Murphy, Eugene J. orcid:0000-0002-7369-9196 Trebilco, Rowan; Hill, Simeon L. orcid:0000-0003-1441-8769 . 2021 Future risk for Southern Ocean ecosystem services under climate change. Frontiers in Marine Science, 7, 615214. 21, pp. https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2020.615214 <https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2020.615214> cc_by_4 CC-BY Publication - Article PeerReviewed 2021 ftnerc https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2020.615214 2023-02-04T19:51:10Z The Southern Ocean supports ecosystem services that are important on a global scale. Climate change and human activities (tourism, fishing, and research) will affect both the demand for, and the provision of, these services into the future. Here we synthesize recent assessments of the current status and expected future climate-driven changes in Southern Ocean ecosystems and evaluate the potential consequences of these changes for the provision of ecosystem services. We explore in detail three key services (the ‘blue carbon’ pathway, the Antarctic krill fishery, and Antarctic tourism), tracing the consequences of climate change from physical drivers through biological impacts to the benefits to humans. We consider potential non-climatic drivers of change, current and future demands for the services, and the main global and regional policy frameworks that could be used to manage risks to the provision of these services in a changing climate. We also develop a formal representation of the network of interactions between the suite of potential drivers and the suite of services, providing a framework to capture the complexity of this network and its embedded feedback loops. Increased consideration of the linkages and feedbacks between drivers and ecosystem services will be required to underpin robust management responses into the future. Article in Journal/Newspaper Antarc* Antarctic Antarctic Krill Southern Ocean Natural Environment Research Council: NERC Open Research Archive Antarctic Southern Ocean The Antarctic Frontiers in Marine Science 7 |
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Open Polar |
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Natural Environment Research Council: NERC Open Research Archive |
op_collection_id |
ftnerc |
language |
English |
description |
The Southern Ocean supports ecosystem services that are important on a global scale. Climate change and human activities (tourism, fishing, and research) will affect both the demand for, and the provision of, these services into the future. Here we synthesize recent assessments of the current status and expected future climate-driven changes in Southern Ocean ecosystems and evaluate the potential consequences of these changes for the provision of ecosystem services. We explore in detail three key services (the ‘blue carbon’ pathway, the Antarctic krill fishery, and Antarctic tourism), tracing the consequences of climate change from physical drivers through biological impacts to the benefits to humans. We consider potential non-climatic drivers of change, current and future demands for the services, and the main global and regional policy frameworks that could be used to manage risks to the provision of these services in a changing climate. We also develop a formal representation of the network of interactions between the suite of potential drivers and the suite of services, providing a framework to capture the complexity of this network and its embedded feedback loops. Increased consideration of the linkages and feedbacks between drivers and ecosystem services will be required to underpin robust management responses into the future. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Cavanagh, Rachel D. Melbourne-Thomas, Jess Grant, Susie M. Barnes, David K.A. Hughes, Kevin A. Halfter, Svenja Meredith, Michael P. Murphy, Eugene J. Trebilco, Rowan Hill, Simeon L. |
spellingShingle |
Cavanagh, Rachel D. Melbourne-Thomas, Jess Grant, Susie M. Barnes, David K.A. Hughes, Kevin A. Halfter, Svenja Meredith, Michael P. Murphy, Eugene J. Trebilco, Rowan Hill, Simeon L. Future risk for Southern Ocean ecosystem services under climate change |
author_facet |
Cavanagh, Rachel D. Melbourne-Thomas, Jess Grant, Susie M. Barnes, David K.A. Hughes, Kevin A. Halfter, Svenja Meredith, Michael P. Murphy, Eugene J. Trebilco, Rowan Hill, Simeon L. |
author_sort |
Cavanagh, Rachel D. |
title |
Future risk for Southern Ocean ecosystem services under climate change |
title_short |
Future risk for Southern Ocean ecosystem services under climate change |
title_full |
Future risk for Southern Ocean ecosystem services under climate change |
title_fullStr |
Future risk for Southern Ocean ecosystem services under climate change |
title_full_unstemmed |
Future risk for Southern Ocean ecosystem services under climate change |
title_sort |
future risk for southern ocean ecosystem services under climate change |
publisher |
Frontiers Media S.A. |
publishDate |
2021 |
url |
http://nora.nerc.ac.uk/id/eprint/528672/ https://nora.nerc.ac.uk/id/eprint/528672/1/fmars-07-615214.pdf https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmars.2020.615214/ |
geographic |
Antarctic Southern Ocean The Antarctic |
geographic_facet |
Antarctic Southern Ocean The Antarctic |
genre |
Antarc* Antarctic Antarctic Krill Southern Ocean |
genre_facet |
Antarc* Antarctic Antarctic Krill Southern Ocean |
op_relation |
https://nora.nerc.ac.uk/id/eprint/528672/1/fmars-07-615214.pdf Cavanagh, Rachel D. orcid:0000-0002-2474-9716 Melbourne-Thomas, Jess; Grant, Susie M.; Barnes, David K.A. orcid:0000-0002-9076-7867 Hughes, Kevin A. orcid:0000-0003-2701-726X Halfter, Svenja; Meredith, Michael P. orcid:0000-0002-7342-7756 Murphy, Eugene J. orcid:0000-0002-7369-9196 Trebilco, Rowan; Hill, Simeon L. orcid:0000-0003-1441-8769 . 2021 Future risk for Southern Ocean ecosystem services under climate change. Frontiers in Marine Science, 7, 615214. 21, pp. https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2020.615214 <https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2020.615214> |
op_rights |
cc_by_4 |
op_rightsnorm |
CC-BY |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2020.615214 |
container_title |
Frontiers in Marine Science |
container_volume |
7 |
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1766157072484794368 |