On the statistical significance of surface air temperature trends in the Eurasian Arctic region
This study investigates the statistical significance of the trends of station temperature time series from the European Climate Assessment & Data archive poleward of 60°N. The trends are identified by different methods and their significance is assessed by three different null models of climate...
Published in: | Geophysical Research Letters |
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Format: | Article in Journal/Newspaper |
Language: | English |
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American Geophysical Union
2012
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Online Access: | http://nora.nerc.ac.uk/id/eprint/21351/ https://nora.nerc.ac.uk/id/eprint/21351/1/grl29805.pdf https://doi.org/10.1029/2012GL054244 |
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ftnerc:oai:nora.nerc.ac.uk:21351 2023-05-15T14:24:36+02:00 On the statistical significance of surface air temperature trends in the Eurasian Arctic region Franzke, C. 2012 text http://nora.nerc.ac.uk/id/eprint/21351/ https://nora.nerc.ac.uk/id/eprint/21351/1/grl29805.pdf https://doi.org/10.1029/2012GL054244 en eng American Geophysical Union https://nora.nerc.ac.uk/id/eprint/21351/1/grl29805.pdf Franzke, C. 2012 On the statistical significance of surface air temperature trends in the Eurasian Arctic region. Geophysical Research Letters, 39 (23), L23705. 5, pp. https://doi.org/10.1029/2012GL054244 <https://doi.org/10.1029/2012GL054244> Publication - Article PeerReviewed 2012 ftnerc https://doi.org/10.1029/2012GL054244 2023-02-04T19:33:25Z This study investigates the statistical significance of the trends of station temperature time series from the European Climate Assessment & Data archive poleward of 60°N. The trends are identified by different methods and their significance is assessed by three different null models of climate noise. All stations show a warming trend but only 17 out of the 109 considered stations have trends which cannot be explained as arising from intrinsic climate fluctuations when tested against any of the three null models. Out of those 17, only one station exhibits a warming trend which is significant against all three null models. The stations with significant warming trends are located mainly in Scandinavia and Iceland. Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic Arctic Iceland Natural Environment Research Council: NERC Open Research Archive Arctic Geophysical Research Letters 39 23 n/a n/a |
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Open Polar |
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Natural Environment Research Council: NERC Open Research Archive |
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ftnerc |
language |
English |
description |
This study investigates the statistical significance of the trends of station temperature time series from the European Climate Assessment & Data archive poleward of 60°N. The trends are identified by different methods and their significance is assessed by three different null models of climate noise. All stations show a warming trend but only 17 out of the 109 considered stations have trends which cannot be explained as arising from intrinsic climate fluctuations when tested against any of the three null models. Out of those 17, only one station exhibits a warming trend which is significant against all three null models. The stations with significant warming trends are located mainly in Scandinavia and Iceland. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Franzke, C. |
spellingShingle |
Franzke, C. On the statistical significance of surface air temperature trends in the Eurasian Arctic region |
author_facet |
Franzke, C. |
author_sort |
Franzke, C. |
title |
On the statistical significance of surface air temperature trends in the Eurasian Arctic region |
title_short |
On the statistical significance of surface air temperature trends in the Eurasian Arctic region |
title_full |
On the statistical significance of surface air temperature trends in the Eurasian Arctic region |
title_fullStr |
On the statistical significance of surface air temperature trends in the Eurasian Arctic region |
title_full_unstemmed |
On the statistical significance of surface air temperature trends in the Eurasian Arctic region |
title_sort |
on the statistical significance of surface air temperature trends in the eurasian arctic region |
publisher |
American Geophysical Union |
publishDate |
2012 |
url |
http://nora.nerc.ac.uk/id/eprint/21351/ https://nora.nerc.ac.uk/id/eprint/21351/1/grl29805.pdf https://doi.org/10.1029/2012GL054244 |
geographic |
Arctic |
geographic_facet |
Arctic |
genre |
Arctic Arctic Iceland |
genre_facet |
Arctic Arctic Iceland |
op_relation |
https://nora.nerc.ac.uk/id/eprint/21351/1/grl29805.pdf Franzke, C. 2012 On the statistical significance of surface air temperature trends in the Eurasian Arctic region. Geophysical Research Letters, 39 (23), L23705. 5, pp. https://doi.org/10.1029/2012GL054244 <https://doi.org/10.1029/2012GL054244> |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1029/2012GL054244 |
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Geophysical Research Letters |
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39 |
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23 |
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1766297037220872192 |