Mathematical Modeling of Tropical Cyclogenesis in the North Atlantic Basin
Tropical cyclones are dangerous, so it is useful to be able to predict the number that will occur in a given month. Previous studies have identified four environmental factors that can be connected to tropical cyclogenesis: potential intensity, vertical shear, relative humidity, and absolute vortici...
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ftncarolinaatsun:oai:digital.library.ncat.edu:ugresearchsymposia-1189 2023-05-15T17:26:19+02:00 Mathematical Modeling of Tropical Cyclogenesis in the North Atlantic Basin Livengood, Lillian 2019-04-01T07:00:00Z https://digital.library.ncat.edu/ugresearchsymposia/153 unknown Aggie Digital Collections and Scholarship https://digital.library.ncat.edu/ugresearchsymposia/153 Undergraduate Research and Creative Inquiry Symposia predicting tropical cyclogenesis environmental factors North Atlantic Mathematics text 2019 ftncarolinaatsun 2022-09-03T17:25:14Z Tropical cyclones are dangerous, so it is useful to be able to predict the number that will occur in a given month. Previous studies have identified four environmental factors that can be connected to tropical cyclogenesis: potential intensity, vertical shear, relative humidity, and absolute vorticity. Here, we use two different approaches in our attempt to find a mathematical model to predict the number of tropical cyclones that form in the North Atlantic Basin. First, we assist Ph.D. student Justin Riley, supervised by Dr. Yuh-Lang Lin of the Department of Physics and the Department of Environmental & Energy Systems at NC A&T, in his research on a genesis potential index to predict monthly variation in tropical cyclogenesis. Second, we attempt to develop a statistical model relating Justin's data on the four environmental factors to the National Hurricane Center's data on the number of tropical cyclones that formed each month from 1979 to 2011 in the North Atlantic Basin. The findings of our study will help us better forecast the number of tropical cyclones that may form each month in the North Atlantic Basin. Text North Atlantic North Carolina Agricultural and Technical State University: NC A&T SU Bluford Library's Aggie Digital Collections and Scholarship Riley ENVELOPE(-147.617,-147.617,-86.183,-86.183) |
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Open Polar |
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North Carolina Agricultural and Technical State University: NC A&T SU Bluford Library's Aggie Digital Collections and Scholarship |
op_collection_id |
ftncarolinaatsun |
language |
unknown |
topic |
predicting tropical cyclogenesis environmental factors North Atlantic Mathematics |
spellingShingle |
predicting tropical cyclogenesis environmental factors North Atlantic Mathematics Livengood, Lillian Mathematical Modeling of Tropical Cyclogenesis in the North Atlantic Basin |
topic_facet |
predicting tropical cyclogenesis environmental factors North Atlantic Mathematics |
description |
Tropical cyclones are dangerous, so it is useful to be able to predict the number that will occur in a given month. Previous studies have identified four environmental factors that can be connected to tropical cyclogenesis: potential intensity, vertical shear, relative humidity, and absolute vorticity. Here, we use two different approaches in our attempt to find a mathematical model to predict the number of tropical cyclones that form in the North Atlantic Basin. First, we assist Ph.D. student Justin Riley, supervised by Dr. Yuh-Lang Lin of the Department of Physics and the Department of Environmental & Energy Systems at NC A&T, in his research on a genesis potential index to predict monthly variation in tropical cyclogenesis. Second, we attempt to develop a statistical model relating Justin's data on the four environmental factors to the National Hurricane Center's data on the number of tropical cyclones that formed each month from 1979 to 2011 in the North Atlantic Basin. The findings of our study will help us better forecast the number of tropical cyclones that may form each month in the North Atlantic Basin. |
format |
Text |
author |
Livengood, Lillian |
author_facet |
Livengood, Lillian |
author_sort |
Livengood, Lillian |
title |
Mathematical Modeling of Tropical Cyclogenesis in the North Atlantic Basin |
title_short |
Mathematical Modeling of Tropical Cyclogenesis in the North Atlantic Basin |
title_full |
Mathematical Modeling of Tropical Cyclogenesis in the North Atlantic Basin |
title_fullStr |
Mathematical Modeling of Tropical Cyclogenesis in the North Atlantic Basin |
title_full_unstemmed |
Mathematical Modeling of Tropical Cyclogenesis in the North Atlantic Basin |
title_sort |
mathematical modeling of tropical cyclogenesis in the north atlantic basin |
publisher |
Aggie Digital Collections and Scholarship |
publishDate |
2019 |
url |
https://digital.library.ncat.edu/ugresearchsymposia/153 |
long_lat |
ENVELOPE(-147.617,-147.617,-86.183,-86.183) |
geographic |
Riley |
geographic_facet |
Riley |
genre |
North Atlantic |
genre_facet |
North Atlantic |
op_source |
Undergraduate Research and Creative Inquiry Symposia |
op_relation |
https://digital.library.ncat.edu/ugresearchsymposia/153 |
_version_ |
1766117949428465664 |