Potential predictability during a Madden–Julian oscillation event

The Madden-Julian oscillation (MJO) is an important source of predictability. The boreal 2004/05 winter is used as a case study to conduct predictability experiments with the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model. That winter season was characterized by an MJO event, weak El Nino, strong Nort...

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Published in:Journal of Climate
Other Authors: Jones, Charles (author), Dudhia, Jimy (author)
Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
Language:English
Published: 2017
Subjects:
North Atlantic
North Atlantic oscillation
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0634.1
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spelling ftncar:oai:drupal-site.org:articles_20841 2023-09-05T13:21:29+02:00 Potential predictability during a Madden–Julian oscillation event Jones, Charles (author) Dudhia, Jimy (author) 2017-07 https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0634.1 en eng Journal of Climate--J. Climate--0894-8755--1520-0442 articles:20841 ark:/85065/d7pz5c7k doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0634.1 Copyright 2017 American Meteorological Society (AMS). Permission to use figures, tables, and brief excerpts from this work in scientific and educational works is hereby granted provided that the source is acknowledged. Any use of material in this work that is determined to be "fair use" under Section 107 or that satisfies the conditions specified in Section 108 of the U.S. Copyright Law (17 USC, as revised by P.L. 94-553) does not require the Society's permission. Republication, systematic reproduction, posting in electronic form on servers, or other uses of this material, except as exempted by the above statements, requires written permission or license from the AMS. Additional details are provided in the AMS Copyright Policies, available from the AMS at 617-227-2425 or amspubs@ametsoc.org. Permission to place a copy of this work on this server has been provided by the AMS. The AMS does not guarantee that the copy provided here is an accurate copy of the published work. article Text 2017 ftncar https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0634.1 2023-08-14T18:45:47Z The Madden-Julian oscillation (MJO) is an important source of predictability. The boreal 2004/05 winter is used as a case study to conduct predictability experiments with the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model. That winter season was characterized by an MJO event, weak El Nino, strong North Atlantic Oscillation, and extremely wet conditions over the contiguous United States (CONUS). The issues investigated are as follows: 1) growth of forecast errors in the tropics relative to the extratropics, 2) propagation of forecast errors from the tropics to the extratropics, 3) forecast error growth on spatial scales associated with MJO and non-MJO variability, and 4) the relative importance of MJO and non-MJO tropical variability on predictability of precipitation over CONUS. Article in Journal/Newspaper North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation OpenSky (NCAR/UCAR - National Center for Atmospheric Research/University Corporation for Atmospheric Research) Journal of Climate 30 14 5345 5360
institution Open Polar
collection OpenSky (NCAR/UCAR - National Center for Atmospheric Research/University Corporation for Atmospheric Research)
op_collection_id ftncar
language English
description The Madden-Julian oscillation (MJO) is an important source of predictability. The boreal 2004/05 winter is used as a case study to conduct predictability experiments with the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model. That winter season was characterized by an MJO event, weak El Nino, strong North Atlantic Oscillation, and extremely wet conditions over the contiguous United States (CONUS). The issues investigated are as follows: 1) growth of forecast errors in the tropics relative to the extratropics, 2) propagation of forecast errors from the tropics to the extratropics, 3) forecast error growth on spatial scales associated with MJO and non-MJO variability, and 4) the relative importance of MJO and non-MJO tropical variability on predictability of precipitation over CONUS.
author2 Jones, Charles (author)
Dudhia, Jimy (author)
format Article in Journal/Newspaper
title Potential predictability during a Madden–Julian oscillation event
spellingShingle Potential predictability during a Madden–Julian oscillation event
title_short Potential predictability during a Madden–Julian oscillation event
title_full Potential predictability during a Madden–Julian oscillation event
title_fullStr Potential predictability during a Madden–Julian oscillation event
title_full_unstemmed Potential predictability during a Madden–Julian oscillation event
title_sort potential predictability during a madden–julian oscillation event
publishDate 2017
url https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0634.1
genre North Atlantic
North Atlantic oscillation
genre_facet North Atlantic
North Atlantic oscillation
op_relation Journal of Climate--J. Climate--0894-8755--1520-0442
articles:20841
ark:/85065/d7pz5c7k
doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0634.1
op_rights Copyright 2017 American Meteorological Society (AMS). Permission to use figures, tables, and brief excerpts from this work in scientific and educational works is hereby granted provided that the source is acknowledged. Any use of material in this work that is determined to be "fair use" under Section 107 or that satisfies the conditions specified in Section 108 of the U.S. Copyright Law (17 USC, as revised by P.L. 94-553) does not require the Society's permission. Republication, systematic reproduction, posting in electronic form on servers, or other uses of this material, except as exempted by the above statements, requires written permission or license from the AMS. Additional details are provided in the AMS Copyright Policies, available from the AMS at 617-227-2425 or amspubs@ametsoc.org. Permission to place a copy of this work on this server has been provided by the AMS. The AMS does not guarantee that the copy provided here is an accurate copy of the published work.
op_doi https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0634.1
container_title Journal of Climate
container_volume 30
container_issue 14
container_start_page 5345
op_container_end_page 5360
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