Arctic sea ice simulation in the PlioMIP ensemble
Eight general circulation models have simulated the mid-Pliocene warm period (mid-Pliocene, 3.264 to 3.025 Ma) as part of the Pliocene Modelling Intercomparison Project (PlioMIP). Here, we analyse and compare their simulation of Arctic sea ice for both the pre-industrial period and the mid-Pliocene....
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Format: | Article in Journal/Newspaper |
Language: | English |
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Copernicus Publications
2016
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Online Access: | http://nldr.library.ucar.edu/repository/collections/OSGC-000-000-022-930 https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-12-749-2016 |
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ftncar:oai:drupal-site.org:articles_18478 2023-09-05T13:16:44+02:00 Arctic sea ice simulation in the PlioMIP ensemble Howell, Fergus (author) Haywood, Alan (author) Otto-Bliesner, Bette (author) Bragg, Fran (author) Chan, Wing-Le (author) Chandler, Mark (author) Contoux, Camille (author) Kamae, Youichi (author) Abe-Ouchi, Ayako (author) Rosenbloom, Nan (author) Stepanek, Christian (author) Zhang, Zhongshi (author) 2016-03-23 application/pdf http://nldr.library.ucar.edu/repository/collections/OSGC-000-000-022-930 https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-12-749-2016 en eng Copernicus Publications Climate of the Past articles:18478 ark:/85065/d78c9xv6 http://nldr.library.ucar.edu/repository/collections/OSGC-000-000-022-930 doi:10.5194/cp-12-749-2016 Copyright 2016 Authors. This work is distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License. Text article 2016 ftncar https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-12-749-2016 2023-08-14T18:43:50Z Eight general circulation models have simulated the mid-Pliocene warm period (mid-Pliocene, 3.264 to 3.025 Ma) as part of the Pliocene Modelling Intercomparison Project (PlioMIP). Here, we analyse and compare their simulation of Arctic sea ice for both the pre-industrial period and the mid-Pliocene. Mid-Pliocene sea ice thickness and extent is reduced, and the model spread of extent is more than twice the pre-industrial spread in some summer months. Half of the PlioMIP models simulate ice-free conditions in the mid-Pliocene. This spread amongst the ensemble is in line with the uncertainties amongst proxy reconstructions for mid-Pliocene sea ice extent. Correlations between mid-Pliocene Arctic temperatures and sea ice extents are almost twice as strong as the equivalent correlations for the pre-industrial simulations. The need for more comprehensive sea ice proxy data is highlighted, in order to better compare model performances. Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic Sea ice OpenSky (NCAR/UCAR - National Center for Atmospheric Research/University Corporation for Atmospheric Research) Arctic Climate of the Past 12 3 749 767 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
OpenSky (NCAR/UCAR - National Center for Atmospheric Research/University Corporation for Atmospheric Research) |
op_collection_id |
ftncar |
language |
English |
description |
Eight general circulation models have simulated the mid-Pliocene warm period (mid-Pliocene, 3.264 to 3.025 Ma) as part of the Pliocene Modelling Intercomparison Project (PlioMIP). Here, we analyse and compare their simulation of Arctic sea ice for both the pre-industrial period and the mid-Pliocene. Mid-Pliocene sea ice thickness and extent is reduced, and the model spread of extent is more than twice the pre-industrial spread in some summer months. Half of the PlioMIP models simulate ice-free conditions in the mid-Pliocene. This spread amongst the ensemble is in line with the uncertainties amongst proxy reconstructions for mid-Pliocene sea ice extent. Correlations between mid-Pliocene Arctic temperatures and sea ice extents are almost twice as strong as the equivalent correlations for the pre-industrial simulations. The need for more comprehensive sea ice proxy data is highlighted, in order to better compare model performances. |
author2 |
Howell, Fergus (author) Haywood, Alan (author) Otto-Bliesner, Bette (author) Bragg, Fran (author) Chan, Wing-Le (author) Chandler, Mark (author) Contoux, Camille (author) Kamae, Youichi (author) Abe-Ouchi, Ayako (author) Rosenbloom, Nan (author) Stepanek, Christian (author) Zhang, Zhongshi (author) |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
title |
Arctic sea ice simulation in the PlioMIP ensemble |
spellingShingle |
Arctic sea ice simulation in the PlioMIP ensemble |
title_short |
Arctic sea ice simulation in the PlioMIP ensemble |
title_full |
Arctic sea ice simulation in the PlioMIP ensemble |
title_fullStr |
Arctic sea ice simulation in the PlioMIP ensemble |
title_full_unstemmed |
Arctic sea ice simulation in the PlioMIP ensemble |
title_sort |
arctic sea ice simulation in the pliomip ensemble |
publisher |
Copernicus Publications |
publishDate |
2016 |
url |
http://nldr.library.ucar.edu/repository/collections/OSGC-000-000-022-930 https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-12-749-2016 |
geographic |
Arctic |
geographic_facet |
Arctic |
genre |
Arctic Sea ice |
genre_facet |
Arctic Sea ice |
op_relation |
Climate of the Past articles:18478 ark:/85065/d78c9xv6 http://nldr.library.ucar.edu/repository/collections/OSGC-000-000-022-930 doi:10.5194/cp-12-749-2016 |
op_rights |
Copyright 2016 Authors. This work is distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License. |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-12-749-2016 |
container_title |
Climate of the Past |
container_volume |
12 |
container_issue |
3 |
container_start_page |
749 |
op_container_end_page |
767 |
_version_ |
1776198210063171584 |