How much climate change can be avoided by mitigation?
Avoiding the most serious climate change impacts will require informed policy decisions. This in turn will require information regarding the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions required to stabilize climate in a state not too much warmer than today. A new low emission scenario is simulated in a gl...
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American Geophysical Union
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ftncar:oai:drupal-site.org:articles_17456 2023-09-05T13:17:20+02:00 How much climate change can be avoided by mitigation? Washington, Warren (author) Knutti, R. (author) Meehl, Gerald (author) Teng, Haiyan (author) Tebaldi, Claudia (author) Lawrence, David (author) Buja, Lawrence (author) Strand, W. (author) 2009-04-21 application/pdf http://nldr.library.ucar.edu/repository/collections/OSGC-000-000-001-923 https://doi.org/10.1029/2008GL037074 en eng American Geophysical Union Geophysical Research Letters http://nldr.library.ucar.edu/repository/collections/OSGC-000-000-001-923 doi:10.1029/2008GL037074 ark:/85065/d7xd1308 An edited version of this paper was published by the American Geophysical Union. Copyright 2009 AGU. Text article 2009 ftncar https://doi.org/10.1029/2008GL037074 2023-08-14T18:44:44Z Avoiding the most serious climate change impacts will require informed policy decisions. This in turn will require information regarding the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions required to stabilize climate in a state not too much warmer than today. A new low emission scenario is simulated in a global climate model to show how some of the impacts from climate change can be averted through mitigation. Compared to a nonâ€intervention reference scenario, emission reductions of about 70% by 2100 are required to prevent roughly half the change in temperature and precipitation that would otherwise occur. By 2100, the resulting stabilized global climate would ensure preservation of considerable Arctic sea ice and permafrost areas. Future heat waves would be 55% less intense, and sea level rise from thermal expansion would be about 57% lower than if a nonâ€mitigation scenario was followed. Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic Climate change Ice permafrost Sea ice OpenSky (NCAR/UCAR - National Center for Atmospheric Research/University Corporation for Atmospheric Research) Arctic Geophysical Research Letters 36 8 |
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Open Polar |
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OpenSky (NCAR/UCAR - National Center for Atmospheric Research/University Corporation for Atmospheric Research) |
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ftncar |
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English |
description |
Avoiding the most serious climate change impacts will require informed policy decisions. This in turn will require information regarding the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions required to stabilize climate in a state not too much warmer than today. A new low emission scenario is simulated in a global climate model to show how some of the impacts from climate change can be averted through mitigation. Compared to a nonâ€intervention reference scenario, emission reductions of about 70% by 2100 are required to prevent roughly half the change in temperature and precipitation that would otherwise occur. By 2100, the resulting stabilized global climate would ensure preservation of considerable Arctic sea ice and permafrost areas. Future heat waves would be 55% less intense, and sea level rise from thermal expansion would be about 57% lower than if a nonâ€mitigation scenario was followed. |
author2 |
Washington, Warren (author) Knutti, R. (author) Meehl, Gerald (author) Teng, Haiyan (author) Tebaldi, Claudia (author) Lawrence, David (author) Buja, Lawrence (author) Strand, W. (author) |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
title |
How much climate change can be avoided by mitigation? |
spellingShingle |
How much climate change can be avoided by mitigation? |
title_short |
How much climate change can be avoided by mitigation? |
title_full |
How much climate change can be avoided by mitigation? |
title_fullStr |
How much climate change can be avoided by mitigation? |
title_full_unstemmed |
How much climate change can be avoided by mitigation? |
title_sort |
how much climate change can be avoided by mitigation? |
publisher |
American Geophysical Union |
publishDate |
2009 |
url |
http://nldr.library.ucar.edu/repository/collections/OSGC-000-000-001-923 https://doi.org/10.1029/2008GL037074 |
geographic |
Arctic |
geographic_facet |
Arctic |
genre |
Arctic Climate change Ice permafrost Sea ice |
genre_facet |
Arctic Climate change Ice permafrost Sea ice |
op_relation |
Geophysical Research Letters http://nldr.library.ucar.edu/repository/collections/OSGC-000-000-001-923 doi:10.1029/2008GL037074 ark:/85065/d7xd1308 |
op_rights |
An edited version of this paper was published by the American Geophysical Union. Copyright 2009 AGU. |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1029/2008GL037074 |
container_title |
Geophysical Research Letters |
container_volume |
36 |
container_issue |
8 |
_version_ |
1776198547919601664 |