Assessing and understanding the impact of stratospheric dynamics and variability on the earth system
Advances in weather and climate research have demonstrated the role of the stratosphere in the Earth system across a wide range of temporal and spatial scales. Stratospheric ozone loss has been identified as a key driver of Southern Hemisphere tropospheric circulation trends, affecting ocean current...
Published in: | Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society |
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Language: | English |
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Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00145.1 http://n2t.net/ark:/85065/d7g161gs |
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Advances in weather and climate research have demonstrated the role of the stratosphere in the Earth system across a wide range of temporal and spatial scales. Stratospheric ozone loss has been identified as a key driver of Southern Hemisphere tropospheric circulation trends, affecting ocean currents and carbon uptake, sea ice, and possibly even the Antarctic ice sheets. Stratospheric variability has also been shown to affect short-term and seasonal forecasts, connecting the tropics and midlatitudes and guiding storm-track dynamics. The two-way interactions between the stratosphere and the Earth system have motivated the World Climate Research Programme's (WCRP) Stratospheric Processes and their Role in Climate's (SPARC) activity on Modelling the Dynamics and Variability of the Stratosphere-Troposphere System (DynVar) to investigate the impact of stratospheric dynamics and variability on climate. This assessment will be made possible by two new multimodel datasets. First, roughly 10 models with a well-resolved stratosphere are participating in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 (CMIP5), providing the first multimodel ensemble of climate simulations coupled from the stratopause to the sea floor. Second, the Stratosphere Resolving Historical Forecast Project (Strat-HFP) of WCRP's Climate Variability and Predictability (CLIVAR) program is forming a multimodel set of seasonal hind-casts with stratosphere-resolving models, revealing the impact of both stratospheric initial conditions and dynamics on intraseasonal prediction. The CMIP5 and Strat-HFP model datasets will offer an unprecedented opportunity to understand the role of the stratosphere in the natural and forced variability of the Earth system and to determine whether incorporating knowledge of the middle atmosphere improves seasonal forecasts and climate projections. |
author2 |
Gerber, Edwin (Edwin P. Gerber) (authoraut) Butler, Amy (Amy Butler) (authoraut) Calvo Fernandez, Natalia (Natalia Calvo Fernandez) (authoraut) Charlton-Perez, Andrew (Andrew Charlton-Perez) (authoraut) Giorgetta, Marco (Marco Giorgetta) (authoraut) Manzini, Elisa (Elisa Manzini) (authoraut) Perlwitz, Judith (Judith Perlwitz) (authoraut) Polvani, Lorenzo (Lorenzo M. Polvani) (authoraut) Sassi, Fabrizio (Fabrizio Sassi) (authoraut) Scaife, Adam (Adam A. Scaife) (authoraut) Shaw, Tiffany (Tiffany A. Shaw) (authoraut) Son, Seok-Woo (Seok-Woo Son) (authoraut) Watanabe, Shingo (Shingo Watanabe) (authoraut) |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
title |
Assessing and understanding the impact of stratospheric dynamics and variability on the earth system |
spellingShingle |
Assessing and understanding the impact of stratospheric dynamics and variability on the earth system |
title_short |
Assessing and understanding the impact of stratospheric dynamics and variability on the earth system |
title_full |
Assessing and understanding the impact of stratospheric dynamics and variability on the earth system |
title_fullStr |
Assessing and understanding the impact of stratospheric dynamics and variability on the earth system |
title_full_unstemmed |
Assessing and understanding the impact of stratospheric dynamics and variability on the earth system |
title_sort |
assessing and understanding the impact of stratospheric dynamics and variability on the earth system |
publisher |
American Meteorological Society |
url |
https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00145.1 http://n2t.net/ark:/85065/d7g161gs |
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Antarctic The Antarctic |
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Antarctic The Antarctic |
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Antarc* Antarctic Sea ice |
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Antarc* Antarctic Sea ice |
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Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00145.1 articles:11819 uri: http://nldr.library.ucar.edu/repository/collections/OSGC-000-000-010-556 doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00145.1 ark:/85065/d7g161gs http://n2t.net/ark:/85065/d7g161gs |
op_rights |
Copyright 2012 American Meteorological Society (AMS). Permission to use figures, tables, and brief excerpts from this work in scientific and educational works is hereby granted provided that the source is acknowledged. Any use of material in this work that is determined to be "fair use" under Section 107 or that satisfies the conditions specified in Section 108 of the U.S. Copyright Law (17 USC, as revised by P.L. 94-553) does not require the Society's permission. Republication, systematic reproduction, posting in electronic form on servers, or other uses of this material, except as exempted by the above statements, requires written permission or license from the AMS. Additional details are provided in the AMS Copyright Policies, available from the AMS at 617-227-2425 or amspubs@ametsoc.org. Permission to place a copy of this work on this server has been provided by the AMS. The AMS does not guarantee that the copy provided here is an accurate copy of the published work. |
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https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00145.1 |
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Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society |
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93 |
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6 |
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845 |
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859 |
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ftncar:oai:drupal-site.org:articles_11819 2023-05-15T13:52:33+02:00 Assessing and understanding the impact of stratospheric dynamics and variability on the earth system Gerber, Edwin (Edwin P. Gerber) (authoraut) Butler, Amy (Amy Butler) (authoraut) Calvo Fernandez, Natalia (Natalia Calvo Fernandez) (authoraut) Charlton-Perez, Andrew (Andrew Charlton-Perez) (authoraut) Giorgetta, Marco (Marco Giorgetta) (authoraut) Manzini, Elisa (Elisa Manzini) (authoraut) Perlwitz, Judith (Judith Perlwitz) (authoraut) Polvani, Lorenzo (Lorenzo M. Polvani) (authoraut) Sassi, Fabrizio (Fabrizio Sassi) (authoraut) Scaife, Adam (Adam A. Scaife) (authoraut) Shaw, Tiffany (Tiffany A. Shaw) (authoraut) Son, Seok-Woo (Seok-Woo Son) (authoraut) Watanabe, Shingo (Shingo Watanabe) (authoraut) application/pdf https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00145.1 http://n2t.net/ark:/85065/d7g161gs en eng American Meteorological Society Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00145.1 articles:11819 uri: http://nldr.library.ucar.edu/repository/collections/OSGC-000-000-010-556 doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00145.1 ark:/85065/d7g161gs http://n2t.net/ark:/85065/d7g161gs Copyright 2012 American Meteorological Society (AMS). Permission to use figures, tables, and brief excerpts from this work in scientific and educational works is hereby granted provided that the source is acknowledged. Any use of material in this work that is determined to be "fair use" under Section 107 or that satisfies the conditions specified in Section 108 of the U.S. Copyright Law (17 USC, as revised by P.L. 94-553) does not require the Society's permission. Republication, systematic reproduction, posting in electronic form on servers, or other uses of this material, except as exempted by the above statements, requires written permission or license from the AMS. Additional details are provided in the AMS Copyright Policies, available from the AMS at 617-227-2425 or amspubs@ametsoc.org. Permission to place a copy of this work on this server has been provided by the AMS. The AMS does not guarantee that the copy provided here is an accurate copy of the published work. Text article ftncar https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00145.1 2022-08-09T17:10:19Z Advances in weather and climate research have demonstrated the role of the stratosphere in the Earth system across a wide range of temporal and spatial scales. Stratospheric ozone loss has been identified as a key driver of Southern Hemisphere tropospheric circulation trends, affecting ocean currents and carbon uptake, sea ice, and possibly even the Antarctic ice sheets. Stratospheric variability has also been shown to affect short-term and seasonal forecasts, connecting the tropics and midlatitudes and guiding storm-track dynamics. The two-way interactions between the stratosphere and the Earth system have motivated the World Climate Research Programme's (WCRP) Stratospheric Processes and their Role in Climate's (SPARC) activity on Modelling the Dynamics and Variability of the Stratosphere-Troposphere System (DynVar) to investigate the impact of stratospheric dynamics and variability on climate. This assessment will be made possible by two new multimodel datasets. First, roughly 10 models with a well-resolved stratosphere are participating in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 (CMIP5), providing the first multimodel ensemble of climate simulations coupled from the stratopause to the sea floor. Second, the Stratosphere Resolving Historical Forecast Project (Strat-HFP) of WCRP's Climate Variability and Predictability (CLIVAR) program is forming a multimodel set of seasonal hind-casts with stratosphere-resolving models, revealing the impact of both stratospheric initial conditions and dynamics on intraseasonal prediction. The CMIP5 and Strat-HFP model datasets will offer an unprecedented opportunity to understand the role of the stratosphere in the natural and forced variability of the Earth system and to determine whether incorporating knowledge of the middle atmosphere improves seasonal forecasts and climate projections. Article in Journal/Newspaper Antarc* Antarctic Sea ice OpenSky (NCAR/UCAR - National Center for Atmospheric Research/University Corporation for Atmospheric Research) Antarctic The Antarctic Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 93 6 845 859 |