On the Impact Angle of Hurricane Sandy's New Jersey Landfall
Hurricane Sandy's track crossed the New Jersey coastline at an angle closer to perpendicular than any previous hurricane in the historic record, one of the factors contributing to recordsetting peak-water levels in parts of New Jersey and New York. To estimate the occurrence rate of Sandy-like...
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ftnasantrs:oai:casi.ntrs.nasa.gov:20140016839 2023-05-15T17:32:17+02:00 On the Impact Angle of Hurricane Sandy's New Jersey Landfall Sobel, Adam H. Hall, Timothy M. Unclassified, Unlimited, Publicly available May 29, 2013 application/pdf http://hdl.handle.net/2060/20140016839 unknown Document ID: 20140016839 http://hdl.handle.net/2060/20140016839 Copyright, Distribution as joint owner in the copyright CASI Meteorology and Climatology GSFC-E-DAA-TN8654 Geophysical Research Letters; 40; 10; 2312-2315 2013 ftnasantrs 2019-07-21T00:22:21Z Hurricane Sandy's track crossed the New Jersey coastline at an angle closer to perpendicular than any previous hurricane in the historic record, one of the factors contributing to recordsetting peak-water levels in parts of New Jersey and New York. To estimate the occurrence rate of Sandy-like tracks, we use a stochastic model built on historical hurricane data from the entire North Atlantic to generate a large sample of synthetic hurricanes. From this synthetic set we calculate that under long-term average climate conditions, a hurricane of Sandy's intensity or greater (category 1+) makes NJ landfall at an angle at least as close to perpendicular as Sandy's at an average annual rate of 0.0014 yr-1 (95% confidence range 0.0007 to 0.0023); i.e., a return period of 714 years (95% confidence range 435 to 1429). Other/Unknown Material North Atlantic NASA Technical Reports Server (NTRS) |
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Open Polar |
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NASA Technical Reports Server (NTRS) |
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ftnasantrs |
language |
unknown |
topic |
Meteorology and Climatology |
spellingShingle |
Meteorology and Climatology Sobel, Adam H. Hall, Timothy M. On the Impact Angle of Hurricane Sandy's New Jersey Landfall |
topic_facet |
Meteorology and Climatology |
description |
Hurricane Sandy's track crossed the New Jersey coastline at an angle closer to perpendicular than any previous hurricane in the historic record, one of the factors contributing to recordsetting peak-water levels in parts of New Jersey and New York. To estimate the occurrence rate of Sandy-like tracks, we use a stochastic model built on historical hurricane data from the entire North Atlantic to generate a large sample of synthetic hurricanes. From this synthetic set we calculate that under long-term average climate conditions, a hurricane of Sandy's intensity or greater (category 1+) makes NJ landfall at an angle at least as close to perpendicular as Sandy's at an average annual rate of 0.0014 yr-1 (95% confidence range 0.0007 to 0.0023); i.e., a return period of 714 years (95% confidence range 435 to 1429). |
format |
Other/Unknown Material |
author |
Sobel, Adam H. Hall, Timothy M. |
author_facet |
Sobel, Adam H. Hall, Timothy M. |
author_sort |
Sobel, Adam H. |
title |
On the Impact Angle of Hurricane Sandy's New Jersey Landfall |
title_short |
On the Impact Angle of Hurricane Sandy's New Jersey Landfall |
title_full |
On the Impact Angle of Hurricane Sandy's New Jersey Landfall |
title_fullStr |
On the Impact Angle of Hurricane Sandy's New Jersey Landfall |
title_full_unstemmed |
On the Impact Angle of Hurricane Sandy's New Jersey Landfall |
title_sort |
on the impact angle of hurricane sandy's new jersey landfall |
publishDate |
2013 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/2060/20140016839 |
op_coverage |
Unclassified, Unlimited, Publicly available |
genre |
North Atlantic |
genre_facet |
North Atlantic |
op_source |
CASI |
op_relation |
Document ID: 20140016839 http://hdl.handle.net/2060/20140016839 |
op_rights |
Copyright, Distribution as joint owner in the copyright |
_version_ |
1766130340033724416 |