An Estimate of the North Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclone Activity for the 2010 Hurricane Season
Estimates are presented for the tropical cyclone activity expected for the 2010 North Atlantic basin hurricane season. It is anticipated that the 2010 season will be more active than the 2009 season, reflecting increased frequencies more akin to that of the current more active phase that has been in...
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ftnasantrs:oai:casi.ntrs.nasa.gov:20100019157 2023-05-15T17:29:58+02:00 An Estimate of the North Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclone Activity for the 2010 Hurricane Season Wilson, Robert M. Unclassified, Unlimited, Publicly available May 2010 application/pdf http://hdl.handle.net/2060/20100019157 unknown Document ID: 20100019157 http://hdl.handle.net/2060/20100019157 No Copyright CASI Meteorology and Climatology NASA/TP-2010-216429 M-1278 2010 ftnasantrs 2019-07-21T06:33:48Z Estimates are presented for the tropical cyclone activity expected for the 2010 North Atlantic basin hurricane season. It is anticipated that the 2010 season will be more active than the 2009 season, reflecting increased frequencies more akin to that of the current more active phase that has been in vogue since 1995. Averages (+/- 1 sd) during the current more active phase are 14.5+/-4.7, 7.8+/-3.2, 3.7+/-1.8, and 2+/- 2, respectively, for the number of tropical cyclones (NTC), the number of hurricanes (NH), the number of major hurricanes (NMH), and the number of United States (U.S.) land-falling hurricanes (NUSLFH). Based on the "usual" behavior of the 10-yma parametric first differences, one expects NTC = 19+/-2, NH = 14+/-2, NMH = 7+/-2, and NUSLFH = 4+/-2 for the 2010 hurricane season; however, based on the "best guess" 10-yma values of surface-air temperature at the Armagh Observatory (Northern Ireland) and the Oceanic Nino Index, one expects NTC > or equals 16, NH > or equals 14, NMH > or equals 7, and NUSLFH > or equals 6. Other/Unknown Material North Atlantic NASA Technical Reports Server (NTRS) |
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Open Polar |
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NASA Technical Reports Server (NTRS) |
op_collection_id |
ftnasantrs |
language |
unknown |
topic |
Meteorology and Climatology |
spellingShingle |
Meteorology and Climatology Wilson, Robert M. An Estimate of the North Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclone Activity for the 2010 Hurricane Season |
topic_facet |
Meteorology and Climatology |
description |
Estimates are presented for the tropical cyclone activity expected for the 2010 North Atlantic basin hurricane season. It is anticipated that the 2010 season will be more active than the 2009 season, reflecting increased frequencies more akin to that of the current more active phase that has been in vogue since 1995. Averages (+/- 1 sd) during the current more active phase are 14.5+/-4.7, 7.8+/-3.2, 3.7+/-1.8, and 2+/- 2, respectively, for the number of tropical cyclones (NTC), the number of hurricanes (NH), the number of major hurricanes (NMH), and the number of United States (U.S.) land-falling hurricanes (NUSLFH). Based on the "usual" behavior of the 10-yma parametric first differences, one expects NTC = 19+/-2, NH = 14+/-2, NMH = 7+/-2, and NUSLFH = 4+/-2 for the 2010 hurricane season; however, based on the "best guess" 10-yma values of surface-air temperature at the Armagh Observatory (Northern Ireland) and the Oceanic Nino Index, one expects NTC > or equals 16, NH > or equals 14, NMH > or equals 7, and NUSLFH > or equals 6. |
format |
Other/Unknown Material |
author |
Wilson, Robert M. |
author_facet |
Wilson, Robert M. |
author_sort |
Wilson, Robert M. |
title |
An Estimate of the North Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclone Activity for the 2010 Hurricane Season |
title_short |
An Estimate of the North Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclone Activity for the 2010 Hurricane Season |
title_full |
An Estimate of the North Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclone Activity for the 2010 Hurricane Season |
title_fullStr |
An Estimate of the North Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclone Activity for the 2010 Hurricane Season |
title_full_unstemmed |
An Estimate of the North Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclone Activity for the 2010 Hurricane Season |
title_sort |
estimate of the north atlantic basin tropical cyclone activity for the 2010 hurricane season |
publishDate |
2010 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/2060/20100019157 |
op_coverage |
Unclassified, Unlimited, Publicly available |
genre |
North Atlantic |
genre_facet |
North Atlantic |
op_source |
CASI |
op_relation |
Document ID: 20100019157 http://hdl.handle.net/2060/20100019157 |
op_rights |
No Copyright |
_version_ |
1766125227417272320 |