Valuing Climate Impacts in Integrated Assessment Models: The MIT IGSM
http://globalchange.mit.edu/research/publications/reports/all We discuss a strategy for investigating the impacts of climate change on Earth’s physical, biological and human resources and links to their socio-economic consequences. The features of the integrated global system framework that allows a...
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ftmit:oai:dspace.mit.edu:1721.1/70898 2023-06-11T04:15:42+02:00 Valuing Climate Impacts in Integrated Assessment Models: The MIT IGSM Reilly, John Paltsev, Sergey Selin, Noelle E. Cai, Yongxia Nam, Kyung-Min Monier, Erwan Dutkiewicz, Stephanie Scott, Jeffrey Webster, Mort Sokolov, Andrei Strzepek, Ken 2012-05-22 application/pdf http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/70898 en_US eng MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change Joint Program Report Series;219 http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/70898 Report no. 219 An error occurred on the license name. An error occurred getting the license - uri. Technical Report 2012 ftmit 2023-05-29T08:49:21Z http://globalchange.mit.edu/research/publications/reports/all We discuss a strategy for investigating the impacts of climate change on Earth’s physical, biological and human resources and links to their socio-economic consequences. The features of the integrated global system framework that allows a comprehensive evaluation of climate change impacts are described with particular examples of effects on agriculture and human health. We argue that progress requires a careful understanding of the chain of physical changes—global and regional temperature, precipitation, ocean acidification and polar ice melting. We relate those changes to other physical and biological variables that help people understand risks to factors relevant to their daily lives—crop yield, food prices, premature death, flooding or drought events, land use change. Finally, we investigate how societies may adapt, or not, to these changes and how the combination of measures to adapt or to live with losses will affect the economy. Valuation and assessment of market impacts can play an important role, but we must recognize the limits of efforts to value impacts where deep uncertainty does not allow a description of the causal chain of effects that can be described, much less assigned a likelihood. A mixed approach of valuing impacts, evaluating physical and biological effects, and working to better describe uncertainties in the earth system can contribute to the social dialogue needed to achieve consensus—where it is needed—on the level and type of mitigation and adaptation actions that are required. The MIT Integrated Global System Model (IGSM) and its economic component used in the analysis, the MIT Emissions Prediction and Policy Analysis (EPPA) model, is supported by a consortium of government, industry, and foundation sponsors of the MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change. (For a complete list of sponsors, see: http://globalchange.mit.edu). Report Ocean acidification DSpace@MIT (Massachusetts Institute of Technology) |
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http://globalchange.mit.edu/research/publications/reports/all We discuss a strategy for investigating the impacts of climate change on Earth’s physical, biological and human resources and links to their socio-economic consequences. The features of the integrated global system framework that allows a comprehensive evaluation of climate change impacts are described with particular examples of effects on agriculture and human health. We argue that progress requires a careful understanding of the chain of physical changes—global and regional temperature, precipitation, ocean acidification and polar ice melting. We relate those changes to other physical and biological variables that help people understand risks to factors relevant to their daily lives—crop yield, food prices, premature death, flooding or drought events, land use change. Finally, we investigate how societies may adapt, or not, to these changes and how the combination of measures to adapt or to live with losses will affect the economy. Valuation and assessment of market impacts can play an important role, but we must recognize the limits of efforts to value impacts where deep uncertainty does not allow a description of the causal chain of effects that can be described, much less assigned a likelihood. A mixed approach of valuing impacts, evaluating physical and biological effects, and working to better describe uncertainties in the earth system can contribute to the social dialogue needed to achieve consensus—where it is needed—on the level and type of mitigation and adaptation actions that are required. The MIT Integrated Global System Model (IGSM) and its economic component used in the analysis, the MIT Emissions Prediction and Policy Analysis (EPPA) model, is supported by a consortium of government, industry, and foundation sponsors of the MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change. (For a complete list of sponsors, see: http://globalchange.mit.edu). |
format |
Report |
author |
Reilly, John Paltsev, Sergey Selin, Noelle E. Cai, Yongxia Nam, Kyung-Min Monier, Erwan Dutkiewicz, Stephanie Scott, Jeffrey Webster, Mort Sokolov, Andrei Strzepek, Ken |
spellingShingle |
Reilly, John Paltsev, Sergey Selin, Noelle E. Cai, Yongxia Nam, Kyung-Min Monier, Erwan Dutkiewicz, Stephanie Scott, Jeffrey Webster, Mort Sokolov, Andrei Strzepek, Ken Valuing Climate Impacts in Integrated Assessment Models: The MIT IGSM |
author_facet |
Reilly, John Paltsev, Sergey Selin, Noelle E. Cai, Yongxia Nam, Kyung-Min Monier, Erwan Dutkiewicz, Stephanie Scott, Jeffrey Webster, Mort Sokolov, Andrei Strzepek, Ken |
author_sort |
Reilly, John |
title |
Valuing Climate Impacts in Integrated Assessment Models: The MIT IGSM |
title_short |
Valuing Climate Impacts in Integrated Assessment Models: The MIT IGSM |
title_full |
Valuing Climate Impacts in Integrated Assessment Models: The MIT IGSM |
title_fullStr |
Valuing Climate Impacts in Integrated Assessment Models: The MIT IGSM |
title_full_unstemmed |
Valuing Climate Impacts in Integrated Assessment Models: The MIT IGSM |
title_sort |
valuing climate impacts in integrated assessment models: the mit igsm |
publisher |
MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change |
publishDate |
2012 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/70898 |
genre |
Ocean acidification |
genre_facet |
Ocean acidification |
op_relation |
Joint Program Report Series;219 http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/70898 Report no. 219 |
op_rights |
An error occurred on the license name. An error occurred getting the license - uri. |
_version_ |
1768372739101425664 |