Modelling the Impact of Temperature under Climate Change Scenarios on Native and Invasive Vascular Vegetation on the Antarctic Peninsula and Surrounding Islands
There are only two species of native vascular plants found on the Antarctic Peninsula and the surrounding islands, Deschampsia Antarctica, and Colobanthus quitensis. Poa annua, a successful invasive species, poses a threat to D. antarctica and C. quitensis. This region may experience extreme changes...
Published in: | Geomatics |
---|---|
Main Authors: | , , |
Format: | Text |
Language: | English |
Published: |
Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute
2022
|
Subjects: | |
Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.3390/geomatics2040022 |
id |
ftmdpi:oai:mdpi.com:/2673-7418/2/4/22/ |
---|---|
record_format |
openpolar |
spelling |
ftmdpi:oai:mdpi.com:/2673-7418/2/4/22/ 2023-08-20T04:01:06+02:00 Modelling the Impact of Temperature under Climate Change Scenarios on Native and Invasive Vascular Vegetation on the Antarctic Peninsula and Surrounding Islands Elissa Penfound Christopher Wellen Eric Vaz agris 2022-09-23 application/pdf https://doi.org/10.3390/geomatics2040022 EN eng Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute https://dx.doi.org/10.3390/geomatics2040022 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ Geomatics; Volume 2; Issue 4; Pages: 390-414 Antarctic Peninsula Antarctic vascular vegetation climate change geographic information systems systems modelling Vensim invasive species Text 2022 ftmdpi https://doi.org/10.3390/geomatics2040022 2023-08-01T06:36:18Z There are only two species of native vascular plants found on the Antarctic Peninsula and the surrounding islands, Deschampsia Antarctica, and Colobanthus quitensis. Poa annua, a successful invasive species, poses a threat to D. antarctica and C. quitensis. This region may experience extreme changes in biodiversity due to climate change over the next 100 years. This study explores the relationship between vascular vegetation and changing temperature on the Antarctic Peninsula and uses a systems modelling approach to account for three climate change scenarios over a 100-year period. The results of this study indicate that (1) D. antarctica, C. quitensis, and P. annua will likely be impacted by temperature increases, and greater temperature increases will facilitate more rapid species expansion, (2) in all scenarios D. antarctica species occurrences increase to higher values compared to C. quitensis and P. annua, suggesting that D. antarctica populations may be more successful at expanding into newly forming ice-free areas, (3) C. quitensis may be more vulnerable to the spread of P. annua than D. antarctica if less extreme warming occurs, and (4) C. quitensis relative growth rate is capable of reaching higher values than D. antarctica and P. annua, but only under extreme warming conditions. Text Antarc* Antarctic Antarctic Peninsula Antarctica MDPI Open Access Publishing Antarctic Antarctic Peninsula The Antarctic Geomatics 2 4 390 414 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
MDPI Open Access Publishing |
op_collection_id |
ftmdpi |
language |
English |
topic |
Antarctic Peninsula Antarctic vascular vegetation climate change geographic information systems systems modelling Vensim invasive species |
spellingShingle |
Antarctic Peninsula Antarctic vascular vegetation climate change geographic information systems systems modelling Vensim invasive species Elissa Penfound Christopher Wellen Eric Vaz Modelling the Impact of Temperature under Climate Change Scenarios on Native and Invasive Vascular Vegetation on the Antarctic Peninsula and Surrounding Islands |
topic_facet |
Antarctic Peninsula Antarctic vascular vegetation climate change geographic information systems systems modelling Vensim invasive species |
description |
There are only two species of native vascular plants found on the Antarctic Peninsula and the surrounding islands, Deschampsia Antarctica, and Colobanthus quitensis. Poa annua, a successful invasive species, poses a threat to D. antarctica and C. quitensis. This region may experience extreme changes in biodiversity due to climate change over the next 100 years. This study explores the relationship between vascular vegetation and changing temperature on the Antarctic Peninsula and uses a systems modelling approach to account for three climate change scenarios over a 100-year period. The results of this study indicate that (1) D. antarctica, C. quitensis, and P. annua will likely be impacted by temperature increases, and greater temperature increases will facilitate more rapid species expansion, (2) in all scenarios D. antarctica species occurrences increase to higher values compared to C. quitensis and P. annua, suggesting that D. antarctica populations may be more successful at expanding into newly forming ice-free areas, (3) C. quitensis may be more vulnerable to the spread of P. annua than D. antarctica if less extreme warming occurs, and (4) C. quitensis relative growth rate is capable of reaching higher values than D. antarctica and P. annua, but only under extreme warming conditions. |
format |
Text |
author |
Elissa Penfound Christopher Wellen Eric Vaz |
author_facet |
Elissa Penfound Christopher Wellen Eric Vaz |
author_sort |
Elissa Penfound |
title |
Modelling the Impact of Temperature under Climate Change Scenarios on Native and Invasive Vascular Vegetation on the Antarctic Peninsula and Surrounding Islands |
title_short |
Modelling the Impact of Temperature under Climate Change Scenarios on Native and Invasive Vascular Vegetation on the Antarctic Peninsula and Surrounding Islands |
title_full |
Modelling the Impact of Temperature under Climate Change Scenarios on Native and Invasive Vascular Vegetation on the Antarctic Peninsula and Surrounding Islands |
title_fullStr |
Modelling the Impact of Temperature under Climate Change Scenarios on Native and Invasive Vascular Vegetation on the Antarctic Peninsula and Surrounding Islands |
title_full_unstemmed |
Modelling the Impact of Temperature under Climate Change Scenarios on Native and Invasive Vascular Vegetation on the Antarctic Peninsula and Surrounding Islands |
title_sort |
modelling the impact of temperature under climate change scenarios on native and invasive vascular vegetation on the antarctic peninsula and surrounding islands |
publisher |
Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute |
publishDate |
2022 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.3390/geomatics2040022 |
op_coverage |
agris |
geographic |
Antarctic Antarctic Peninsula The Antarctic |
geographic_facet |
Antarctic Antarctic Peninsula The Antarctic |
genre |
Antarc* Antarctic Antarctic Peninsula Antarctica |
genre_facet |
Antarc* Antarctic Antarctic Peninsula Antarctica |
op_source |
Geomatics; Volume 2; Issue 4; Pages: 390-414 |
op_relation |
https://dx.doi.org/10.3390/geomatics2040022 |
op_rights |
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.3390/geomatics2040022 |
container_title |
Geomatics |
container_volume |
2 |
container_issue |
4 |
container_start_page |
390 |
op_container_end_page |
414 |
_version_ |
1774722672537632768 |