A Comprehensive Approach to Account for Weather Uncertainties in Ship Route Optimization
This work aims at defining in a probabilistic manner objectives and constraints typically considered in route optimization systems. Information about weather-related uncertainties is introduced by adopting ensemble forecast results. Classical reliability methods commonly used in structural analysis...
| Published in: | Journal of Marine Science and Engineering |
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| Main Authors: | , , |
| Format: | Text |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute
2021
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse9121434 |
| Summary: | This work aims at defining in a probabilistic manner objectives and constraints typically considered in route optimization systems. Information about weather-related uncertainties is introduced by adopting ensemble forecast results. Classical reliability methods commonly used in structural analysis are adopted, allowing to achieve a simple yet effective evaluation of the probability of failure and the variability associated with the predicted fuel consumption and time of arrival. A quantitative example of application is provided, taking into consideration one of the main North Atlantic routes. |
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