Sea Level Rise Drivers and Projections from Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) under the Paris Climate Targets: Global and around the Korea Peninsula
Estimating future sea level rise (SLR) projections is important for assessing coastal risks and planning of climate-resilient infrastructure. Therefore, in this study, we estimated the future projections of SLR from Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 (CMIP6) models for three climate targe...
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ftmdpi:oai:mdpi.com:/2077-1312/9/10/1094/ 2023-08-20T04:09:45+02:00 Sea Level Rise Drivers and Projections from Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) under the Paris Climate Targets: Global and around the Korea Peninsula Hyun Min Sung Jisun Kim Sungbo Shim Jong-Chul Ha Young-Hwa Byun Yeon-Hee Kim agris 2021-10-07 application/pdf https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse9101094 EN eng Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute Physical Oceanography https://dx.doi.org/10.3390/jmse9101094 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ Journal of Marine Science and Engineering; Volume 9; Issue 10; Pages: 1094 Korean peninsula sea level rise climate change 1.5 °C warming emergence of climate change Text 2021 ftmdpi https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse9101094 2023-08-01T02:53:41Z Estimating future sea level rise (SLR) projections is important for assessing coastal risks and planning of climate-resilient infrastructure. Therefore, in this study, we estimated the future projections of SLR from Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 (CMIP6) models for three climate targets (1.5 °C (T15), 2.0 °C (T20), and 3.0 °C (T30)) described by the Paris Agreement. The global SLR projections are 60, 140, and 320 mm for T15, T20, and T30, respectively, relative to the present-day levels. Similarly, around the Korean Peninsula, SLR projections become more intense with continuous global warming (20 mm (T15), 110 mm (T20), and 270 mm (T30)). Ocean variables show a slow response to climate change. Therefore, we developed the Emergence of Climate Change (EoC) index for determining the time when the variable is not following the present climate trend. The EoC of SLR appears after the EoC of sea-ice melting near the time of T15 warming. Moreover, the EoC of thermal expansion appears around the 2040s, which is similar to the time of the maximum of the T15 warming period and the median of the T20 warming period. Overall, our analysis suggests that the T15 warming may act as a trigger and SLR will accelerate after the T15 warming. Text Sea ice MDPI Open Access Publishing Journal of Marine Science and Engineering 9 10 1094 |
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Open Polar |
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MDPI Open Access Publishing |
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ftmdpi |
language |
English |
topic |
Korean peninsula sea level rise climate change 1.5 °C warming emergence of climate change |
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Korean peninsula sea level rise climate change 1.5 °C warming emergence of climate change Hyun Min Sung Jisun Kim Sungbo Shim Jong-Chul Ha Young-Hwa Byun Yeon-Hee Kim Sea Level Rise Drivers and Projections from Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) under the Paris Climate Targets: Global and around the Korea Peninsula |
topic_facet |
Korean peninsula sea level rise climate change 1.5 °C warming emergence of climate change |
description |
Estimating future sea level rise (SLR) projections is important for assessing coastal risks and planning of climate-resilient infrastructure. Therefore, in this study, we estimated the future projections of SLR from Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 (CMIP6) models for three climate targets (1.5 °C (T15), 2.0 °C (T20), and 3.0 °C (T30)) described by the Paris Agreement. The global SLR projections are 60, 140, and 320 mm for T15, T20, and T30, respectively, relative to the present-day levels. Similarly, around the Korean Peninsula, SLR projections become more intense with continuous global warming (20 mm (T15), 110 mm (T20), and 270 mm (T30)). Ocean variables show a slow response to climate change. Therefore, we developed the Emergence of Climate Change (EoC) index for determining the time when the variable is not following the present climate trend. The EoC of SLR appears after the EoC of sea-ice melting near the time of T15 warming. Moreover, the EoC of thermal expansion appears around the 2040s, which is similar to the time of the maximum of the T15 warming period and the median of the T20 warming period. Overall, our analysis suggests that the T15 warming may act as a trigger and SLR will accelerate after the T15 warming. |
format |
Text |
author |
Hyun Min Sung Jisun Kim Sungbo Shim Jong-Chul Ha Young-Hwa Byun Yeon-Hee Kim |
author_facet |
Hyun Min Sung Jisun Kim Sungbo Shim Jong-Chul Ha Young-Hwa Byun Yeon-Hee Kim |
author_sort |
Hyun Min Sung |
title |
Sea Level Rise Drivers and Projections from Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) under the Paris Climate Targets: Global and around the Korea Peninsula |
title_short |
Sea Level Rise Drivers and Projections from Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) under the Paris Climate Targets: Global and around the Korea Peninsula |
title_full |
Sea Level Rise Drivers and Projections from Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) under the Paris Climate Targets: Global and around the Korea Peninsula |
title_fullStr |
Sea Level Rise Drivers and Projections from Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) under the Paris Climate Targets: Global and around the Korea Peninsula |
title_full_unstemmed |
Sea Level Rise Drivers and Projections from Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) under the Paris Climate Targets: Global and around the Korea Peninsula |
title_sort |
sea level rise drivers and projections from coupled model intercomparison project phase 6 (cmip6) under the paris climate targets: global and around the korea peninsula |
publisher |
Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute |
publishDate |
2021 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse9101094 |
op_coverage |
agris |
genre |
Sea ice |
genre_facet |
Sea ice |
op_source |
Journal of Marine Science and Engineering; Volume 9; Issue 10; Pages: 1094 |
op_relation |
Physical Oceanography https://dx.doi.org/10.3390/jmse9101094 |
op_rights |
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse9101094 |
container_title |
Journal of Marine Science and Engineering |
container_volume |
9 |
container_issue |
10 |
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1094 |
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