Potentially Suitable Geographical Area for Monochamus alternatus under Current and Future Climatic Scenarios Based on Optimized MaxEnt Model
M. alternatus is considered to be an important and effective insect vector for the spread of the important international forest quarantine pest, Bursaphelenchus xylophilus. The precise determination of potential suitable areas of M. alternatus is essential to monitor, prevent, and control M. alterna...
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Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.3390/insects14020182 |
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ftmdpi:oai:mdpi.com:/2075-4450/14/2/182/ 2023-08-20T04:02:28+02:00 Potentially Suitable Geographical Area for Monochamus alternatus under Current and Future Climatic Scenarios Based on Optimized MaxEnt Model Ruihe Gao Lei Liu Lijuan Zhao Shaopeng Cui agris 2023-02-13 application/pdf https://doi.org/10.3390/insects14020182 EN eng Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute Insect Pest and Vector Management https://dx.doi.org/10.3390/insects14020182 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ Insects; Volume 14; Issue 2; Pages: 182 Monochamus alternatus Bursaphelenchus xylophilus MaxEnt climate change Text 2023 ftmdpi https://doi.org/10.3390/insects14020182 2023-08-01T08:46:54Z M. alternatus is considered to be an important and effective insect vector for the spread of the important international forest quarantine pest, Bursaphelenchus xylophilus. The precise determination of potential suitable areas of M. alternatus is essential to monitor, prevent, and control M. alternatus worldwide. According to the distribution points and climatic variables, the optimized MaxEnt model and ArcGIS were used to predict the current and future potentially suitable areas of M. alternatus worldwide. The optimized MaxEnt model parameters were set as feature combination (FC) = LQHP and β = 1.5, which were determined by the values of AUCdiff, OR10, and ΔAICc. Bio2, Bio6, Bio10, Bio12, and Bio14 were the dominant bioclimatic variables affecting the distribution of M. alternatus. Under the current climate conditions, the potentially suitable habitats of M. alternatus were distributed across all continents except Antarctica, accounting for 4.17% of the Earth’s total land area. Under future climate scenarios, the potentially suitable habitats of M. alternatus increased significantly, spreading to a global scale. The results of this study could provide a theoretical basis for the risk analysis of the global distribution and dispersal of M. alternatus as well as the precise monitoring and prevention of this beetle. Text Antarc* Antarctica MDPI Open Access Publishing Insects 14 2 182 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
MDPI Open Access Publishing |
op_collection_id |
ftmdpi |
language |
English |
topic |
Monochamus alternatus Bursaphelenchus xylophilus MaxEnt climate change |
spellingShingle |
Monochamus alternatus Bursaphelenchus xylophilus MaxEnt climate change Ruihe Gao Lei Liu Lijuan Zhao Shaopeng Cui Potentially Suitable Geographical Area for Monochamus alternatus under Current and Future Climatic Scenarios Based on Optimized MaxEnt Model |
topic_facet |
Monochamus alternatus Bursaphelenchus xylophilus MaxEnt climate change |
description |
M. alternatus is considered to be an important and effective insect vector for the spread of the important international forest quarantine pest, Bursaphelenchus xylophilus. The precise determination of potential suitable areas of M. alternatus is essential to monitor, prevent, and control M. alternatus worldwide. According to the distribution points and climatic variables, the optimized MaxEnt model and ArcGIS were used to predict the current and future potentially suitable areas of M. alternatus worldwide. The optimized MaxEnt model parameters were set as feature combination (FC) = LQHP and β = 1.5, which were determined by the values of AUCdiff, OR10, and ΔAICc. Bio2, Bio6, Bio10, Bio12, and Bio14 were the dominant bioclimatic variables affecting the distribution of M. alternatus. Under the current climate conditions, the potentially suitable habitats of M. alternatus were distributed across all continents except Antarctica, accounting for 4.17% of the Earth’s total land area. Under future climate scenarios, the potentially suitable habitats of M. alternatus increased significantly, spreading to a global scale. The results of this study could provide a theoretical basis for the risk analysis of the global distribution and dispersal of M. alternatus as well as the precise monitoring and prevention of this beetle. |
format |
Text |
author |
Ruihe Gao Lei Liu Lijuan Zhao Shaopeng Cui |
author_facet |
Ruihe Gao Lei Liu Lijuan Zhao Shaopeng Cui |
author_sort |
Ruihe Gao |
title |
Potentially Suitable Geographical Area for Monochamus alternatus under Current and Future Climatic Scenarios Based on Optimized MaxEnt Model |
title_short |
Potentially Suitable Geographical Area for Monochamus alternatus under Current and Future Climatic Scenarios Based on Optimized MaxEnt Model |
title_full |
Potentially Suitable Geographical Area for Monochamus alternatus under Current and Future Climatic Scenarios Based on Optimized MaxEnt Model |
title_fullStr |
Potentially Suitable Geographical Area for Monochamus alternatus under Current and Future Climatic Scenarios Based on Optimized MaxEnt Model |
title_full_unstemmed |
Potentially Suitable Geographical Area for Monochamus alternatus under Current and Future Climatic Scenarios Based on Optimized MaxEnt Model |
title_sort |
potentially suitable geographical area for monochamus alternatus under current and future climatic scenarios based on optimized maxent model |
publisher |
Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute |
publishDate |
2023 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.3390/insects14020182 |
op_coverage |
agris |
genre |
Antarc* Antarctica |
genre_facet |
Antarc* Antarctica |
op_source |
Insects; Volume 14; Issue 2; Pages: 182 |
op_relation |
Insect Pest and Vector Management https://dx.doi.org/10.3390/insects14020182 |
op_rights |
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.3390/insects14020182 |
container_title |
Insects |
container_volume |
14 |
container_issue |
2 |
container_start_page |
182 |
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1774712934055804928 |