Thirty-Nine-Year Wave Hindcast, Storm Activity, and Probability Analysis of Storm Waves in the Kara Sea, Russia
The recurrence of extreme wind waves in the Kara Sea strongly influences the Arctic climate change. The period 2000–2010 is characterized by significant climate warming, a reduction of the sea ice in the Arctic. The main motivation of this research to assess the impact of climate change on storm act...
Published in: | Water |
---|---|
Main Authors: | , , , , |
Format: | Text |
Language: | English |
Published: |
Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute
2021
|
Subjects: | |
Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.3390/w13050648 |
id |
ftmdpi:oai:mdpi.com:/2073-4441/13/5/648/ |
---|---|
record_format |
openpolar |
spelling |
ftmdpi:oai:mdpi.com:/2073-4441/13/5/648/ 2023-08-20T04:04:19+02:00 Thirty-Nine-Year Wave Hindcast, Storm Activity, and Probability Analysis of Storm Waves in the Kara Sea, Russia Stanislav Myslenkov Vladimir Platonov Alexander Kislov Ksenia Silvestrova Igor Medvedev agris 2021-02-28 application/pdf https://doi.org/10.3390/w13050648 EN eng Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute Oceans and Coastal Zones https://dx.doi.org/10.3390/w13050648 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ Water; Volume 13; Issue 5; Pages: 648 the Kara Sea wave climate storm activity wind waves wave modeling WAVEWATCH III probabilistic analysis extreme waves Text 2021 ftmdpi https://doi.org/10.3390/w13050648 2023-08-01T01:10:10Z The recurrence of extreme wind waves in the Kara Sea strongly influences the Arctic climate change. The period 2000–2010 is characterized by significant climate warming, a reduction of the sea ice in the Arctic. The main motivation of this research to assess the impact of climate change on storm activity over the past 39 years in the Kara Sea. The paper presents the analysis of wave climate and storm activity in the Kara Sea based on the results of numerical modeling. A wave model WAVEWATCH III is used to reconstruct wind wave fields for the period from 1979 to 2017. The maximum significant wave height (SWH) for the whole period amounts to 9.9 m. The average long-term SWH for the ice-free period does not exceed 1.3 m. A significant linear trend shows an increase in the storm wave frequency for the period from 1979 to 2017. It is shown that trends in the storm activity of the Kara Sea are primarily regulated by the ice. Analysis of the extreme storm events showed that the Pareto distribution is in the best agreement with the data. However, the extreme events with an SWH more than 6‒7 m deviate from the Pareto distribution. Text Arctic Climate change Kara Sea Sea ice MDPI Open Access Publishing Arctic Kara Sea Water 13 5 648 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
MDPI Open Access Publishing |
op_collection_id |
ftmdpi |
language |
English |
topic |
the Kara Sea wave climate storm activity wind waves wave modeling WAVEWATCH III probabilistic analysis extreme waves |
spellingShingle |
the Kara Sea wave climate storm activity wind waves wave modeling WAVEWATCH III probabilistic analysis extreme waves Stanislav Myslenkov Vladimir Platonov Alexander Kislov Ksenia Silvestrova Igor Medvedev Thirty-Nine-Year Wave Hindcast, Storm Activity, and Probability Analysis of Storm Waves in the Kara Sea, Russia |
topic_facet |
the Kara Sea wave climate storm activity wind waves wave modeling WAVEWATCH III probabilistic analysis extreme waves |
description |
The recurrence of extreme wind waves in the Kara Sea strongly influences the Arctic climate change. The period 2000–2010 is characterized by significant climate warming, a reduction of the sea ice in the Arctic. The main motivation of this research to assess the impact of climate change on storm activity over the past 39 years in the Kara Sea. The paper presents the analysis of wave climate and storm activity in the Kara Sea based on the results of numerical modeling. A wave model WAVEWATCH III is used to reconstruct wind wave fields for the period from 1979 to 2017. The maximum significant wave height (SWH) for the whole period amounts to 9.9 m. The average long-term SWH for the ice-free period does not exceed 1.3 m. A significant linear trend shows an increase in the storm wave frequency for the period from 1979 to 2017. It is shown that trends in the storm activity of the Kara Sea are primarily regulated by the ice. Analysis of the extreme storm events showed that the Pareto distribution is in the best agreement with the data. However, the extreme events with an SWH more than 6‒7 m deviate from the Pareto distribution. |
format |
Text |
author |
Stanislav Myslenkov Vladimir Platonov Alexander Kislov Ksenia Silvestrova Igor Medvedev |
author_facet |
Stanislav Myslenkov Vladimir Platonov Alexander Kislov Ksenia Silvestrova Igor Medvedev |
author_sort |
Stanislav Myslenkov |
title |
Thirty-Nine-Year Wave Hindcast, Storm Activity, and Probability Analysis of Storm Waves in the Kara Sea, Russia |
title_short |
Thirty-Nine-Year Wave Hindcast, Storm Activity, and Probability Analysis of Storm Waves in the Kara Sea, Russia |
title_full |
Thirty-Nine-Year Wave Hindcast, Storm Activity, and Probability Analysis of Storm Waves in the Kara Sea, Russia |
title_fullStr |
Thirty-Nine-Year Wave Hindcast, Storm Activity, and Probability Analysis of Storm Waves in the Kara Sea, Russia |
title_full_unstemmed |
Thirty-Nine-Year Wave Hindcast, Storm Activity, and Probability Analysis of Storm Waves in the Kara Sea, Russia |
title_sort |
thirty-nine-year wave hindcast, storm activity, and probability analysis of storm waves in the kara sea, russia |
publisher |
Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute |
publishDate |
2021 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.3390/w13050648 |
op_coverage |
agris |
geographic |
Arctic Kara Sea |
geographic_facet |
Arctic Kara Sea |
genre |
Arctic Climate change Kara Sea Sea ice |
genre_facet |
Arctic Climate change Kara Sea Sea ice |
op_source |
Water; Volume 13; Issue 5; Pages: 648 |
op_relation |
Oceans and Coastal Zones https://dx.doi.org/10.3390/w13050648 |
op_rights |
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.3390/w13050648 |
container_title |
Water |
container_volume |
13 |
container_issue |
5 |
container_start_page |
648 |
_version_ |
1774714713511297024 |