Major Contribution of Halogenated Greenhouse Gases to Global Surface Temperature Change
This paper aims to better understand why there was a global warming pause in 2000–2015 and why the global mean surface temperature (GMST) has risen again in recent years. We present and statistically analyze substantial time-series observed datasets of global lower-stratospheric temperature (GLST),...
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ftmdpi:oai:mdpi.com:/2073-4433/13/9/1419/ 2023-08-20T04:09:44+02:00 Major Contribution of Halogenated Greenhouse Gases to Global Surface Temperature Change Qing-Bin Lu agris 2022-09-02 application/pdf https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos13091419 EN eng Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute Climatology https://dx.doi.org/10.3390/atmos13091419 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ Atmosphere; Volume 13; Issue 9; Pages: 1419 global warming stopping halogenated greenhouse gases observed and future climate trends quantifying global climate changes climate model projections Text 2022 ftmdpi https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos13091419 2023-08-01T06:19:31Z This paper aims to better understand why there was a global warming pause in 2000–2015 and why the global mean surface temperature (GMST) has risen again in recent years. We present and statistically analyze substantial time-series observed datasets of global lower-stratospheric temperature (GLST), troposphere–stratosphere temperature climatology, global land surface air temperature, GMST, sea ice extent (SIE) and snow cover extent (SCE), combined with modeled calculations of GLSTs and GMSTs. The observed and analyzed results show that GLST/SCE has stabilized since the mid-1990s with no significant change over the past two and a half decades. Upper-stratospheric warming at high latitudes has been observed and GMST or global land surface air temperature has reached a plateau since the mid-2000s with the removal of natural effects. In marked contrast, continued drastic warmings at the coasts of polar regions (particularly Russia and Alaska) are observed and well explained by the sea-ice-loss warming amplification mechanism. The calculated GMSTs by the parameter-free quantum-physics warming model of halogenated greenhouse gases (GHGs) show excellent agreement with the observed GMSTs after the natural El Niño southern oscillation and volcanic effects are removed. These results have provided strong evidence for the dominant warming mechanism of anthropogenic halogenated GHGs. The results also call for closer scrutiny of the assumptions made in current climate models. Text Sea ice Alaska MDPI Open Access Publishing Atmosphere 13 9 1419 |
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English |
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global warming stopping halogenated greenhouse gases observed and future climate trends quantifying global climate changes climate model projections |
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global warming stopping halogenated greenhouse gases observed and future climate trends quantifying global climate changes climate model projections Qing-Bin Lu Major Contribution of Halogenated Greenhouse Gases to Global Surface Temperature Change |
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global warming stopping halogenated greenhouse gases observed and future climate trends quantifying global climate changes climate model projections |
description |
This paper aims to better understand why there was a global warming pause in 2000–2015 and why the global mean surface temperature (GMST) has risen again in recent years. We present and statistically analyze substantial time-series observed datasets of global lower-stratospheric temperature (GLST), troposphere–stratosphere temperature climatology, global land surface air temperature, GMST, sea ice extent (SIE) and snow cover extent (SCE), combined with modeled calculations of GLSTs and GMSTs. The observed and analyzed results show that GLST/SCE has stabilized since the mid-1990s with no significant change over the past two and a half decades. Upper-stratospheric warming at high latitudes has been observed and GMST or global land surface air temperature has reached a plateau since the mid-2000s with the removal of natural effects. In marked contrast, continued drastic warmings at the coasts of polar regions (particularly Russia and Alaska) are observed and well explained by the sea-ice-loss warming amplification mechanism. The calculated GMSTs by the parameter-free quantum-physics warming model of halogenated greenhouse gases (GHGs) show excellent agreement with the observed GMSTs after the natural El Niño southern oscillation and volcanic effects are removed. These results have provided strong evidence for the dominant warming mechanism of anthropogenic halogenated GHGs. The results also call for closer scrutiny of the assumptions made in current climate models. |
format |
Text |
author |
Qing-Bin Lu |
author_facet |
Qing-Bin Lu |
author_sort |
Qing-Bin Lu |
title |
Major Contribution of Halogenated Greenhouse Gases to Global Surface Temperature Change |
title_short |
Major Contribution of Halogenated Greenhouse Gases to Global Surface Temperature Change |
title_full |
Major Contribution of Halogenated Greenhouse Gases to Global Surface Temperature Change |
title_fullStr |
Major Contribution of Halogenated Greenhouse Gases to Global Surface Temperature Change |
title_full_unstemmed |
Major Contribution of Halogenated Greenhouse Gases to Global Surface Temperature Change |
title_sort |
major contribution of halogenated greenhouse gases to global surface temperature change |
publisher |
Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute |
publishDate |
2022 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos13091419 |
op_coverage |
agris |
genre |
Sea ice Alaska |
genre_facet |
Sea ice Alaska |
op_source |
Atmosphere; Volume 13; Issue 9; Pages: 1419 |
op_relation |
Climatology https://dx.doi.org/10.3390/atmos13091419 |
op_rights |
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos13091419 |
container_title |
Atmosphere |
container_volume |
13 |
container_issue |
9 |
container_start_page |
1419 |
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1774723381553266688 |