Uncertainty and Risk Evaluation of Deep Geothermal Energy Source for Heat Production and Electricity Generation in Remote Northern Regions
The Canadian off-grid communities heavily rely on fossil fuels. This unsustainable energetic framework needs to change, and deep geothermal energy can play an important role. However, limited data availability is one of the challenges to face when evaluating such resources in remote areas. Thus, a f...
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ftmdpi:oai:mdpi.com:/1996-1073/13/16/4221/ 2023-08-20T04:07:49+02:00 Uncertainty and Risk Evaluation of Deep Geothermal Energy Source for Heat Production and Electricity Generation in Remote Northern Regions Mafalda M. Miranda Jasmin Raymond Chrystel Dezayes 2020-08-14 application/pdf https://doi.org/10.3390/en13164221 EN eng Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute H2: Geothermal https://dx.doi.org/10.3390/en13164221 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ Energies; Volume 13; Issue 16; Pages: 4221 geothermal energy geothermal gradient paleoclimate numerical model Monte Carlo method heat-in-place theoretical potential technical potential petrothermal system Nunavik Text 2020 ftmdpi https://doi.org/10.3390/en13164221 2023-07-31T23:55:59Z The Canadian off-grid communities heavily rely on fossil fuels. This unsustainable energetic framework needs to change, and deep geothermal energy can play an important role. However, limited data availability is one of the challenges to face when evaluating such resources in remote areas. Thus, a first-order assessment of the geothermal energy source is, therefore, needed to trigger interest for further development in northern communities. This is the scope of the present work. Shallow subsurface data and outcrop samples treated as subsurface analogs were used to infer the deep geothermal potential beneath the community of Kuujjuaq (Nunavik, Canada). 2D heat conduction models with time-varying upper boundary condition reproducing climate events were used to simulate the subsurface temperature distribution. The available thermal energy was inferred with the volume method. Monte Carlo-based sensitivity analyses were carried out to determine the main geological and technical uncertainties on the deep geothermal potential and risk analysis to forecast future energy production. The results obtained, although speculative, suggest that the old Canadian Shield beneath Kuujjuaq host potential to fulfill the community’s annual average heating demand of 37 GWh. Hence, deep geothermal energy can be a promising solution to support the energy transition of remote northern communities. Text Kuujjuaq Nunavik MDPI Open Access Publishing Canada Kuujjuaq ENVELOPE(-68.398,-68.398,58.100,58.100) Nunavik Energies 13 16 4221 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
MDPI Open Access Publishing |
op_collection_id |
ftmdpi |
language |
English |
topic |
geothermal energy geothermal gradient paleoclimate numerical model Monte Carlo method heat-in-place theoretical potential technical potential petrothermal system Nunavik |
spellingShingle |
geothermal energy geothermal gradient paleoclimate numerical model Monte Carlo method heat-in-place theoretical potential technical potential petrothermal system Nunavik Mafalda M. Miranda Jasmin Raymond Chrystel Dezayes Uncertainty and Risk Evaluation of Deep Geothermal Energy Source for Heat Production and Electricity Generation in Remote Northern Regions |
topic_facet |
geothermal energy geothermal gradient paleoclimate numerical model Monte Carlo method heat-in-place theoretical potential technical potential petrothermal system Nunavik |
description |
The Canadian off-grid communities heavily rely on fossil fuels. This unsustainable energetic framework needs to change, and deep geothermal energy can play an important role. However, limited data availability is one of the challenges to face when evaluating such resources in remote areas. Thus, a first-order assessment of the geothermal energy source is, therefore, needed to trigger interest for further development in northern communities. This is the scope of the present work. Shallow subsurface data and outcrop samples treated as subsurface analogs were used to infer the deep geothermal potential beneath the community of Kuujjuaq (Nunavik, Canada). 2D heat conduction models with time-varying upper boundary condition reproducing climate events were used to simulate the subsurface temperature distribution. The available thermal energy was inferred with the volume method. Monte Carlo-based sensitivity analyses were carried out to determine the main geological and technical uncertainties on the deep geothermal potential and risk analysis to forecast future energy production. The results obtained, although speculative, suggest that the old Canadian Shield beneath Kuujjuaq host potential to fulfill the community’s annual average heating demand of 37 GWh. Hence, deep geothermal energy can be a promising solution to support the energy transition of remote northern communities. |
format |
Text |
author |
Mafalda M. Miranda Jasmin Raymond Chrystel Dezayes |
author_facet |
Mafalda M. Miranda Jasmin Raymond Chrystel Dezayes |
author_sort |
Mafalda M. Miranda |
title |
Uncertainty and Risk Evaluation of Deep Geothermal Energy Source for Heat Production and Electricity Generation in Remote Northern Regions |
title_short |
Uncertainty and Risk Evaluation of Deep Geothermal Energy Source for Heat Production and Electricity Generation in Remote Northern Regions |
title_full |
Uncertainty and Risk Evaluation of Deep Geothermal Energy Source for Heat Production and Electricity Generation in Remote Northern Regions |
title_fullStr |
Uncertainty and Risk Evaluation of Deep Geothermal Energy Source for Heat Production and Electricity Generation in Remote Northern Regions |
title_full_unstemmed |
Uncertainty and Risk Evaluation of Deep Geothermal Energy Source for Heat Production and Electricity Generation in Remote Northern Regions |
title_sort |
uncertainty and risk evaluation of deep geothermal energy source for heat production and electricity generation in remote northern regions |
publisher |
Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute |
publishDate |
2020 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.3390/en13164221 |
long_lat |
ENVELOPE(-68.398,-68.398,58.100,58.100) |
geographic |
Canada Kuujjuaq Nunavik |
geographic_facet |
Canada Kuujjuaq Nunavik |
genre |
Kuujjuaq Nunavik |
genre_facet |
Kuujjuaq Nunavik |
op_source |
Energies; Volume 13; Issue 16; Pages: 4221 |
op_relation |
H2: Geothermal https://dx.doi.org/10.3390/en13164221 |
op_rights |
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.3390/en13164221 |
container_title |
Energies |
container_volume |
13 |
container_issue |
16 |
container_start_page |
4221 |
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1774719716384833536 |