Norvegijos taupomųjų bankų analizė

• Main Author: Strolytė, Modesta
• Other Authors: Maniušis, Vytautas
• Format: Bachelor Thesis
• Language: Lithuanian; English
• Published: Institutional Repository of Vilnius University 2017
• Subjects: Nord-Norge
• Online Access: http://vu.oai.elaba.lt/documents/23321286.pdf; http://vu.lvb.lt/VU:ELABAETD23321286&prefLang=en_US

Recent changes in Norwegian economy caused by the shock of oil prices has an impact on Norwegian banking section. While analyzing the total worth of loans and housing credits as well as total worth of defaulted and impairment loans in Norwegian savings bank Nord - Norge it is possible to estimate the prospects of this bank. The goal of the thesis is to analyze and find the best methods of predicting these two indicators. After applying Box - Cox power transformation for the data, finding the best fitting ARIMA model and forecasting it we can get the most accurate predictions for the total worth of loans and housing credits in Nord - Norge bank. The best way to predict the behaviour of total worth of defaulted and impairment loans in this particular bank is to transform the data into logarithms and do an exponential smoothing procedure. These predictions and predicting methods could be helpful for analysts of banking section to evaluate the state of Norwegian savings bank Nord - Norge.