Measuring progress and projecting attainment on the basis of past trends of the health-related Sustainable Development Goals in 188 countries: an analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016
Background The UN's Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) are grounded in the global ambition of “leaving no one behind”. Understanding today's gains and gaps for the health-related SDGs is essential for decision makers as they aim to improve the health of populations. As part of the Global...
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ftleicesterunfig:oai:figshare.com:article/10200086 2023-05-15T16:53:00+02:00 Measuring progress and projecting attainment on the basis of past trends of the health-related Sustainable Development Goals in 188 countries: an analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016 N Fullman RM Barber AA Abajobir KH Abate C Abbafati KM Abbas F Abd-Allah AM Abdulle SF Abera V Aboyans LJ Abu-Raddad A Kastor SV Katikireddi N Kawakami PN Keiyoro SG Kelbore Z Al-Aly L Kemmer AP Kengne CN Kesavachandran R Estanislao Castro JM Geleijnse YS Khader IA Khalil EA Khan Y-H Khang A Khosravi J Khubchandani C Kieling K Alam D Kim JY Kim A Geleto F Catala-Lopez YJ Kim RW Kimokoti Y Kinfu A Kisa KA Kissimova-Skarbek M Kivimaki Y Kokubo JA Kopec N Alam BL Gemechu S Kosen NME Abu-Rmeileh PA Koul A Koyanagi M Kravchenko KJ Krohn 2017-09-12T00:00:00Z https://figshare.com/articles/journal_contribution/Measuring_progress_and_projecting_attainment_on_the_basis_of_past_trends_of_the_health-related_Sustainable_Development_Goals_in_188_countries_an_analysis_from_the_Global_Burden_of_Disease_Study_2016/10200086 unknown 2381/42557 https://figshare.com/articles/journal_contribution/Measuring_progress_and_projecting_attainment_on_the_basis_of_past_trends_of_the_health-related_Sustainable_Development_Goals_in_188_countries_an_analysis_from_the_Global_Burden_of_Disease_Study_2016/10200086 CC BY 4.0 CC-BY Uncategorized Science & Technology Life Sciences & Biomedicine Medicine General & Internal General & Internal Medicine DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE PREPAID PRIVATE COVERAGE MORTALITY CARE 40-PERCENT GOVERNMENT SYSTEMS MEXICO CHINA Text Journal contribution 2017 ftleicesterunfig 2021-11-11T19:28:56Z Background The UN's Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) are grounded in the global ambition of “leaving no one behind”. Understanding today's gains and gaps for the health-related SDGs is essential for decision makers as they aim to improve the health of populations. As part of the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2016 (GBD 2016), we measured 37 of the 50 health-related SDG indicators over the period 1990–2016 for 188 countries, and then on the basis of these past trends, we projected indicators to 2030. Methods We used standardised GBD 2016 methods to measure 37 health-related indicators from 1990 to 2016, an increase of four indicators since GBD 2015. We substantially revised the universal health coverage (UHC) measure, which focuses on coverage of essential health services, to also represent personal health-care access and quality for several non-communicable diseases. We transformed each indicator on a scale of 0–100, with 0 as the 2·5th percentile estimated between 1990 and 2030, and 100 as the 97·5th percentile during that time. An index representing all 37 health-related SDG indicators was constructed by taking the geometric mean of scaled indicators by target. On the basis of past trends, we produced projections of indicator values, using a weighted average of the indicator and country-specific annualised rates of change from 1990 to 2016 with weights for each annual rate of change based on out-of-sample validity. 24 of the currently measured health-related SDG indicators have defined SDG targets, against which we assessed attainment. Findings Globally, the median health-related SDG index was 56·7 (IQR 31·9–66·8) in 2016 and country-level performance markedly varied, with Singapore (86·8, 95% uncertainty interval 84·6–88·9), Iceland (86·0, 84·1–87·6), and Sweden (85·6, 81·8–87·8) having the highest levels in 2016 and Afghanistan (10·9, 9·6–11·9), the Central African Republic (11·0, 8·8–13·8), and Somalia (11·3, 9·5–13·1) recording the lowest. Between 2000 and 2016, notable ... Other Non-Article Part of Journal/Newspaper Iceland University of Leicester: Figshare |
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Open Polar |
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University of Leicester: Figshare |
op_collection_id |
ftleicesterunfig |
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unknown |
topic |
Uncategorized Science & Technology Life Sciences & Biomedicine Medicine General & Internal General & Internal Medicine DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE PREPAID PRIVATE COVERAGE MORTALITY CARE 40-PERCENT GOVERNMENT SYSTEMS MEXICO CHINA |
spellingShingle |
Uncategorized Science & Technology Life Sciences & Biomedicine Medicine General & Internal General & Internal Medicine DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE PREPAID PRIVATE COVERAGE MORTALITY CARE 40-PERCENT GOVERNMENT SYSTEMS MEXICO CHINA N Fullman RM Barber AA Abajobir KH Abate C Abbafati KM Abbas F Abd-Allah AM Abdulle SF Abera V Aboyans LJ Abu-Raddad A Kastor SV Katikireddi N Kawakami PN Keiyoro SG Kelbore Z Al-Aly L Kemmer AP Kengne CN Kesavachandran R Estanislao Castro JM Geleijnse YS Khader IA Khalil EA Khan Y-H Khang A Khosravi J Khubchandani C Kieling K Alam D Kim JY Kim A Geleto F Catala-Lopez YJ Kim RW Kimokoti Y Kinfu A Kisa KA Kissimova-Skarbek M Kivimaki Y Kokubo JA Kopec N Alam BL Gemechu S Kosen NME Abu-Rmeileh PA Koul A Koyanagi M Kravchenko KJ Krohn Measuring progress and projecting attainment on the basis of past trends of the health-related Sustainable Development Goals in 188 countries: an analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016 |
topic_facet |
Uncategorized Science & Technology Life Sciences & Biomedicine Medicine General & Internal General & Internal Medicine DEVELOPMENT ASSISTANCE PREPAID PRIVATE COVERAGE MORTALITY CARE 40-PERCENT GOVERNMENT SYSTEMS MEXICO CHINA |
description |
Background The UN's Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) are grounded in the global ambition of “leaving no one behind”. Understanding today's gains and gaps for the health-related SDGs is essential for decision makers as they aim to improve the health of populations. As part of the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2016 (GBD 2016), we measured 37 of the 50 health-related SDG indicators over the period 1990–2016 for 188 countries, and then on the basis of these past trends, we projected indicators to 2030. Methods We used standardised GBD 2016 methods to measure 37 health-related indicators from 1990 to 2016, an increase of four indicators since GBD 2015. We substantially revised the universal health coverage (UHC) measure, which focuses on coverage of essential health services, to also represent personal health-care access and quality for several non-communicable diseases. We transformed each indicator on a scale of 0–100, with 0 as the 2·5th percentile estimated between 1990 and 2030, and 100 as the 97·5th percentile during that time. An index representing all 37 health-related SDG indicators was constructed by taking the geometric mean of scaled indicators by target. On the basis of past trends, we produced projections of indicator values, using a weighted average of the indicator and country-specific annualised rates of change from 1990 to 2016 with weights for each annual rate of change based on out-of-sample validity. 24 of the currently measured health-related SDG indicators have defined SDG targets, against which we assessed attainment. Findings Globally, the median health-related SDG index was 56·7 (IQR 31·9–66·8) in 2016 and country-level performance markedly varied, with Singapore (86·8, 95% uncertainty interval 84·6–88·9), Iceland (86·0, 84·1–87·6), and Sweden (85·6, 81·8–87·8) having the highest levels in 2016 and Afghanistan (10·9, 9·6–11·9), the Central African Republic (11·0, 8·8–13·8), and Somalia (11·3, 9·5–13·1) recording the lowest. Between 2000 and 2016, notable ... |
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Other Non-Article Part of Journal/Newspaper |
author |
N Fullman RM Barber AA Abajobir KH Abate C Abbafati KM Abbas F Abd-Allah AM Abdulle SF Abera V Aboyans LJ Abu-Raddad A Kastor SV Katikireddi N Kawakami PN Keiyoro SG Kelbore Z Al-Aly L Kemmer AP Kengne CN Kesavachandran R Estanislao Castro JM Geleijnse YS Khader IA Khalil EA Khan Y-H Khang A Khosravi J Khubchandani C Kieling K Alam D Kim JY Kim A Geleto F Catala-Lopez YJ Kim RW Kimokoti Y Kinfu A Kisa KA Kissimova-Skarbek M Kivimaki Y Kokubo JA Kopec N Alam BL Gemechu S Kosen NME Abu-Rmeileh PA Koul A Koyanagi M Kravchenko KJ Krohn |
author_facet |
N Fullman RM Barber AA Abajobir KH Abate C Abbafati KM Abbas F Abd-Allah AM Abdulle SF Abera V Aboyans LJ Abu-Raddad A Kastor SV Katikireddi N Kawakami PN Keiyoro SG Kelbore Z Al-Aly L Kemmer AP Kengne CN Kesavachandran R Estanislao Castro JM Geleijnse YS Khader IA Khalil EA Khan Y-H Khang A Khosravi J Khubchandani C Kieling K Alam D Kim JY Kim A Geleto F Catala-Lopez YJ Kim RW Kimokoti Y Kinfu A Kisa KA Kissimova-Skarbek M Kivimaki Y Kokubo JA Kopec N Alam BL Gemechu S Kosen NME Abu-Rmeileh PA Koul A Koyanagi M Kravchenko KJ Krohn |
author_sort |
N Fullman |
title |
Measuring progress and projecting attainment on the basis of past trends of the health-related Sustainable Development Goals in 188 countries: an analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016 |
title_short |
Measuring progress and projecting attainment on the basis of past trends of the health-related Sustainable Development Goals in 188 countries: an analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016 |
title_full |
Measuring progress and projecting attainment on the basis of past trends of the health-related Sustainable Development Goals in 188 countries: an analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016 |
title_fullStr |
Measuring progress and projecting attainment on the basis of past trends of the health-related Sustainable Development Goals in 188 countries: an analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016 |
title_full_unstemmed |
Measuring progress and projecting attainment on the basis of past trends of the health-related Sustainable Development Goals in 188 countries: an analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016 |
title_sort |
measuring progress and projecting attainment on the basis of past trends of the health-related sustainable development goals in 188 countries: an analysis from the global burden of disease study 2016 |
publishDate |
2017 |
url |
https://figshare.com/articles/journal_contribution/Measuring_progress_and_projecting_attainment_on_the_basis_of_past_trends_of_the_health-related_Sustainable_Development_Goals_in_188_countries_an_analysis_from_the_Global_Burden_of_Disease_Study_2016/10200086 |
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Iceland |
genre_facet |
Iceland |
op_relation |
2381/42557 https://figshare.com/articles/journal_contribution/Measuring_progress_and_projecting_attainment_on_the_basis_of_past_trends_of_the_health-related_Sustainable_Development_Goals_in_188_countries_an_analysis_from_the_Global_Burden_of_Disease_Study_2016/10200086 |
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CC BY 4.0 |
op_rightsnorm |
CC-BY |
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1766043512512446464 |