The influence of Arctic amplification on mid-latitude summer circulation

• Main Authors: Coumou, D., Di Capua, G., Vavrus, S., Wang, L., Wang, S.
• Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
• Language: English
• Published: [London] : Nature Publishing Group UK 2018
• Subjects: jet stream; midlatitude environment; oceanic circulation; sea ice; snow cover; storm track; summer; teleconnection; 500; 550; 333.7; Arctic; Sea ice
• Online Access: https://oa.tib.eu/renate/handle/123456789/11325; https://doi.org/10.34657/10360

Accelerated warming in the Arctic, as compared to the rest of the globe, might have profound impacts on mid-latitude weather. Most studies analyzing Arctic links to mid-latitude weather focused on winter, yet recent summers have seen strong reductions in sea-ice extent and snow cover, a weakened equator-to-pole thermal gradient and associated weakening of the mid-latitude circulation. We review the scientific evidence behind three leading hypotheses on the influence of Arctic changes on mid-latitude summer weather: Weakened storm tracks, shifted jet streams, and amplified quasi-stationary waves. We show that interactions between Arctic teleconnections and other remote and regional feedback processes could lead to more persistent hot-dry extremes in the mid-latitudes. The exact nature of these non-linear interactions is not well quantified but they provide potential high-impact risks for society. publishedVersion