Can bioenergy cropping compensate high carbon emissions from large-scale deforestation of high latitudes?
Numerous studies have concluded that deforestation of the high latitudes result in a global cooling. This is mainly because of the increased albedo of deforested land which dominates over other biogeophysical and biogeochemical mechanisms in the energy balance. This dominance, however, may be due to...
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ftleibnizopen:oai:oai.leibnizopen.de:5JNS04kBdbrxVwz6bRWB 2023-10-01T03:58:55+02:00 Can bioenergy cropping compensate high carbon emissions from large-scale deforestation of high latitudes? Dass, P. Müller, C. Brovkin, V. Cramer, W. 2013 application/pdf https://doi.org/10.34657/188 https://oa.tib.eu/renate/handle/123456789/3821 eng eng München : European Geopyhsical Union CC BY 3.0 Unported https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/ Earth System Dynamics, Volume 4, Issue 2, Page 409-424 Bioenergy plantation Bioenergy potential Biogeochemical effects Biogeochemical response Climate sensitivity Cumulative emissions Devastating effects Global temperatures 500 article Text 2013 ftleibnizopen https://doi.org/10.34657/188 2023-09-03T23:23:15Z Numerous studies have concluded that deforestation of the high latitudes result in a global cooling. This is mainly because of the increased albedo of deforested land which dominates over other biogeophysical and biogeochemical mechanisms in the energy balance. This dominance, however, may be due to an underestimation of the biogeochemical response, as carbon emissions are typically at or below the lower end of estimates. Here, we use the dynamic global vegetation model LPJmL for a better estimate of the carbon cycle under such large-scale deforestation. These studies are purely theoretical in order to understand the role of vegetation in the energy balance and the earth system. They must not be mistaken as possible mitigation options, because of the devastating effects on pristine ecosystems. For realistic assumptions of land suitability, the total emissions computed in this study are higher than that of previous studies assessing the effects of boreal deforestation. The warming due to biogeochemical effects ranges from 0.12 to 0.32 °C, depending on the climate sensitivity. Using LPJmL to assess the mitigation potential of bioenergy plantations in the suitable areas of the deforested region, we find that the global biophysical bioenergy potential is 68.1 ± 5.6 EJ yr−1 of primary energy at the end of the 21st century in the most plausible scenario. The avoided combustion of fossil fuels over the time frame of this experiment would lead to further cooling. However, since the carbon debt caused by the cumulative emissions is not repaid by the end of the 21st century, the global temperatures would increase by 0.04 to 0.11 °C. The carbon dynamics in the high latitudes especially with respect to permafrost dynamics and long-term carbon losses, require additional attention in the role for the Earth's carbon and energy budget. publishedVersion Article in Journal/Newspaper permafrost LeibnizOpen (The Leibniz Association) |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
LeibnizOpen (The Leibniz Association) |
op_collection_id |
ftleibnizopen |
language |
English |
topic |
Bioenergy plantation Bioenergy potential Biogeochemical effects Biogeochemical response Climate sensitivity Cumulative emissions Devastating effects Global temperatures 500 |
spellingShingle |
Bioenergy plantation Bioenergy potential Biogeochemical effects Biogeochemical response Climate sensitivity Cumulative emissions Devastating effects Global temperatures 500 Dass, P. Müller, C. Brovkin, V. Cramer, W. Can bioenergy cropping compensate high carbon emissions from large-scale deforestation of high latitudes? |
topic_facet |
Bioenergy plantation Bioenergy potential Biogeochemical effects Biogeochemical response Climate sensitivity Cumulative emissions Devastating effects Global temperatures 500 |
description |
Numerous studies have concluded that deforestation of the high latitudes result in a global cooling. This is mainly because of the increased albedo of deforested land which dominates over other biogeophysical and biogeochemical mechanisms in the energy balance. This dominance, however, may be due to an underestimation of the biogeochemical response, as carbon emissions are typically at or below the lower end of estimates. Here, we use the dynamic global vegetation model LPJmL for a better estimate of the carbon cycle under such large-scale deforestation. These studies are purely theoretical in order to understand the role of vegetation in the energy balance and the earth system. They must not be mistaken as possible mitigation options, because of the devastating effects on pristine ecosystems. For realistic assumptions of land suitability, the total emissions computed in this study are higher than that of previous studies assessing the effects of boreal deforestation. The warming due to biogeochemical effects ranges from 0.12 to 0.32 °C, depending on the climate sensitivity. Using LPJmL to assess the mitigation potential of bioenergy plantations in the suitable areas of the deforested region, we find that the global biophysical bioenergy potential is 68.1 ± 5.6 EJ yr−1 of primary energy at the end of the 21st century in the most plausible scenario. The avoided combustion of fossil fuels over the time frame of this experiment would lead to further cooling. However, since the carbon debt caused by the cumulative emissions is not repaid by the end of the 21st century, the global temperatures would increase by 0.04 to 0.11 °C. The carbon dynamics in the high latitudes especially with respect to permafrost dynamics and long-term carbon losses, require additional attention in the role for the Earth's carbon and energy budget. publishedVersion |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Dass, P. Müller, C. Brovkin, V. Cramer, W. |
author_facet |
Dass, P. Müller, C. Brovkin, V. Cramer, W. |
author_sort |
Dass, P. |
title |
Can bioenergy cropping compensate high carbon emissions from large-scale deforestation of high latitudes? |
title_short |
Can bioenergy cropping compensate high carbon emissions from large-scale deforestation of high latitudes? |
title_full |
Can bioenergy cropping compensate high carbon emissions from large-scale deforestation of high latitudes? |
title_fullStr |
Can bioenergy cropping compensate high carbon emissions from large-scale deforestation of high latitudes? |
title_full_unstemmed |
Can bioenergy cropping compensate high carbon emissions from large-scale deforestation of high latitudes? |
title_sort |
can bioenergy cropping compensate high carbon emissions from large-scale deforestation of high latitudes? |
publisher |
München : European Geopyhsical Union |
publishDate |
2013 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.34657/188 https://oa.tib.eu/renate/handle/123456789/3821 |
genre |
permafrost |
genre_facet |
permafrost |
op_source |
Earth System Dynamics, Volume 4, Issue 2, Page 409-424 |
op_rights |
CC BY 3.0 Unported https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/ |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.34657/188 |
_version_ |
1778532169113665536 |