Linear response of east Greenland's tidewater glaciers to ocean/atmosphere warming
Predicting the retreat of tidewater outlet glaciers forms a major obstacle to forecasting the rate of mass loss from the Greenland Ice Sheet. This reflects the challenges of modeling the highly dynamic, topographically complex, and data-poor environment of the glacier-fjord systems that link the ice...
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National Academy of Sciences
2018
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Online Access: | https://eprints.whiterose.ac.uk/133634/ https://eprints.whiterose.ac.uk/133634/1/Revised%20manuscript%20ACCEPTED.pdf https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1801769115 |
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ftleedsuniv:oai:eprints.whiterose.ac.uk:133634 2023-05-15T16:21:09+02:00 Linear response of east Greenland's tidewater glaciers to ocean/atmosphere warming Cowton, T.R. Sole, A.J. Nienow, P.W. Slater, D.A. Christoffersen, P. 2018-07-31 text https://eprints.whiterose.ac.uk/133634/ https://eprints.whiterose.ac.uk/133634/1/Revised%20manuscript%20ACCEPTED.pdf https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1801769115 en eng National Academy of Sciences https://eprints.whiterose.ac.uk/133634/1/Revised%20manuscript%20ACCEPTED.pdf Cowton, T.R. orcid.org/0000-0003-1668-7372 , Sole, A.J. orcid.org/0000-0001-5290-8967 , Nienow, P.W. et al. (2 more authors) (2018) Linear response of east Greenland's tidewater glaciers to ocean/atmosphere warming. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 115 (31). pp. 7907-7912. ISSN 0027-8424 Article PeerReviewed 2018 ftleedsuniv https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1801769115 2023-01-30T22:08:53Z Predicting the retreat of tidewater outlet glaciers forms a major obstacle to forecasting the rate of mass loss from the Greenland Ice Sheet. This reflects the challenges of modeling the highly dynamic, topographically complex, and data-poor environment of the glacier-fjord systems that link the ice sheet to the ocean. To avoid these difficulties, we investigate the extent to which tidewater glacier retreat can be explained by simple variables: air temperature, meltwater runoff, ocean temperature, and two simple parameterizations of "ocean/atmosphere" forcing based on the combined influence of runoff and ocean temperature. Over a 20-y period at 10 large tidewater outlet glaciers along the east coast of Greenland, we find that ocean/atmosphere forcing can explain up to 76% of the variability in terminus position at individual glaciers and 54% of variation in terminus position across all 10 glaciers. Our findings indicate that (i) the retreat of east Greenland's tidewater glaciers is best explained as a product of both oceanic and atmospheric warming and (ii) despite the complexity of tidewater glacier behavior, over multiyear timescales a significant proportion of terminus position change can be explained as a simple function of this forcing. These findings thus demonstrate that simple parameterizations can play an important role in predicting the response of the ice sheet to future climate warming. Article in Journal/Newspaper glacier Greenland Ice Sheet Tidewater White Rose Research Online (Universities of Leeds, Sheffield & York) Greenland Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 115 31 7907 7912 |
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Open Polar |
collection |
White Rose Research Online (Universities of Leeds, Sheffield & York) |
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ftleedsuniv |
language |
English |
description |
Predicting the retreat of tidewater outlet glaciers forms a major obstacle to forecasting the rate of mass loss from the Greenland Ice Sheet. This reflects the challenges of modeling the highly dynamic, topographically complex, and data-poor environment of the glacier-fjord systems that link the ice sheet to the ocean. To avoid these difficulties, we investigate the extent to which tidewater glacier retreat can be explained by simple variables: air temperature, meltwater runoff, ocean temperature, and two simple parameterizations of "ocean/atmosphere" forcing based on the combined influence of runoff and ocean temperature. Over a 20-y period at 10 large tidewater outlet glaciers along the east coast of Greenland, we find that ocean/atmosphere forcing can explain up to 76% of the variability in terminus position at individual glaciers and 54% of variation in terminus position across all 10 glaciers. Our findings indicate that (i) the retreat of east Greenland's tidewater glaciers is best explained as a product of both oceanic and atmospheric warming and (ii) despite the complexity of tidewater glacier behavior, over multiyear timescales a significant proportion of terminus position change can be explained as a simple function of this forcing. These findings thus demonstrate that simple parameterizations can play an important role in predicting the response of the ice sheet to future climate warming. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Cowton, T.R. Sole, A.J. Nienow, P.W. Slater, D.A. Christoffersen, P. |
spellingShingle |
Cowton, T.R. Sole, A.J. Nienow, P.W. Slater, D.A. Christoffersen, P. Linear response of east Greenland's tidewater glaciers to ocean/atmosphere warming |
author_facet |
Cowton, T.R. Sole, A.J. Nienow, P.W. Slater, D.A. Christoffersen, P. |
author_sort |
Cowton, T.R. |
title |
Linear response of east Greenland's tidewater glaciers to ocean/atmosphere warming |
title_short |
Linear response of east Greenland's tidewater glaciers to ocean/atmosphere warming |
title_full |
Linear response of east Greenland's tidewater glaciers to ocean/atmosphere warming |
title_fullStr |
Linear response of east Greenland's tidewater glaciers to ocean/atmosphere warming |
title_full_unstemmed |
Linear response of east Greenland's tidewater glaciers to ocean/atmosphere warming |
title_sort |
linear response of east greenland's tidewater glaciers to ocean/atmosphere warming |
publisher |
National Academy of Sciences |
publishDate |
2018 |
url |
https://eprints.whiterose.ac.uk/133634/ https://eprints.whiterose.ac.uk/133634/1/Revised%20manuscript%20ACCEPTED.pdf https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1801769115 |
geographic |
Greenland |
geographic_facet |
Greenland |
genre |
glacier Greenland Ice Sheet Tidewater |
genre_facet |
glacier Greenland Ice Sheet Tidewater |
op_relation |
https://eprints.whiterose.ac.uk/133634/1/Revised%20manuscript%20ACCEPTED.pdf Cowton, T.R. orcid.org/0000-0003-1668-7372 , Sole, A.J. orcid.org/0000-0001-5290-8967 , Nienow, P.W. et al. (2 more authors) (2018) Linear response of east Greenland's tidewater glaciers to ocean/atmosphere warming. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 115 (31). pp. 7907-7912. ISSN 0027-8424 |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1801769115 |
container_title |
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences |
container_volume |
115 |
container_issue |
31 |
container_start_page |
7907 |
op_container_end_page |
7912 |
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1766009170942754816 |