Faltering lemming cycles reduce productivity and population size of a migratory Arctic goose species
1. The huge changes in population sizes of Arctic-nesting geese offer a great opportunity to study population limitation in migratory animals. In geese, population limitation seems to have shifted from wintering to summering grounds. There, in the Arctic, climate is rapidly changing, and this may im...
Published in: | Journal of Animal Ecology |
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Format: | Article in Journal/Newspaper |
Language: | English |
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2013
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Online Access: | https://pure.knaw.nl/portal/en/publications/cb1e3314-30b1-41fa-8288-e27d5a443b8f https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2656.12060 https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11755/cb1e3314-30b1-41fa-8288-e27d5a443b8f https://pure.knaw.nl/ws/files/459668/5410_Nolet.pdf http://mda.vliz.be/mda/directlink.php?fid=VLIZ_00000333_1377002369 |
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ftknawnlpublic:oai:pure.knaw.nl:publications/cb1e3314-30b1-41fa-8288-e27d5a443b8f 2024-04-21T07:53:52+00:00 Faltering lemming cycles reduce productivity and population size of a migratory Arctic goose species Nolet, B.A. Bauer, S. Feige, N. Kokorev, Y.I. Popov, I.Y. Ebbinge, B.S. 2013 application/pdf https://pure.knaw.nl/portal/en/publications/cb1e3314-30b1-41fa-8288-e27d5a443b8f https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2656.12060 https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11755/cb1e3314-30b1-41fa-8288-e27d5a443b8f https://pure.knaw.nl/ws/files/459668/5410_Nolet.pdf http://mda.vliz.be/mda/directlink.php?fid=VLIZ_00000333_1377002369 eng eng https://pure.knaw.nl/portal/en/publications/cb1e3314-30b1-41fa-8288-e27d5a443b8f info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess Nolet , B A , Bauer , S , Feige , N , Kokorev , Y I , Popov , I Y & Ebbinge , B S 2013 , ' Faltering lemming cycles reduce productivity and population size of a migratory Arctic goose species ' , Journal of Animal Ecology , vol. 82 , no. 4 , pp. 804-813 . https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2656.12060 international article 2013 ftknawnlpublic https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2656.1206020.500.11755/cb1e3314-30b1-41fa-8288-e27d5a443b8f 2024-04-11T00:11:30Z 1. The huge changes in population sizes of Arctic-nesting geese offer a great opportunity to study population limitation in migratory animals. In geese, population limitation seems to have shifted from wintering to summering grounds. There, in the Arctic, climate is rapidly changing, and this may impact reproductive performance, and perhaps population size of geese, both directly (e.g. by changes in snow melt) or indirectly (e.g. by changes in trophic interactions). 2. Dark-bellied brent geese (Branta bernicla bernicla L.) increased 20-fold since the 1950s. Its reproduction fluctuates strongly in concert with the 3-year lemming cycle. An earlier analysis, covering the growth period until 1988, did not find evidence for density dependence, but thereafter the population levelled off and even decreased. The question is whether this is caused by changes in lemming cycles, population density or other factors like carry-over effects. 3. Breeding success was derived from proportions of juveniles. We used an information-theoretical approach to investigate which environmental factors best explained the variation in breeding success over nearly 50 years (1960–2008). We subsequently combined GLM predictions of breeding success with published survival estimates to project the population trajectory since 1991 (year of maximum population size). In this way, we separated the effects of lemming abundance and population density on population development. 4. Breeding success was mainly dependent on lemming abundance, the onset of spring at the breeding grounds, and the population size of brent goose. No evidence was found for carryover effects (i.e. effects of conditions at main spring staging site). Negative density dependence was operating at a population size above c. 200 000 individuals, but the levelling off of the population could be explained by faltering lemming cycles alone. 5. Lemmings have long been known to affect population productivity of Arctic-nesting migratory birds and, more recently, possibly population ... Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic Branta bernicla brent geese Brent goose KNAW: Research Explorer (Royal Netherlands Academy of Arts and Sciences) Journal of Animal Ecology 82 4 804 813 |
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Open Polar |
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KNAW: Research Explorer (Royal Netherlands Academy of Arts and Sciences) |
op_collection_id |
ftknawnlpublic |
language |
English |
topic |
international |
spellingShingle |
international Nolet, B.A. Bauer, S. Feige, N. Kokorev, Y.I. Popov, I.Y. Ebbinge, B.S. Faltering lemming cycles reduce productivity and population size of a migratory Arctic goose species |
topic_facet |
international |
description |
1. The huge changes in population sizes of Arctic-nesting geese offer a great opportunity to study population limitation in migratory animals. In geese, population limitation seems to have shifted from wintering to summering grounds. There, in the Arctic, climate is rapidly changing, and this may impact reproductive performance, and perhaps population size of geese, both directly (e.g. by changes in snow melt) or indirectly (e.g. by changes in trophic interactions). 2. Dark-bellied brent geese (Branta bernicla bernicla L.) increased 20-fold since the 1950s. Its reproduction fluctuates strongly in concert with the 3-year lemming cycle. An earlier analysis, covering the growth period until 1988, did not find evidence for density dependence, but thereafter the population levelled off and even decreased. The question is whether this is caused by changes in lemming cycles, population density or other factors like carry-over effects. 3. Breeding success was derived from proportions of juveniles. We used an information-theoretical approach to investigate which environmental factors best explained the variation in breeding success over nearly 50 years (1960–2008). We subsequently combined GLM predictions of breeding success with published survival estimates to project the population trajectory since 1991 (year of maximum population size). In this way, we separated the effects of lemming abundance and population density on population development. 4. Breeding success was mainly dependent on lemming abundance, the onset of spring at the breeding grounds, and the population size of brent goose. No evidence was found for carryover effects (i.e. effects of conditions at main spring staging site). Negative density dependence was operating at a population size above c. 200 000 individuals, but the levelling off of the population could be explained by faltering lemming cycles alone. 5. Lemmings have long been known to affect population productivity of Arctic-nesting migratory birds and, more recently, possibly population ... |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Nolet, B.A. Bauer, S. Feige, N. Kokorev, Y.I. Popov, I.Y. Ebbinge, B.S. |
author_facet |
Nolet, B.A. Bauer, S. Feige, N. Kokorev, Y.I. Popov, I.Y. Ebbinge, B.S. |
author_sort |
Nolet, B.A. |
title |
Faltering lemming cycles reduce productivity and population size of a migratory Arctic goose species |
title_short |
Faltering lemming cycles reduce productivity and population size of a migratory Arctic goose species |
title_full |
Faltering lemming cycles reduce productivity and population size of a migratory Arctic goose species |
title_fullStr |
Faltering lemming cycles reduce productivity and population size of a migratory Arctic goose species |
title_full_unstemmed |
Faltering lemming cycles reduce productivity and population size of a migratory Arctic goose species |
title_sort |
faltering lemming cycles reduce productivity and population size of a migratory arctic goose species |
publishDate |
2013 |
url |
https://pure.knaw.nl/portal/en/publications/cb1e3314-30b1-41fa-8288-e27d5a443b8f https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2656.12060 https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11755/cb1e3314-30b1-41fa-8288-e27d5a443b8f https://pure.knaw.nl/ws/files/459668/5410_Nolet.pdf http://mda.vliz.be/mda/directlink.php?fid=VLIZ_00000333_1377002369 |
genre |
Arctic Branta bernicla brent geese Brent goose |
genre_facet |
Arctic Branta bernicla brent geese Brent goose |
op_source |
Nolet , B A , Bauer , S , Feige , N , Kokorev , Y I , Popov , I Y & Ebbinge , B S 2013 , ' Faltering lemming cycles reduce productivity and population size of a migratory Arctic goose species ' , Journal of Animal Ecology , vol. 82 , no. 4 , pp. 804-813 . https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2656.12060 |
op_relation |
https://pure.knaw.nl/portal/en/publications/cb1e3314-30b1-41fa-8288-e27d5a443b8f |
op_rights |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2656.1206020.500.11755/cb1e3314-30b1-41fa-8288-e27d5a443b8f |
container_title |
Journal of Animal Ecology |
container_volume |
82 |
container_issue |
4 |
container_start_page |
804 |
op_container_end_page |
813 |
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1796936763723218944 |