Predicting effects of water regime changes on waterbirds: insights from staging swans.
Predicting the environmental impact of a proposed development is notoriously difficult, especially when future conditions fall outside the current range of conditions. Individual-based approaches have been developed and applied to predict the impact of environmental changes on wintering and staging...
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Online Access: | https://pure.knaw.nl/portal/en/publications/4ed73006-f922-440e-b490-6730bb5b267f https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0147340 https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11755/4ed73006-f922-440e-b490-6730bb5b267f https://pure.knaw.nl/ws/files/1782694/6015_Nolet.pdf https://doi.org/10.5061/dryad.76r58 |
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ftknawnlpublic:oai:pure.knaw.nl:publications/4ed73006-f922-440e-b490-6730bb5b267f 2024-01-28T10:05:21+01:00 Predicting effects of water regime changes on waterbirds: insights from staging swans. Nolet, B.A. Gyimesi, A. van Krimpen, Roderick De Boer, W.F. Stillman, R.A. 2016 application/pdf https://pure.knaw.nl/portal/en/publications/4ed73006-f922-440e-b490-6730bb5b267f https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0147340 https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11755/4ed73006-f922-440e-b490-6730bb5b267f https://pure.knaw.nl/ws/files/1782694/6015_Nolet.pdf https://doi.org/10.5061/dryad.76r58 eng eng info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess Nolet , B A , Gyimesi , A , van Krimpen , R , De Boer , W F & Stillman , R A 2016 , ' Predicting effects of water regime changes on waterbirds: insights from staging swans. ' , PLoS One , vol. 11 , no. 2 , e0147340 . https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0147340 international article 2016 ftknawnlpublic https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.014734020.500.11755/4ed73006-f922-440e-b490-6730bb5b267f10.5061/dryad.76r58 2024-01-03T23:13:52Z Predicting the environmental impact of a proposed development is notoriously difficult, especially when future conditions fall outside the current range of conditions. Individual-based approaches have been developed and applied to predict the impact of environmental changes on wintering and staging coastal bird populations. How many birds make use of staging sites is mostly determined by food availability and accessibility, which in the case of many waterbirds in turn is affected by water level. Many water systems are regulated and water levels are maintained at target levels, set by management authorities. We used an individual-based modelling framework (MORPH) to analyse how different target water levels affect the number of migratory Bewick’s swans Cygnus columbianus bewickii staging at a shallow freshwater lake (Lauwersmeer, the Netherlands) in autumn. As an emerging property of the model, we found strong non-linear responses of swan usage to changes in water level, with a sudden drop in peak numbers as well as bird-days with a 0.20 m rise above the current target water level. Such strong non-linear responses are probably common and should be taken into account in environmental impact assessments. Article in Journal/Newspaper Cygnus columbianus KNAW: Research Explorer (Royal Netherlands Academy of Arts and Sciences) PLOS ONE 11 2 e0147340 |
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Open Polar |
collection |
KNAW: Research Explorer (Royal Netherlands Academy of Arts and Sciences) |
op_collection_id |
ftknawnlpublic |
language |
English |
topic |
international |
spellingShingle |
international Nolet, B.A. Gyimesi, A. van Krimpen, Roderick De Boer, W.F. Stillman, R.A. Predicting effects of water regime changes on waterbirds: insights from staging swans. |
topic_facet |
international |
description |
Predicting the environmental impact of a proposed development is notoriously difficult, especially when future conditions fall outside the current range of conditions. Individual-based approaches have been developed and applied to predict the impact of environmental changes on wintering and staging coastal bird populations. How many birds make use of staging sites is mostly determined by food availability and accessibility, which in the case of many waterbirds in turn is affected by water level. Many water systems are regulated and water levels are maintained at target levels, set by management authorities. We used an individual-based modelling framework (MORPH) to analyse how different target water levels affect the number of migratory Bewick’s swans Cygnus columbianus bewickii staging at a shallow freshwater lake (Lauwersmeer, the Netherlands) in autumn. As an emerging property of the model, we found strong non-linear responses of swan usage to changes in water level, with a sudden drop in peak numbers as well as bird-days with a 0.20 m rise above the current target water level. Such strong non-linear responses are probably common and should be taken into account in environmental impact assessments. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Nolet, B.A. Gyimesi, A. van Krimpen, Roderick De Boer, W.F. Stillman, R.A. |
author_facet |
Nolet, B.A. Gyimesi, A. van Krimpen, Roderick De Boer, W.F. Stillman, R.A. |
author_sort |
Nolet, B.A. |
title |
Predicting effects of water regime changes on waterbirds: insights from staging swans. |
title_short |
Predicting effects of water regime changes on waterbirds: insights from staging swans. |
title_full |
Predicting effects of water regime changes on waterbirds: insights from staging swans. |
title_fullStr |
Predicting effects of water regime changes on waterbirds: insights from staging swans. |
title_full_unstemmed |
Predicting effects of water regime changes on waterbirds: insights from staging swans. |
title_sort |
predicting effects of water regime changes on waterbirds: insights from staging swans. |
publishDate |
2016 |
url |
https://pure.knaw.nl/portal/en/publications/4ed73006-f922-440e-b490-6730bb5b267f https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0147340 https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11755/4ed73006-f922-440e-b490-6730bb5b267f https://pure.knaw.nl/ws/files/1782694/6015_Nolet.pdf https://doi.org/10.5061/dryad.76r58 |
genre |
Cygnus columbianus |
genre_facet |
Cygnus columbianus |
op_source |
Nolet , B A , Gyimesi , A , van Krimpen , R , De Boer , W F & Stillman , R A 2016 , ' Predicting effects of water regime changes on waterbirds: insights from staging swans. ' , PLoS One , vol. 11 , no. 2 , e0147340 . https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0147340 |
op_rights |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.014734020.500.11755/4ed73006-f922-440e-b490-6730bb5b267f10.5061/dryad.76r58 |
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11 |
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