Economic and environmental impacts of Arctic shipping: A probabilistic approach
Arctic shipping is controversial due to the trade-off between its positive economic impact and its negative environmental effects. As both effects are affected by the uncertainty related to sailing conditions encountered along the route, we develop a model that estimates how ice conditions change th...
Published in: | Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment |
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Online Access: | https://kar.kent.ac.uk/90710/ https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trd.2020.102606 |
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ftkentuniv:oai:kar.kent.ac.uk:90710 2023-05-15T14:27:22+02:00 Economic and environmental impacts of Arctic shipping: A probabilistic approach Cheaitou, Ali Faury, Olivier Cariou, Pierre Hamdan, Sadeque Fabbri, Gregory 2020-11-03 https://kar.kent.ac.uk/90710/ https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trd.2020.102606 unknown Elsevier Cheaitou, Ali, Faury, Olivier, Cariou, Pierre, Hamdan, Sadeque, Fabbri, Gregory (2020) Economic and environmental impacts of Arctic shipping: A probabilistic approach. Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment, 89 . Article Number 102606. ISSN 1361-9209. (doi:10.1016/j.trd.2020.102606 <https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trd.2020.102606>) (The full text of this publication is not currently available from this repository. You may be able to access a copy if URLs are provided) (KAR id:90710 </90710>) H Social Sciences Article PeerReviewed 2020 ftkentuniv https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trd.2020.102606 2023-03-12T19:19:52Z Arctic shipping is controversial due to the trade-off between its positive economic impact and its negative environmental effects. As both effects are affected by the uncertainty related to sailing conditions encountered along the route, we develop a model that estimates how ice conditions change the probability of blockage along the route and play on the economic and environmental attractiveness of the Northern Sea Route. The model is applied to a business case that compares the performance of two ice-class oil tankers (1A and 1AS) that use Marine Gas or Low Sulfur Fuel, and considers historical data on daily ice thickness records (2006–2016) for the probability of blockage. Our main finding is that the probability of blockage affects the choice of the optimal vessel to deploy along the Arctic Route as well as the effectiveness of various environmental policy options. © 2020 Elsevier Ltd Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic Arctic Northern Sea Route University of Kent: KAR - Kent Academic Repository Arctic Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment 89 102606 |
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University of Kent: KAR - Kent Academic Repository |
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ftkentuniv |
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unknown |
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H Social Sciences |
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H Social Sciences Cheaitou, Ali Faury, Olivier Cariou, Pierre Hamdan, Sadeque Fabbri, Gregory Economic and environmental impacts of Arctic shipping: A probabilistic approach |
topic_facet |
H Social Sciences |
description |
Arctic shipping is controversial due to the trade-off between its positive economic impact and its negative environmental effects. As both effects are affected by the uncertainty related to sailing conditions encountered along the route, we develop a model that estimates how ice conditions change the probability of blockage along the route and play on the economic and environmental attractiveness of the Northern Sea Route. The model is applied to a business case that compares the performance of two ice-class oil tankers (1A and 1AS) that use Marine Gas or Low Sulfur Fuel, and considers historical data on daily ice thickness records (2006–2016) for the probability of blockage. Our main finding is that the probability of blockage affects the choice of the optimal vessel to deploy along the Arctic Route as well as the effectiveness of various environmental policy options. © 2020 Elsevier Ltd |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Cheaitou, Ali Faury, Olivier Cariou, Pierre Hamdan, Sadeque Fabbri, Gregory |
author_facet |
Cheaitou, Ali Faury, Olivier Cariou, Pierre Hamdan, Sadeque Fabbri, Gregory |
author_sort |
Cheaitou, Ali |
title |
Economic and environmental impacts of Arctic shipping: A probabilistic approach |
title_short |
Economic and environmental impacts of Arctic shipping: A probabilistic approach |
title_full |
Economic and environmental impacts of Arctic shipping: A probabilistic approach |
title_fullStr |
Economic and environmental impacts of Arctic shipping: A probabilistic approach |
title_full_unstemmed |
Economic and environmental impacts of Arctic shipping: A probabilistic approach |
title_sort |
economic and environmental impacts of arctic shipping: a probabilistic approach |
publisher |
Elsevier |
publishDate |
2020 |
url |
https://kar.kent.ac.uk/90710/ https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trd.2020.102606 |
geographic |
Arctic |
geographic_facet |
Arctic |
genre |
Arctic Arctic Northern Sea Route |
genre_facet |
Arctic Arctic Northern Sea Route |
op_relation |
Cheaitou, Ali, Faury, Olivier, Cariou, Pierre, Hamdan, Sadeque, Fabbri, Gregory (2020) Economic and environmental impacts of Arctic shipping: A probabilistic approach. Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment, 89 . Article Number 102606. ISSN 1361-9209. (doi:10.1016/j.trd.2020.102606 <https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trd.2020.102606>) (The full text of this publication is not currently available from this repository. You may be able to access a copy if URLs are provided) (KAR id:90710 </90710>) |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trd.2020.102606 |
container_title |
Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment |
container_volume |
89 |
container_start_page |
102606 |
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1766301075171704832 |