A review of recent developments in climate change science. Part II: The global-scale impacts of climate change
This article presents a review of recent developments in studies assessing the global-scale impacts of climate change published since the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fourth Assessment Report (AR4). Literature covering six main impact sectors is reviewed: sea-level rise (SLR) and...
Published in: | Progress in Physical Geography: Earth and Environment |
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Online Access: | https://kar.kent.ac.uk/27899/ https://doi.org/10.1177/0309133311407650 |
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ftkentuniv:oai:kar.kent.ac.uk:27899 2023-05-15T17:51:33+02:00 A review of recent developments in climate change science. Part II: The global-scale impacts of climate change Gosling, S.N Warren, R. Arnell, N.W. Good, P. Caesar, J. Bernie, D. Lowe, J.A. van der Linden, P. O'Hanley, J.R. Smith, S.M. 2011-08 https://kar.kent.ac.uk/27899/ https://doi.org/10.1177/0309133311407650 unknown SAGE Publications. Gosling, S.N, Warren, R., Arnell, N.W., Good, P., Caesar, J., Bernie, D., Lowe, J.A., van der Linden, P., O'Hanley, J.R., Smith, S.M. and others. (hide) (2011) A review of recent developments in climate change science. Part II: The global-scale impacts of climate change. Progress in Physical Geography, 35 (4). pp. 443-464. ISSN 0309-1333. (doi:10.1177/0309133311407650 <https://doi.org/10.1177/0309133311407650>) (The full text of this publication is not currently available from this repository. You may be able to access a copy if URLs are provided) (KAR id:27899 </27899>) H Social Sciences Article PeerReviewed 2011 ftkentuniv https://doi.org/10.1177/0309133311407650 2023-03-12T18:58:55Z This article presents a review of recent developments in studies assessing the global-scale impacts of climate change published since the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fourth Assessment Report (AR4). Literature covering six main impact sectors is reviewed: sea-level rise (SLR) and coastal impacts, ocean acidification, ecosystems and biodiversity, water resources and desertification, agriculture and food security, and human health. The review focuses on studies with a global perspective to climate change impacts assessment, although in the absence of global studies for some sectors or aspects of impacts, national and regional studies are cited. The review highlights three major emerging themes which are of importance for the policy- and decision-making process: (1) a movement towards probabilistic methods of impacts assessment and/or the consideration of climate modelling uncertainty; (2) a move towards assessing potential impacts that could be avoided under different climate change mitigation scenarios relative to a business-as-usual reference scenario; and (3) uncertainties that remain in understanding the relationship between climate and natural or human systems. Whether recent impact assessments show a changed risk of damage to human or natural systems since the AR4 depends upon the impact sector; whether the assessments are robust or not (i.e. will stand the test of time) requires additional expert judgement. However, using this judgement, overall we find an increased risk to natural systems, and in some components of human systems. Article in Journal/Newspaper Ocean acidification University of Kent: KAR - Kent Academic Repository Progress in Physical Geography: Earth and Environment 35 4 443 464 |
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Open Polar |
collection |
University of Kent: KAR - Kent Academic Repository |
op_collection_id |
ftkentuniv |
language |
unknown |
topic |
H Social Sciences |
spellingShingle |
H Social Sciences Gosling, S.N Warren, R. Arnell, N.W. Good, P. Caesar, J. Bernie, D. Lowe, J.A. van der Linden, P. O'Hanley, J.R. Smith, S.M. A review of recent developments in climate change science. Part II: The global-scale impacts of climate change |
topic_facet |
H Social Sciences |
description |
This article presents a review of recent developments in studies assessing the global-scale impacts of climate change published since the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fourth Assessment Report (AR4). Literature covering six main impact sectors is reviewed: sea-level rise (SLR) and coastal impacts, ocean acidification, ecosystems and biodiversity, water resources and desertification, agriculture and food security, and human health. The review focuses on studies with a global perspective to climate change impacts assessment, although in the absence of global studies for some sectors or aspects of impacts, national and regional studies are cited. The review highlights three major emerging themes which are of importance for the policy- and decision-making process: (1) a movement towards probabilistic methods of impacts assessment and/or the consideration of climate modelling uncertainty; (2) a move towards assessing potential impacts that could be avoided under different climate change mitigation scenarios relative to a business-as-usual reference scenario; and (3) uncertainties that remain in understanding the relationship between climate and natural or human systems. Whether recent impact assessments show a changed risk of damage to human or natural systems since the AR4 depends upon the impact sector; whether the assessments are robust or not (i.e. will stand the test of time) requires additional expert judgement. However, using this judgement, overall we find an increased risk to natural systems, and in some components of human systems. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Gosling, S.N Warren, R. Arnell, N.W. Good, P. Caesar, J. Bernie, D. Lowe, J.A. van der Linden, P. O'Hanley, J.R. Smith, S.M. |
author_facet |
Gosling, S.N Warren, R. Arnell, N.W. Good, P. Caesar, J. Bernie, D. Lowe, J.A. van der Linden, P. O'Hanley, J.R. Smith, S.M. |
author_sort |
Gosling, S.N |
title |
A review of recent developments in climate change science. Part II: The global-scale impacts of climate change |
title_short |
A review of recent developments in climate change science. Part II: The global-scale impacts of climate change |
title_full |
A review of recent developments in climate change science. Part II: The global-scale impacts of climate change |
title_fullStr |
A review of recent developments in climate change science. Part II: The global-scale impacts of climate change |
title_full_unstemmed |
A review of recent developments in climate change science. Part II: The global-scale impacts of climate change |
title_sort |
review of recent developments in climate change science. part ii: the global-scale impacts of climate change |
publisher |
SAGE Publications. |
publishDate |
2011 |
url |
https://kar.kent.ac.uk/27899/ https://doi.org/10.1177/0309133311407650 |
genre |
Ocean acidification |
genre_facet |
Ocean acidification |
op_relation |
Gosling, S.N, Warren, R., Arnell, N.W., Good, P., Caesar, J., Bernie, D., Lowe, J.A., van der Linden, P., O'Hanley, J.R., Smith, S.M. and others. (hide) (2011) A review of recent developments in climate change science. Part II: The global-scale impacts of climate change. Progress in Physical Geography, 35 (4). pp. 443-464. ISSN 0309-1333. (doi:10.1177/0309133311407650 <https://doi.org/10.1177/0309133311407650>) (The full text of this publication is not currently available from this repository. You may be able to access a copy if URLs are provided) (KAR id:27899 </27899>) |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1177/0309133311407650 |
container_title |
Progress in Physical Geography: Earth and Environment |
container_volume |
35 |
container_issue |
4 |
container_start_page |
443 |
op_container_end_page |
464 |
_version_ |
1766158744825102336 |