A global mean sea surface temperature dataset for the Last Interglacial (129–116 ka) and contribution of thermal expansion to sea level change

A valuable analogue for assessing Earth's sensitivity to warming is the Last Interglacial (LIG; 129–116 ka), when global temperatures (0 to +2 ∘C) and mean sea level (+6 to 11 m) were higher than today. The direct contribution of warmer conditions to global sea level (thermosteric) is uncertain...

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Published in:Earth System Science Data
Main Authors: Turney, CSM, Jones, RT, McKay, NP, van Sebille, E, Thomas, ZA, Hillenbrand, C-D, Fogwill, CJ
Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
Language:English
Published: Copernicus GmbH 2020
Subjects:
Online Access:https://eprints.keele.ac.uk/9111/
https://eprints.keele.ac.uk/9111/1/essd-12-3341-2020.pdf
https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-12-3341-2020
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spelling ftkeeleuniv:oai:eprints.keele.ac.uk:9111 2023-05-15T13:32:07+02:00 A global mean sea surface temperature dataset for the Last Interglacial (129–116 ka) and contribution of thermal expansion to sea level change Turney, CSM Jones, RT McKay, NP van Sebille, E Thomas, ZA Hillenbrand, C-D Fogwill, CJ 2020-12-10 text https://eprints.keele.ac.uk/9111/ https://eprints.keele.ac.uk/9111/1/essd-12-3341-2020.pdf https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-12-3341-2020 en eng Copernicus GmbH https://eprints.keele.ac.uk/9111/1/essd-12-3341-2020.pdf Turney, CSM, Jones, RT, McKay, NP, van Sebille, E, Thomas, ZA, Hillenbrand, C-D and Fogwill, CJ orcid:0000-0002-6471-1106 (2020) A global mean sea surface temperature dataset for the Last Interglacial (129–116 ka) and contribution of thermal expansion to sea level change. Earth System Science Data, 12 (4). 3341 -3356. cc_by_4 CC-BY Article PeerReviewed 2020 ftkeeleuniv https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-12-3341-2020 2021-08-08T10:23:30Z A valuable analogue for assessing Earth's sensitivity to warming is the Last Interglacial (LIG; 129–116 ka), when global temperatures (0 to +2 ∘C) and mean sea level (+6 to 11 m) were higher than today. The direct contribution of warmer conditions to global sea level (thermosteric) is uncertain. We report here a global network of LIG sea surface temperatures (SST) obtained from various published temperature proxies (e.g. faunal and floral plankton assemblages, Mg ∕ Ca ratios of calcareous organisms, and alkenone U37K′). We summarize the current limitations of SST reconstructions for the LIG and the spatial temperature features of a naturally warmer world. Because of local δ18O seawater changes, uncertainty in the age models of marine cores, and differences in sampling resolution and/or sedimentation rates, the reconstructions are restricted to mean conditions. To avoid bias towards individual LIG SSTs based on only a single (and potentially erroneous) measurement or a single interpolated data point, here we report average values across the entire LIG. Each site reconstruction is given as an anomaly relative to 1981–2010, corrected for ocean drift, and where available seasonal estimates are provided (189 annual, 99 December–February, and 92 June–August records). To investigate the sensitivity of the reconstruction to high temperatures, we also report maximum values during the first 5 millennia of the LIG (129–124 ka). We find mean global annual SST anomalies of 0.2 ± 0.1 ∘C averaged across the LIG and an early maximum peak of 0.9 ± 0.1 ∘C, respectively. The global dataset provides a remarkably coherent pattern of higher SST increases at polar latitudes than in the tropics (demonstrating the polar amplification of surface temperatures during the LIG), with comparable estimates between different proxies. Polewards of 45∘ latitude, we observe annual SST anomalies averaged across the full LIG of > 0.8 ± 0.3 ∘C in both hemispheres with an early maximum peak of > 2.1 ± 0.3 ∘C. Using the reconstructed SSTs suggests a mean LIG global thermosteric sea level rise of 0.08 ± 0.1 m and a peak contribution of 0.39 ± 0.1 m, respectively (assuming warming penetrated to 2000 m depth). The data provide an important natural baseline for a warmer world, constraining the contributions of Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets to global sea level during a geographically widespread expression of high sea level, and can be used to test the next inter-comparison of models for projecting future climate change. The dataset described in this paper, including summary temperature and thermosteric sea level reconstructions, is available at https://doi.org/10.1594/PANGAEA.904381 (Turney et al., 2019). Article in Journal/Newspaper Antarc* Antarctic Greenland Keele University: Keele Research Repository Antarctic Greenland Earth System Science Data 12 4 3341 3356
institution Open Polar
collection Keele University: Keele Research Repository
op_collection_id ftkeeleuniv
language English
description A valuable analogue for assessing Earth's sensitivity to warming is the Last Interglacial (LIG; 129–116 ka), when global temperatures (0 to +2 ∘C) and mean sea level (+6 to 11 m) were higher than today. The direct contribution of warmer conditions to global sea level (thermosteric) is uncertain. We report here a global network of LIG sea surface temperatures (SST) obtained from various published temperature proxies (e.g. faunal and floral plankton assemblages, Mg ∕ Ca ratios of calcareous organisms, and alkenone U37K′). We summarize the current limitations of SST reconstructions for the LIG and the spatial temperature features of a naturally warmer world. Because of local δ18O seawater changes, uncertainty in the age models of marine cores, and differences in sampling resolution and/or sedimentation rates, the reconstructions are restricted to mean conditions. To avoid bias towards individual LIG SSTs based on only a single (and potentially erroneous) measurement or a single interpolated data point, here we report average values across the entire LIG. Each site reconstruction is given as an anomaly relative to 1981–2010, corrected for ocean drift, and where available seasonal estimates are provided (189 annual, 99 December–February, and 92 June–August records). To investigate the sensitivity of the reconstruction to high temperatures, we also report maximum values during the first 5 millennia of the LIG (129–124 ka). We find mean global annual SST anomalies of 0.2 ± 0.1 ∘C averaged across the LIG and an early maximum peak of 0.9 ± 0.1 ∘C, respectively. The global dataset provides a remarkably coherent pattern of higher SST increases at polar latitudes than in the tropics (demonstrating the polar amplification of surface temperatures during the LIG), with comparable estimates between different proxies. Polewards of 45∘ latitude, we observe annual SST anomalies averaged across the full LIG of > 0.8 ± 0.3 ∘C in both hemispheres with an early maximum peak of > 2.1 ± 0.3 ∘C. Using the reconstructed SSTs suggests a mean LIG global thermosteric sea level rise of 0.08 ± 0.1 m and a peak contribution of 0.39 ± 0.1 m, respectively (assuming warming penetrated to 2000 m depth). The data provide an important natural baseline for a warmer world, constraining the contributions of Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets to global sea level during a geographically widespread expression of high sea level, and can be used to test the next inter-comparison of models for projecting future climate change. The dataset described in this paper, including summary temperature and thermosteric sea level reconstructions, is available at https://doi.org/10.1594/PANGAEA.904381 (Turney et al., 2019).
format Article in Journal/Newspaper
author Turney, CSM
Jones, RT
McKay, NP
van Sebille, E
Thomas, ZA
Hillenbrand, C-D
Fogwill, CJ
spellingShingle Turney, CSM
Jones, RT
McKay, NP
van Sebille, E
Thomas, ZA
Hillenbrand, C-D
Fogwill, CJ
A global mean sea surface temperature dataset for the Last Interglacial (129–116 ka) and contribution of thermal expansion to sea level change
author_facet Turney, CSM
Jones, RT
McKay, NP
van Sebille, E
Thomas, ZA
Hillenbrand, C-D
Fogwill, CJ
author_sort Turney, CSM
title A global mean sea surface temperature dataset for the Last Interglacial (129–116 ka) and contribution of thermal expansion to sea level change
title_short A global mean sea surface temperature dataset for the Last Interglacial (129–116 ka) and contribution of thermal expansion to sea level change
title_full A global mean sea surface temperature dataset for the Last Interglacial (129–116 ka) and contribution of thermal expansion to sea level change
title_fullStr A global mean sea surface temperature dataset for the Last Interglacial (129–116 ka) and contribution of thermal expansion to sea level change
title_full_unstemmed A global mean sea surface temperature dataset for the Last Interglacial (129–116 ka) and contribution of thermal expansion to sea level change
title_sort global mean sea surface temperature dataset for the last interglacial (129–116 ka) and contribution of thermal expansion to sea level change
publisher Copernicus GmbH
publishDate 2020
url https://eprints.keele.ac.uk/9111/
https://eprints.keele.ac.uk/9111/1/essd-12-3341-2020.pdf
https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-12-3341-2020
geographic Antarctic
Greenland
geographic_facet Antarctic
Greenland
genre Antarc*
Antarctic
Greenland
genre_facet Antarc*
Antarctic
Greenland
op_relation https://eprints.keele.ac.uk/9111/1/essd-12-3341-2020.pdf
Turney, CSM, Jones, RT, McKay, NP, van Sebille, E, Thomas, ZA, Hillenbrand, C-D and Fogwill, CJ orcid:0000-0002-6471-1106 (2020) A global mean sea surface temperature dataset for the Last Interglacial (129–116 ka) and contribution of thermal expansion to sea level change. Earth System Science Data, 12 (4). 3341 -3356.
op_rights cc_by_4
op_rightsnorm CC-BY
op_doi https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-12-3341-2020
container_title Earth System Science Data
container_volume 12
container_issue 4
container_start_page 3341
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