Potential Impact of Climate Change on Ecosystems of the Barents Sea Region
The EU project BALANCE (Global Change Vulnerabilities in the Barents region: Linking Arctic Natural Resources, Climate Change and Economies) aims to assess vulnerability to climate change in the Barents Sea Region. As a prerequisite the potential impact of climate change on selected ecosystems of th...
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ftjrc:oai:publications.jrc.ec.europa.eu:JRC43103 2024-09-15T17:57:38+00:00 Potential Impact of Climate Change on Ecosystems of the Barents Sea Region RODERFELD Hedwig BLYTH Eleanor DANKERS Rutger HUSE Geir SLAGSTAD Dag ELLINGSEN Ingrid WOLF Annett LANGE Manfred A. 2008 Online https://publications.jrc.ec.europa.eu/repository/handle/JRC43103 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-007-9350-4 eng eng SPRINGER JRC43103 2008 ftjrc https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-007-9350-4 2024-07-22T04:42:14Z The EU project BALANCE (Global Change Vulnerabilities in the Barents region: Linking Arctic Natural Resources, Climate Change and Economies) aims to assess vulnerability to climate change in the Barents Sea Region. As a prerequisite the potential impact of climate change on selected ecosystems of the study area has to be quantified, which is the subject of the present paper. A set of ecosystem models was run to generate baseline and future scenarios for 1990, 2020, 2050 and 2080. The models are based on data from the Regional Climate Model (REMO), driven by a GCM which in turn is forced by the IPCC-B2 scenario. The climate change is documented by means of the Köppen climate classification. Since the multitude of models requires the effect of climate change on individual terrestrial and marine systems to be integrated, the paper concentrates on a standardised visualisation of potential impacts by use of a Geographical Information System for the timeslices 2050 and 2080. The resulting maps show that both terrestrial and marine ecosystems of the Barents region will undergo significant changes until both 2050 and 2080. JRC.H.7 - Climate Risk Management Other/Unknown Material barents region Barents Sea Climate change Joint Research Centre, European Commission: JRC Publications Repository Climatic Change 87 1-2 283 303 |
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Open Polar |
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Joint Research Centre, European Commission: JRC Publications Repository |
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ftjrc |
language |
English |
description |
The EU project BALANCE (Global Change Vulnerabilities in the Barents region: Linking Arctic Natural Resources, Climate Change and Economies) aims to assess vulnerability to climate change in the Barents Sea Region. As a prerequisite the potential impact of climate change on selected ecosystems of the study area has to be quantified, which is the subject of the present paper. A set of ecosystem models was run to generate baseline and future scenarios for 1990, 2020, 2050 and 2080. The models are based on data from the Regional Climate Model (REMO), driven by a GCM which in turn is forced by the IPCC-B2 scenario. The climate change is documented by means of the Köppen climate classification. Since the multitude of models requires the effect of climate change on individual terrestrial and marine systems to be integrated, the paper concentrates on a standardised visualisation of potential impacts by use of a Geographical Information System for the timeslices 2050 and 2080. The resulting maps show that both terrestrial and marine ecosystems of the Barents region will undergo significant changes until both 2050 and 2080. JRC.H.7 - Climate Risk Management |
author |
RODERFELD Hedwig BLYTH Eleanor DANKERS Rutger HUSE Geir SLAGSTAD Dag ELLINGSEN Ingrid WOLF Annett LANGE Manfred A. |
spellingShingle |
RODERFELD Hedwig BLYTH Eleanor DANKERS Rutger HUSE Geir SLAGSTAD Dag ELLINGSEN Ingrid WOLF Annett LANGE Manfred A. Potential Impact of Climate Change on Ecosystems of the Barents Sea Region |
author_facet |
RODERFELD Hedwig BLYTH Eleanor DANKERS Rutger HUSE Geir SLAGSTAD Dag ELLINGSEN Ingrid WOLF Annett LANGE Manfred A. |
author_sort |
RODERFELD Hedwig |
title |
Potential Impact of Climate Change on Ecosystems of the Barents Sea Region |
title_short |
Potential Impact of Climate Change on Ecosystems of the Barents Sea Region |
title_full |
Potential Impact of Climate Change on Ecosystems of the Barents Sea Region |
title_fullStr |
Potential Impact of Climate Change on Ecosystems of the Barents Sea Region |
title_full_unstemmed |
Potential Impact of Climate Change on Ecosystems of the Barents Sea Region |
title_sort |
potential impact of climate change on ecosystems of the barents sea region |
publisher |
SPRINGER |
publishDate |
2008 |
url |
https://publications.jrc.ec.europa.eu/repository/handle/JRC43103 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-007-9350-4 |
genre |
barents region Barents Sea Climate change |
genre_facet |
barents region Barents Sea Climate change |
op_relation |
JRC43103 |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-007-9350-4 |
container_title |
Climatic Change |
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87 |
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1-2 |
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283 |
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303 |
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1810433787127922688 |