Spatiotemporal heterogeneity and potential drivers of human tick-borne encephalitis in the south of Russian Far East

The south of the Russian Far East is distinguished by diversity of natural conditions for the presence of vectors and circulation of pathogens, primarily tick-borne infections. Despite the relatively low proportion of tick-borne encephalitis in the structure of tick-borne infections and the rather l...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Natalia V. Shartova, Fedor I. Korennoy, Tamara V. Vatlina, Dmitry S. Orlov, V. A. Mironova, Hairong Lee, Wang Li, S. M. Malkhazova
Other Authors: Spatio-temporal and regression analyzes were carried out with the support of a grant from the Russian Science Foundation (project No. 21–47–00016) and preliminary data analysis was carried out at the expense of the Moscow State University Development Program (P. 1220).
Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
Language:English
Published: Russian Geographical Society 2024
Subjects:
GIS
GeoDa
endemic areas
space-time clusters
modeling
Arctic
Circumpolar Health
International Journal of Circumpolar Health
Online Access:https://ges.rgo.ru/jour/article/view/3323
https://doi.org/10.24057/2071-9388-2023-3117
id ftjges:oai:oai.gesj.elpub.ru:article/3323
record_format openpolar
institution Open Polar
collection Geography, Environment, Sustainability
op_collection_id ftjges
language English
topic GIS
GeoDa
endemic areas
space-time clusters
modeling
spellingShingle GIS
GeoDa
endemic areas
space-time clusters
modeling
Natalia V. Shartova
Fedor I. Korennoy
Tamara V. Vatlina
Dmitry S. Orlov
V. A. Mironova
Hairong Lee
Wang Li
S. M. Malkhazova
Spatiotemporal heterogeneity and potential drivers of human tick-borne encephalitis in the south of Russian Far East
topic_facet GIS
GeoDa
endemic areas
space-time clusters
modeling
description The south of the Russian Far East is distinguished by diversity of natural conditions for the presence of vectors and circulation of pathogens, primarily tick-borne infections. Despite the relatively low proportion of tick-borne encephalitis in the structure of tick-borne infections and the rather low incidence rate compared to other Russian regions, the disease here has epidemiological significance, which is associated with its severe course. Therefore, it is important to identify local areas of greatest epidemic manifestation of the disease and potential drivers influencing the spread of tick-borne encephalitis. This study uses data on population incidence in the municipal districts of Khabarovsk Krai, Amur Oblast, Jewish Autonomous Oblast and Zabaikalsky Krai between 2000 and 2020. Based on Kulldorf spatial scanning statistics, a temporally stable cluster of virus circulation in the population in the southwest of Zabaikalsky Krai was identified, which existed during 2009-2018. Regression modeling using zero-inflated negative binomial regression based on a set of environmental and socio-economic predictors allowed to identify variables determining the probability of infection: the share of forest, the amount of precipitation in the warm period, population density, as well as variables reflecting population employment and socio-economic well-being. Despite the fact that tick-borne encephalitis is a natural focal disease and may be characterized by natural periods of increased incidence, the influence of the social component can have a strong impact on the epidemiological manifestation. The identified spatio-temporal differences within the study region and potential drivers must be taken into account when developing a set of preventive measures.
author2 Spatio-temporal and regression analyzes were carried out with the support of a grant from the Russian Science Foundation (project No. 21–47–00016) and preliminary data analysis was carried out at the expense of the Moscow State University Development Program (P. 1220).
format Article in Journal/Newspaper
author Natalia V. Shartova
Fedor I. Korennoy
Tamara V. Vatlina
Dmitry S. Orlov
V. A. Mironova
Hairong Lee
Wang Li
S. M. Malkhazova
author_facet Natalia V. Shartova
Fedor I. Korennoy
Tamara V. Vatlina
Dmitry S. Orlov
V. A. Mironova
Hairong Lee
Wang Li
S. M. Malkhazova
author_sort Natalia V. Shartova
title Spatiotemporal heterogeneity and potential drivers of human tick-borne encephalitis in the south of Russian Far East
title_short Spatiotemporal heterogeneity and potential drivers of human tick-borne encephalitis in the south of Russian Far East
title_full Spatiotemporal heterogeneity and potential drivers of human tick-borne encephalitis in the south of Russian Far East
title_fullStr Spatiotemporal heterogeneity and potential drivers of human tick-borne encephalitis in the south of Russian Far East
title_full_unstemmed Spatiotemporal heterogeneity and potential drivers of human tick-borne encephalitis in the south of Russian Far East
title_sort spatiotemporal heterogeneity and potential drivers of human tick-borne encephalitis in the south of russian far east
publisher Russian Geographical Society
publishDate 2024
url https://ges.rgo.ru/jour/article/view/3323
https://doi.org/10.24057/2071-9388-2023-3117
genre Arctic
Circumpolar Health
International Journal of Circumpolar Health
genre_facet Arctic
Circumpolar Health
International Journal of Circumpolar Health
op_source GEOGRAPHY, ENVIRONMENT, SUSTAINABILITY; Vol 17, No 1 (2024); 6-15
2542-1565
2071-9388
op_relation https://ges.rgo.ru/jour/article/view/3323/756
Andaev E.I., Nikitin A.Y., Yatsmenko E.V., Verigina E.V., Tolmacheva M.I., Ayugin N.I., Matveeva V.A., Balakhonov S.V. (2021). Tendencii razvitiya epidemicheskogo processa kleshchevogo virusnogo encefalita v Rossijskoj Federacii, laboratornaya diagnostika, profilaktika i prognoz na 2021 g. (Trends in Epidemic Process Development of Tick-Borne Encephalitis in the Russian Federation, Laboratory Diagnosis, Prophylaxis and Forecast for 2021). Problemy osobo opasnyh infekcij, 1:6-16. DOI:10.21055/0370-1069-2021-1-6-16 (in Russian).
Anselin L. (1995). Local Indicators of Spatial Association – LISA. Geographical Analysis, 27(2): 93–115.
Anselin L., Ibnu S., Youngihn K. (2006). GeoDa: An Introduction to Spatial Data Analysis. Geographical Analysis, 38 (1), 5-22.
Beck H., Zimmermann N., McVicar T. et al. (2018). Present and future Köppen-Geiger climate classification maps at 1-km resolution. Sci Data 5, 180214, DOI:10.1038/sdata.2018.214.
Brabec M, Daniel M, Malý M, Danielová V, Kříž B, et al. (2017). Analysis of meteorological effects on the incidence of tickborne encephalitis in the Czech Republic over a thirty-year period. Virol Res Rev, 1(1): 1-8. DOI:10.15761/VRR.1000103.
Brown C.F., Brumby S.P., Guzder-Williams B. et al. (2022). Dynamic World, Near real-time global 10 m land use land cover mapping. Sci Data 9, 251. DOI:10.1038/s41597-022-01307-4.
Burri C., Bastic V., Maeder G., Patalas E., Gern L. (2011). Microclimate and the zoonotic cycle of tick-borne encephalitis virus in Switzerland. J Med Entomol, 48: 615–627.
Cagnacci F., Bolzoni L., Rosà R., Carpi G., Hauffe H.C. et al. (2012). Effects of deer density on tick infestation of rodents and the hazard of tick-borne encephalitis. I: Empirical assessment. Int J Parasitol, 42: 365–372.
Chen X, Li F, Yin Q, Liu W, Fu S, He Y, et al. (2019). Epidemiology of tick-borne encephalitis in China, 2007- 2018. PLoS ONE 14(12): e0226712. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0226712
Chicherina G.S., Morozova O.V., Panov V.V., Romanenko V.N., Bahvalov S.A., Bahvalova V. N. (2015). Osobennosti infekcii virusom kleshchevogo encefalita Ixodes persulcatus Schulze i Ixodes pavlovskyi Pomerantsev v period rosta chislennosti i transformacii vidovoj struktury soobshchestva iksodid (Features of the tick-borne encephalitis virus infection of Ixodes persulcatus Shulze и Ixodes pavlovskyi Pomerantsev 1946 during period of growth and transformation of species structure of the ixodids community). Voprosy virusologii, 60 (5): 42-46 (in Russian).
Dampilova, I.G., Turanov, A.O. (2014). Voprosy epidemiologicheskogo nadzora za kleshchevym virusnym encefalitom v Zabajkal’skom krae (Issues of epidemiologic surveillance of tick-borne viral encephalitis in Transbaikal Territory). Nacional’nye prioritety Rossii, 3 (13), 33-36 (in Russian).
Daniel M., Kolar J., Zeman P., Pavelka K., Sadlo J. (1998). Predictive map of Ixodes Ricinus high-incidence habitats and a tick-borne encephalitis risk assessment using satellite data. Exp. Appl. Acarol, 22: 417–433.
Dragomeretskaya A.G., Kurganova O.P., Trotsenko O.E., Mzhelskaya T.V., Romanova A.P., Perepelitsa A.A., Korotkoruchko O.I., Makeeva L.S. (2018). Ocenka sostoyaniya estestvennogo populyacionnogo immuniteta k virusu kleshchevogo encefalita u naseleniya Amurskoj oblasti (Assessment of innate immune response to tick-borne encephalitis vims of the Amur region population). Zdorov’e naseleniya i sreda obitaniya – ZNiSO, (3):38-42 (in Russian).
Ecker M., Allison S. L., Meixner T., Heinz F. X. (1999). Sequence analysis and genetic classification of tick-borne encephalitis viruses from Europe and Asia. J. Gen. Virol., 1:179-185. DOI:10.1099/0022-1317-80-1-179.
Getis A., Ord J.K. (1992). The Analysis of Spatial Association by Use of Distance Statistics. Geographical Analysis, 24: 189–206.
Hilbe J. (2011). Negative binomial regression: Modeling. In Negative Binomial Regression. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 221283. DOI:10.1017/CBO9780511973420.010.
Kholodilov I., Belova O., Burenkova L., Korotkov Y., Romanova L., Morozova L., Kudriavtsev V., Gmyl L., Belyaletdinova I., Chumakov A.,
Chumakova N., Dargyn O., Galatsevich N., Gmyl A., Mikhailov M., Oorzhak N., Polienko A., Saryglar A., Volok V., Yakovlev A., Karganova G. (2019). Ixodid ticks and tick-borne encephalitis virus prevalence in the South Asian part of Russia (Republic of Tuva). Ticks Tick Borne. Dis., 10(5):959969. DOI:10.1016/j.ttbdis.2019.04.019.
Korenberg E. I., Kovalevsky Yu. V. (1985). Taezhnyĭ kleshch Ixodes persulcatus Schulze (Acarina, Ixodidae). Morfologiya, sistematika, ekologiya, medicinskoe znachenie (Taiga tick Ixodes persulcatus Schulze (Acarina, Ixodidae). Morphology, systematics, ecology, medical importance). Nauka. Leningrad, 193 (in Russian).
Korenberg E.I., Kovalevsky Yu.V. (1981). Rayonization of the tick-borne encephalitis areal (Raionirovanie areala kleshchevogo entsefalita). In: Itogi nauki i tekhnika: Meditsinskaya geografiya. M.: VINITI, 11: 148 (in Russian).
Korenberg E.I., Pomelova V.G., Osin N.S. (2013). Prirodnoochagovye infekcii, peredayushchiesya iksodovymi kleshchami (Naturally occurring infections transmitted by ixodal ticks). Moskva, Kommentarij, 463 (in Russian).
Kriz B., Benes C., Danielová V., Daniel M. (2004). Socio-economic conditions and other anthropogenic factors influencing tick-borne encephalitis incidence in the Czech Republic. Int J Med Microbiol, 37:63-8. DOI:10.1016/s1433-1128(04)80010-x.
Kulldorff M. (1997). A spatial scan statistic. Communications in Statistics: Theory and Methods, 26:6, 1481-1496. DOI:10.1080/03610929708831995.
Kulldorff M. and Information Management Services (2018). Inc. SaTScan™ v9.6: Software for the spatial and space-time scan statistics [online]. Available at: www.satscan.org.
Leonova G.N. (2007). Problema kleshchevogo encefalita na yuge Dal’nego Vostoka: ot otkrytiya do nastoyashchego vremeni (Problem of Tick-Borne Encephalitis in the south of The Far East from opening till now). Sibirskij nauchnyj medicinskij zhurnal, 4: 7-13 (in Russian).
Leonova G.N. (2015). Dinamika epidemicheskoj situacii po kleshchevomu encefalitu na Dal’nem Vostoke (The Dynamics of the Epidemiological Situation of Tick Borne Encephalitis in the Far East). Epidemiologiya i vakcinoprofilaktika, 14(3):17-22. DOI:10.31631/20733046-2015-14-3-17-22 (in Russian).
Leonova G.N. (2020). Kleshchevoj encefalit v dal’nevostochnom ochagovom regione evrazijskogo kontinenta (Tick-borne encephalitis in the Far East focal region of the Eurasian continent). ZHurnal mikrobiologii, epidemiologii i immunobiologii, 97: 150-158. DOI:10.36233/03729311-2020-97-2-150-158 (in Russian).
Li Y., Wang J., Gao M., Fang L., Liu C., Lyu X., Bai Y., Zhao Q., Li H., Yu H., Cao W., Feng L., Wang Y., Zhang B. (2017). Geographical Environment Factors and Risk Assessment of Tick-Borne Encephalitis in Hulunbuir, Northeastern China. Int J Environ Res Public Health, 26; 14(6):569. DOI:10.3390/ijerph14060569.
Lindquist L., Vapalahti O. (2008). Tick-borne encephalitis. Lancet, 31;371(9627):1861-71. DOI:10.1016/S0140-6736(08)60800-4.
Malkhazova, S. M., Mironova, V. A., Vatlina, T. V., Vladimirov, I. V., Zelikhina, S. V., Orlov, D. S. (2023). Aktual’nye prirodnoobuslovlennye zabolevaniya na yuge Dal’nego Vostoka Rossii (Actual natural diseases in the south of the Russian Far East). Voprosy geografii, 156: 273-293. DOI:10.24057/probl.geogr.156.17 (in Russian).
National Atlas of Russia. (2007). Vol. 2 (in Russian). https://nationalatlas.ru/tom2/328-330.html (accessed 20.11.2023)
On the state of sanitary and epidemiological well-being of the population in the Russian Federation in 2022: State report. M.: Federal Service for Supervision of Consumer Rights Protection and Human Welfare, 2023. 368 p. (in Russian).
Panatto D., Domnich A., Amicizia D., Reggio P., Iantomasi R. (2022). Vaccination against Tick-Borne Encephalitis (TBE) in Italy: Still a Long Way to Go. Microorganisms, 10(2):464. DOI:10.3390/microorganisms10020464.
Pen’evskaya N.A., Rudakov N.V., Rudakova S.A. (2018). Problemnye aspekty ocenki epidemiologicheskoj effektivnosti vakcinoprofilaktiki kleshchevogo encefalita (Problematic Aspects of the Evaluation of the Epidemiological Effectiveness of Vaccination against Tick-Borne Encephalitis). Epidemiologiya i vakcinoprofilaktika, 5: 102 (in Russian).
Randolph S.E. (2008) Tick-borne encephalitis incidence in Central and Eastern Europe: consequences of political transition. Micr Infect, 10: 209-216. DOI:10.1016/j.micinf.2007.12.005.
Rogov V.YU. (2023). Stanovlenie chyornoj metallurgii Bajkal’skogo regiona na osnove innovacionnyh reshenij (Stanovlenie ferrous metallurgy of the Baikal region on the basis of innovative solutions. Stanovlenie ferrous metallurgy of the Baikal region on the basis of innovative solutions.). Vestnik Zabajkal’skogo gosudarstvennogo universiteta, 29(2): 164-175 (in Russian).
Sanitarnye pravila i normy SanPiN 3.3686-21. «Sanitarno-epidemiologicheskie trebovaniya po profilaktike infekcionnyh boleznej» (Sanitary and epidemiological requirements for the prevention of infectious diseases) [online]. Available at: https://docs.cntd.ru/document/573660140?marker=6580IP (in Russian).
Shchuchinova L.D., Kozlova I.V., Zlobin V.I. (2015). Influence of altitude on tick-borne encephalitis infection risk in the natural foci of the Altai Republic, Southern Siberia. Ticks Tick Borne Dis, 6(3):322-9. DOI:10.1016/j.ttbdis.2015.02.005.
Stefanoff P., Rosinska M., Samuels S., White D.J., Morse D.L. et al. (2012). A National Case- Control Study Identifies Human Socio-Economic Status and Activities as Risk Factors for Tick-Borne Encephalitis in Poland. PLOS ONE 7(9): e45511. DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0045511.
Stefanoff P., Rubikowska B., Bratkowski J., Ustrnul Z., Vanwambeke S.O., Rosinska M. A. (2018). Predictive Model Has Identified TickBorne Encephalitis High-Risk Areas in Regions Where No Cases Were Reported Previously, Poland, 1999-2012. Int J Environ Res Public Health, 15(4):677. DOI:10.3390/ijerph15040677.
Sun R.X., Lai S.J., Yang Y., Li X.L., Liu K., Yao H.W., Zhou H., Li Y., Wang L.P., Mu D., Yin W.W., Fang L.Q., Yu H.J., Cao W.C. (2017). Mapping the distribution of tick-borne encephalitis in mainland China. Ticks Tick Borne Dis., 8(4):631-639. DOI:10.1016/j.ttbdis.2017.04.009.
Tokarevich N., Blinova O., Stoyanova N. et al. (2022). Seroprevalence of tick-borne diseases in the Northwest Federal District of the Russian Federation. Russian Journal of Infection and Immunity, 12(5):891-901. DOI:10.15789/2220-7619-SOT-1953.
Tokarevich N., Tronin A., Gnativ B., Revich B., Blinova O., Evengard B. (2017). Impact of air temperature variation on the ixodid ticks habitat and tick-borne encephalitis incidence in the Russian Arctic: the case of the Komi Republic, International Journal of Circumpolar Health, 76:1 . DOI:10.1080/22423982.2017.1298882.
Turanov A.O., Nikitin A.YA., Andaev E.I., Balahonov S.V., SHashina N.I. (2020). Differenciaciya territorii Zabajkal’skogo kraya po zabolevaemosti kleshchevym virusnym encefalitom (Differentiation of Transbaikal Territory by Tick-Borne Viral Encephalitis Incidence). Problemy osobo opasnyh infekcij, 2:108-114. DOI:10.21055/0370-1069-2020-2-108-114 (in Russian).
Uusitalo R., Siljander M., Dub T., Sane J., Sormunen J.J., Pellikka P., Vapalahti O. (2020). Modelling habitat suitability for occurrence of human tick-borne encephalitis (TBE) cases in Finland. Ticks Tick Borne Dis., 11(5):101457. DOI:10.1016/j.ttbdis.2020.101457.
Voronkova G. M., Zakharycheva T. A. (2007). Sostoyanie problemy kleshchevyh infekcij v Habarovskom krae (State of the problem of tick-borne infections in Khabarovsk Krai). Sibirskij nauchnyj medicinskij zhurnal, 4:82-88 (in Russian).
Yi Xing, Heinz-Josef Schmitt, Adriano Arguedas, Junfeng Yang (2017). Tick-borne encephalitis in China: A review of epidemiology and vaccines. Vaccine, 35, 9, 1227-1237. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2017.01.015.
Zlobin V.I., Rudakov N.V., Malov I.V. (2015). Kleshchevye transmissivnye infekcii (Tick-borne vector-borne infections). Novosibirsk: Nauka, 224 (in Russian).
https://ges.rgo.ru/jour/article/view/3323
op_rights Authors who publish with this journal agree to the following terms:Authors retain copyright and grant the journal the right of first publication with the work simultaneously licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution License that allows others to share the work with an acknowledgement of the work's authorship and initial publication in this journal.Authors can enter into separate, additional contractual arrangements for the non-exclusive distribution of the journal's published version of the work (e.g., post it to an institutional repository or publish it in a book), with an acknowledgment of its initial publication in this journal.Authors are permitted and encouraged to post their work online (e.g., in institutional repositories or on their website) prior to and during the submission process, as it can lead to productive exchanges, as well as earlier and greater citation of published work (See The Effect of Open Access).The information and opinions presented in the Journal reflect the views of the authors and not of the Journal or its Editorial Board or the Publisher. The GES Journal has used its best endeavors to ensure that the information is correct and current at the time of publication but takes no responsibility for any error, omission, or defect therein.
Авторы, публикующие в данном журнале, соглашаются со следующим:Авторы сохраняют за собой авторские права на работу и предоставляют журналу право первой публикации работы на условиях лицензии Creative Commons Attribution License, которая позволяет другим распространять данную работу с обязательным сохранением ссылок на авторов оригинальной работы и оригинальную публикацию в этом журнале.Авторы сохраняют право заключать отдельные контрактные договорённости, касающиеся не-эксклюзивного распространения версии работы в опубликованном здесь виде (например, размещение ее в институтском хранилище, публикацию в книге), со ссылкой на ее оригинальную публикацию в этом журнале.Авторы имеют право размещать их работу
op_doi https://doi.org/10.24057/2071-9388-2023-311710.21055/0370-1069-2021-1-6-1610.1038/sdata.2018.21410.15761/VRR.100010310.1038/s41597-022-01307-410.1371/journal.pone.022671210.1099/0022-1317-80-1-17910.1017/CBO9780511973420.01010.1016/j.ttbdis.2019.04.01910.
_version_ 1797575375744663552
spelling ftjges:oai:oai.gesj.elpub.ru:article/3323 2024-04-28T08:05:11+00:00 Spatiotemporal heterogeneity and potential drivers of human tick-borne encephalitis in the south of Russian Far East Natalia V. Shartova Fedor I. Korennoy Tamara V. Vatlina Dmitry S. Orlov V. A. Mironova Hairong Lee Wang Li S. M. Malkhazova Spatio-temporal and regression analyzes were carried out with the support of a grant from the Russian Science Foundation (project No. 21–47–00016) and preliminary data analysis was carried out at the expense of the Moscow State University Development Program (P. 1220). 2024-04-03 application/pdf https://ges.rgo.ru/jour/article/view/3323 https://doi.org/10.24057/2071-9388-2023-3117 eng eng Russian Geographical Society https://ges.rgo.ru/jour/article/view/3323/756 Andaev E.I., Nikitin A.Y., Yatsmenko E.V., Verigina E.V., Tolmacheva M.I., Ayugin N.I., Matveeva V.A., Balakhonov S.V. (2021). Tendencii razvitiya epidemicheskogo processa kleshchevogo virusnogo encefalita v Rossijskoj Federacii, laboratornaya diagnostika, profilaktika i prognoz na 2021 g. (Trends in Epidemic Process Development of Tick-Borne Encephalitis in the Russian Federation, Laboratory Diagnosis, Prophylaxis and Forecast for 2021). Problemy osobo opasnyh infekcij, 1:6-16. DOI:10.21055/0370-1069-2021-1-6-16 (in Russian). Anselin L. (1995). Local Indicators of Spatial Association – LISA. Geographical Analysis, 27(2): 93–115. Anselin L., Ibnu S., Youngihn K. (2006). GeoDa: An Introduction to Spatial Data Analysis. Geographical Analysis, 38 (1), 5-22. Beck H., Zimmermann N., McVicar T. et al. (2018). Present and future Köppen-Geiger climate classification maps at 1-km resolution. Sci Data 5, 180214, DOI:10.1038/sdata.2018.214. Brabec M, Daniel M, Malý M, Danielová V, Kříž B, et al. (2017). Analysis of meteorological effects on the incidence of tickborne encephalitis in the Czech Republic over a thirty-year period. Virol Res Rev, 1(1): 1-8. DOI:10.15761/VRR.1000103. Brown C.F., Brumby S.P., Guzder-Williams B. et al. (2022). Dynamic World, Near real-time global 10 m land use land cover mapping. Sci Data 9, 251. DOI:10.1038/s41597-022-01307-4. Burri C., Bastic V., Maeder G., Patalas E., Gern L. (2011). Microclimate and the zoonotic cycle of tick-borne encephalitis virus in Switzerland. J Med Entomol, 48: 615–627. Cagnacci F., Bolzoni L., Rosà R., Carpi G., Hauffe H.C. et al. (2012). Effects of deer density on tick infestation of rodents and the hazard of tick-borne encephalitis. I: Empirical assessment. Int J Parasitol, 42: 365–372. Chen X, Li F, Yin Q, Liu W, Fu S, He Y, et al. (2019). Epidemiology of tick-borne encephalitis in China, 2007- 2018. PLoS ONE 14(12): e0226712. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0226712 Chicherina G.S., Morozova O.V., Panov V.V., Romanenko V.N., Bahvalov S.A., Bahvalova V. N. (2015). Osobennosti infekcii virusom kleshchevogo encefalita Ixodes persulcatus Schulze i Ixodes pavlovskyi Pomerantsev v period rosta chislennosti i transformacii vidovoj struktury soobshchestva iksodid (Features of the tick-borne encephalitis virus infection of Ixodes persulcatus Shulze и Ixodes pavlovskyi Pomerantsev 1946 during period of growth and transformation of species structure of the ixodids community). Voprosy virusologii, 60 (5): 42-46 (in Russian). Dampilova, I.G., Turanov, A.O. (2014). Voprosy epidemiologicheskogo nadzora za kleshchevym virusnym encefalitom v Zabajkal’skom krae (Issues of epidemiologic surveillance of tick-borne viral encephalitis in Transbaikal Territory). Nacional’nye prioritety Rossii, 3 (13), 33-36 (in Russian). Daniel M., Kolar J., Zeman P., Pavelka K., Sadlo J. (1998). Predictive map of Ixodes Ricinus high-incidence habitats and a tick-borne encephalitis risk assessment using satellite data. Exp. Appl. Acarol, 22: 417–433. Dragomeretskaya A.G., Kurganova O.P., Trotsenko O.E., Mzhelskaya T.V., Romanova A.P., Perepelitsa A.A., Korotkoruchko O.I., Makeeva L.S. (2018). Ocenka sostoyaniya estestvennogo populyacionnogo immuniteta k virusu kleshchevogo encefalita u naseleniya Amurskoj oblasti (Assessment of innate immune response to tick-borne encephalitis vims of the Amur region population). Zdorov’e naseleniya i sreda obitaniya – ZNiSO, (3):38-42 (in Russian). Ecker M., Allison S. L., Meixner T., Heinz F. X. (1999). Sequence analysis and genetic classification of tick-borne encephalitis viruses from Europe and Asia. J. Gen. Virol., 1:179-185. DOI:10.1099/0022-1317-80-1-179. Getis A., Ord J.K. (1992). The Analysis of Spatial Association by Use of Distance Statistics. Geographical Analysis, 24: 189–206. Hilbe J. (2011). Negative binomial regression: Modeling. In Negative Binomial Regression. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 221283. DOI:10.1017/CBO9780511973420.010. Kholodilov I., Belova O., Burenkova L., Korotkov Y., Romanova L., Morozova L., Kudriavtsev V., Gmyl L., Belyaletdinova I., Chumakov A., Chumakova N., Dargyn O., Galatsevich N., Gmyl A., Mikhailov M., Oorzhak N., Polienko A., Saryglar A., Volok V., Yakovlev A., Karganova G. (2019). Ixodid ticks and tick-borne encephalitis virus prevalence in the South Asian part of Russia (Republic of Tuva). Ticks Tick Borne. Dis., 10(5):959969. DOI:10.1016/j.ttbdis.2019.04.019. Korenberg E. I., Kovalevsky Yu. V. (1985). Taezhnyĭ kleshch Ixodes persulcatus Schulze (Acarina, Ixodidae). Morfologiya, sistematika, ekologiya, medicinskoe znachenie (Taiga tick Ixodes persulcatus Schulze (Acarina, Ixodidae). Morphology, systematics, ecology, medical importance). Nauka. Leningrad, 193 (in Russian). Korenberg E.I., Kovalevsky Yu.V. (1981). Rayonization of the tick-borne encephalitis areal (Raionirovanie areala kleshchevogo entsefalita). In: Itogi nauki i tekhnika: Meditsinskaya geografiya. M.: VINITI, 11: 148 (in Russian). Korenberg E.I., Pomelova V.G., Osin N.S. (2013). Prirodnoochagovye infekcii, peredayushchiesya iksodovymi kleshchami (Naturally occurring infections transmitted by ixodal ticks). Moskva, Kommentarij, 463 (in Russian). Kriz B., Benes C., Danielová V., Daniel M. (2004). Socio-economic conditions and other anthropogenic factors influencing tick-borne encephalitis incidence in the Czech Republic. Int J Med Microbiol, 37:63-8. DOI:10.1016/s1433-1128(04)80010-x. Kulldorff M. (1997). A spatial scan statistic. Communications in Statistics: Theory and Methods, 26:6, 1481-1496. DOI:10.1080/03610929708831995. Kulldorff M. and Information Management Services (2018). Inc. SaTScan™ v9.6: Software for the spatial and space-time scan statistics [online]. Available at: www.satscan.org. Leonova G.N. (2007). Problema kleshchevogo encefalita na yuge Dal’nego Vostoka: ot otkrytiya do nastoyashchego vremeni (Problem of Tick-Borne Encephalitis in the south of The Far East from opening till now). Sibirskij nauchnyj medicinskij zhurnal, 4: 7-13 (in Russian). Leonova G.N. (2015). Dinamika epidemicheskoj situacii po kleshchevomu encefalitu na Dal’nem Vostoke (The Dynamics of the Epidemiological Situation of Tick Borne Encephalitis in the Far East). Epidemiologiya i vakcinoprofilaktika, 14(3):17-22. DOI:10.31631/20733046-2015-14-3-17-22 (in Russian). Leonova G.N. (2020). Kleshchevoj encefalit v dal’nevostochnom ochagovom regione evrazijskogo kontinenta (Tick-borne encephalitis in the Far East focal region of the Eurasian continent). ZHurnal mikrobiologii, epidemiologii i immunobiologii, 97: 150-158. DOI:10.36233/03729311-2020-97-2-150-158 (in Russian). Li Y., Wang J., Gao M., Fang L., Liu C., Lyu X., Bai Y., Zhao Q., Li H., Yu H., Cao W., Feng L., Wang Y., Zhang B. (2017). Geographical Environment Factors and Risk Assessment of Tick-Borne Encephalitis in Hulunbuir, Northeastern China. Int J Environ Res Public Health, 26; 14(6):569. DOI:10.3390/ijerph14060569. Lindquist L., Vapalahti O. (2008). Tick-borne encephalitis. Lancet, 31;371(9627):1861-71. DOI:10.1016/S0140-6736(08)60800-4. Malkhazova, S. M., Mironova, V. A., Vatlina, T. V., Vladimirov, I. V., Zelikhina, S. V., Orlov, D. S. (2023). Aktual’nye prirodnoobuslovlennye zabolevaniya na yuge Dal’nego Vostoka Rossii (Actual natural diseases in the south of the Russian Far East). Voprosy geografii, 156: 273-293. DOI:10.24057/probl.geogr.156.17 (in Russian). National Atlas of Russia. (2007). Vol. 2 (in Russian). https://nationalatlas.ru/tom2/328-330.html (accessed 20.11.2023) On the state of sanitary and epidemiological well-being of the population in the Russian Federation in 2022: State report. M.: Federal Service for Supervision of Consumer Rights Protection and Human Welfare, 2023. 368 p. (in Russian). Panatto D., Domnich A., Amicizia D., Reggio P., Iantomasi R. (2022). Vaccination against Tick-Borne Encephalitis (TBE) in Italy: Still a Long Way to Go. Microorganisms, 10(2):464. DOI:10.3390/microorganisms10020464. Pen’evskaya N.A., Rudakov N.V., Rudakova S.A. (2018). Problemnye aspekty ocenki epidemiologicheskoj effektivnosti vakcinoprofilaktiki kleshchevogo encefalita (Problematic Aspects of the Evaluation of the Epidemiological Effectiveness of Vaccination against Tick-Borne Encephalitis). Epidemiologiya i vakcinoprofilaktika, 5: 102 (in Russian). Randolph S.E. (2008) Tick-borne encephalitis incidence in Central and Eastern Europe: consequences of political transition. Micr Infect, 10: 209-216. DOI:10.1016/j.micinf.2007.12.005. Rogov V.YU. (2023). Stanovlenie chyornoj metallurgii Bajkal’skogo regiona na osnove innovacionnyh reshenij (Stanovlenie ferrous metallurgy of the Baikal region on the basis of innovative solutions. Stanovlenie ferrous metallurgy of the Baikal region on the basis of innovative solutions.). Vestnik Zabajkal’skogo gosudarstvennogo universiteta, 29(2): 164-175 (in Russian). Sanitarnye pravila i normy SanPiN 3.3686-21. «Sanitarno-epidemiologicheskie trebovaniya po profilaktike infekcionnyh boleznej» (Sanitary and epidemiological requirements for the prevention of infectious diseases) [online]. Available at: https://docs.cntd.ru/document/573660140?marker=6580IP (in Russian). Shchuchinova L.D., Kozlova I.V., Zlobin V.I. (2015). Influence of altitude on tick-borne encephalitis infection risk in the natural foci of the Altai Republic, Southern Siberia. Ticks Tick Borne Dis, 6(3):322-9. DOI:10.1016/j.ttbdis.2015.02.005. Stefanoff P., Rosinska M., Samuels S., White D.J., Morse D.L. et al. (2012). A National Case- Control Study Identifies Human Socio-Economic Status and Activities as Risk Factors for Tick-Borne Encephalitis in Poland. PLOS ONE 7(9): e45511. DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0045511. Stefanoff P., Rubikowska B., Bratkowski J., Ustrnul Z., Vanwambeke S.O., Rosinska M. A. (2018). Predictive Model Has Identified TickBorne Encephalitis High-Risk Areas in Regions Where No Cases Were Reported Previously, Poland, 1999-2012. Int J Environ Res Public Health, 15(4):677. DOI:10.3390/ijerph15040677. Sun R.X., Lai S.J., Yang Y., Li X.L., Liu K., Yao H.W., Zhou H., Li Y., Wang L.P., Mu D., Yin W.W., Fang L.Q., Yu H.J., Cao W.C. (2017). Mapping the distribution of tick-borne encephalitis in mainland China. Ticks Tick Borne Dis., 8(4):631-639. DOI:10.1016/j.ttbdis.2017.04.009. Tokarevich N., Blinova O., Stoyanova N. et al. (2022). Seroprevalence of tick-borne diseases in the Northwest Federal District of the Russian Federation. Russian Journal of Infection and Immunity, 12(5):891-901. DOI:10.15789/2220-7619-SOT-1953. Tokarevich N., Tronin A., Gnativ B., Revich B., Blinova O., Evengard B. (2017). Impact of air temperature variation on the ixodid ticks habitat and tick-borne encephalitis incidence in the Russian Arctic: the case of the Komi Republic, International Journal of Circumpolar Health, 76:1 . DOI:10.1080/22423982.2017.1298882. Turanov A.O., Nikitin A.YA., Andaev E.I., Balahonov S.V., SHashina N.I. (2020). Differenciaciya territorii Zabajkal’skogo kraya po zabolevaemosti kleshchevym virusnym encefalitom (Differentiation of Transbaikal Territory by Tick-Borne Viral Encephalitis Incidence). Problemy osobo opasnyh infekcij, 2:108-114. DOI:10.21055/0370-1069-2020-2-108-114 (in Russian). Uusitalo R., Siljander M., Dub T., Sane J., Sormunen J.J., Pellikka P., Vapalahti O. (2020). Modelling habitat suitability for occurrence of human tick-borne encephalitis (TBE) cases in Finland. Ticks Tick Borne Dis., 11(5):101457. DOI:10.1016/j.ttbdis.2020.101457. Voronkova G. M., Zakharycheva T. A. (2007). Sostoyanie problemy kleshchevyh infekcij v Habarovskom krae (State of the problem of tick-borne infections in Khabarovsk Krai). Sibirskij nauchnyj medicinskij zhurnal, 4:82-88 (in Russian). Yi Xing, Heinz-Josef Schmitt, Adriano Arguedas, Junfeng Yang (2017). Tick-borne encephalitis in China: A review of epidemiology and vaccines. Vaccine, 35, 9, 1227-1237. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2017.01.015. Zlobin V.I., Rudakov N.V., Malov I.V. (2015). Kleshchevye transmissivnye infekcii (Tick-borne vector-borne infections). Novosibirsk: Nauka, 224 (in Russian). https://ges.rgo.ru/jour/article/view/3323 Authors who publish with this journal agree to the following terms:Authors retain copyright and grant the journal the right of first publication with the work simultaneously licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution License that allows others to share the work with an acknowledgement of the work's authorship and initial publication in this journal.Authors can enter into separate, additional contractual arrangements for the non-exclusive distribution of the journal's published version of the work (e.g., post it to an institutional repository or publish it in a book), with an acknowledgment of its initial publication in this journal.Authors are permitted and encouraged to post their work online (e.g., in institutional repositories or on their website) prior to and during the submission process, as it can lead to productive exchanges, as well as earlier and greater citation of published work (See The Effect of Open Access).The information and opinions presented in the Journal reflect the views of the authors and not of the Journal or its Editorial Board or the Publisher. The GES Journal has used its best endeavors to ensure that the information is correct and current at the time of publication but takes no responsibility for any error, omission, or defect therein. Авторы, публикующие в данном журнале, соглашаются со следующим:Авторы сохраняют за собой авторские права на работу и предоставляют журналу право первой публикации работы на условиях лицензии Creative Commons Attribution License, которая позволяет другим распространять данную работу с обязательным сохранением ссылок на авторов оригинальной работы и оригинальную публикацию в этом журнале.Авторы сохраняют право заключать отдельные контрактные договорённости, касающиеся не-эксклюзивного распространения версии работы в опубликованном здесь виде (например, размещение ее в институтском хранилище, публикацию в книге), со ссылкой на ее оригинальную публикацию в этом журнале.Авторы имеют право размещать их работу GEOGRAPHY, ENVIRONMENT, SUSTAINABILITY; Vol 17, No 1 (2024); 6-15 2542-1565 2071-9388 GIS GeoDa endemic areas space-time clusters modeling info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion 2024 ftjges https://doi.org/10.24057/2071-9388-2023-311710.21055/0370-1069-2021-1-6-1610.1038/sdata.2018.21410.15761/VRR.100010310.1038/s41597-022-01307-410.1371/journal.pone.022671210.1099/0022-1317-80-1-17910.1017/CBO9780511973420.01010.1016/j.ttbdis.2019.04.01910. 2024-04-08T00:11:04Z The south of the Russian Far East is distinguished by diversity of natural conditions for the presence of vectors and circulation of pathogens, primarily tick-borne infections. Despite the relatively low proportion of tick-borne encephalitis in the structure of tick-borne infections and the rather low incidence rate compared to other Russian regions, the disease here has epidemiological significance, which is associated with its severe course. Therefore, it is important to identify local areas of greatest epidemic manifestation of the disease and potential drivers influencing the spread of tick-borne encephalitis. This study uses data on population incidence in the municipal districts of Khabarovsk Krai, Amur Oblast, Jewish Autonomous Oblast and Zabaikalsky Krai between 2000 and 2020. Based on Kulldorf spatial scanning statistics, a temporally stable cluster of virus circulation in the population in the southwest of Zabaikalsky Krai was identified, which existed during 2009-2018. Regression modeling using zero-inflated negative binomial regression based on a set of environmental and socio-economic predictors allowed to identify variables determining the probability of infection: the share of forest, the amount of precipitation in the warm period, population density, as well as variables reflecting population employment and socio-economic well-being. Despite the fact that tick-borne encephalitis is a natural focal disease and may be characterized by natural periods of increased incidence, the influence of the social component can have a strong impact on the epidemiological manifestation. The identified spatio-temporal differences within the study region and potential drivers must be taken into account when developing a set of preventive measures. Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic Circumpolar Health International Journal of Circumpolar Health Geography, Environment, Sustainability

Similar Items