CLIMATE CHANGE AND WATER POTENTIAL OF THE PAMIR MOUNTAINS

The Pamir region supplies water for most countries of the Central Asia. Discussions and arguments with regard to reduction of water resources related to climate change are popular today among various governmental and international institutions being a greatconcern for modern society. Probable decrea...

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Published in:GEOGRAPHY, ENVIRONMENT, SUSTAINABILITY
Main Authors: Alexander Finaev F., Liu Shiyin, Bao Weijia, Jing Li
Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
Language:English
Published: Russian Geographical Society 2016
Subjects:
Online Access:https://ges.rgo.ru/jour/article/view/109
https://doi.org/10.15356/2071-9388_03v09_2016_06
id ftjges:oai:oai.gesj.elpub.ru:article/109
record_format openpolar
institution Open Polar
collection Geography, Environment, Sustainability (E-Journal)
op_collection_id ftjges
language English
topic Pamirs;water resources;climate change;glaciers;glacial areas;river discharge;mountain precipitation
spellingShingle Pamirs;water resources;climate change;glaciers;glacial areas;river discharge;mountain precipitation
Alexander Finaev F.
Liu Shiyin
Bao Weijia
Jing Li
CLIMATE CHANGE AND WATER POTENTIAL OF THE PAMIR MOUNTAINS
topic_facet Pamirs;water resources;climate change;glaciers;glacial areas;river discharge;mountain precipitation
description The Pamir region supplies water for most countries of the Central Asia. Discussions and arguments with regard to reduction of water resources related to climate change are popular today among various governmental and international institutions being a greatconcern for modern society. Probable decrease of the Pamirs runoff will affect downstreamcountries that can face water deficiency. However, there is no scientific rationale behindsuch disputes. The Pamir region is a remote, high-mountainous and hard-to-access area with scarce observation network and no reliable data. It is not sufficiently investigated in order to perform any assessment of climate change. This article represents results of study of climate parameters change (such as temperature, precipitation and river discharge) in the Pamirs. The study area covers all countries included in this mountain region (Tajikistan, China, Afghanistan and Kyrgyzstan). Observation records, remote sensing data and GIS modeling were used in the present work. Chronological data series were divided into two equal time intervals and were treated as climatic periods. Further analysis of climate change helped to estimate its influence on change of water potential in the Pamirs. The paper considers issues of liquid and solid precipitation change in the study area.
format Article in Journal/Newspaper
author Alexander Finaev F.
Liu Shiyin
Bao Weijia
Jing Li
author_facet Alexander Finaev F.
Liu Shiyin
Bao Weijia
Jing Li
author_sort Alexander Finaev F.
title CLIMATE CHANGE AND WATER POTENTIAL OF THE PAMIR MOUNTAINS
title_short CLIMATE CHANGE AND WATER POTENTIAL OF THE PAMIR MOUNTAINS
title_full CLIMATE CHANGE AND WATER POTENTIAL OF THE PAMIR MOUNTAINS
title_fullStr CLIMATE CHANGE AND WATER POTENTIAL OF THE PAMIR MOUNTAINS
title_full_unstemmed CLIMATE CHANGE AND WATER POTENTIAL OF THE PAMIR MOUNTAINS
title_sort climate change and water potential of the pamir mountains
publisher Russian Geographical Society
publishDate 2016
url https://ges.rgo.ru/jour/article/view/109
https://doi.org/10.15356/2071-9388_03v09_2016_06
genre Journal of Glaciology
genre_facet Journal of Glaciology
op_source GEOGRAPHY, ENVIRONMENT, SUSTAINABILITY; Vol 9, No 3 (2016); 88-105
2542-1565
2071-9388
op_relation https://ges.rgo.ru/jour/article/view/109/109
Aizen V., Mayewski P., Aizen E, Joswiak D, Surazakov A, Kaspari S, Grigholm B, Krachler M, Handley M, Finaev A. (2009). Stable-isotope and trace element time series from Fedchenko glacier (Pamir) snow/firn cores. Journal of Glaciology, Vol. 55, No. 190, 2009, pp. 275–291.
Katalog lednikov SSSR. [USSR Glacier Inventory]. (1968). Tom 14. Srednjaja Azija. Vypusk 3. Chasti 4–18. Gidrometeoizdat. Leningrad. 64 p. (in Russian).
Catalogue of Pamir and Hissar-Alay glaciation for 1980 (database of A.S. Schetinnikov). (2011). Ed: M. Glazirina. UNDP. 564 p.
Climate Resiliency for Natural Resources Investments. (2011) Asian Development Bank. Project TA 7599-TAJ. 158 p.
Drozdov O.A., Vasil’ev V.A., Kobysheva N.V., Raevskij A.N., Smekalova L.K., Shkol’nyj E.P. (1989) Klimatologija [Climatology]. Leningrad. Gidrometeoizdat. 568 p. (in Russian).
Dzerdzeevskij B.L. (1975). Obshhaja cirkuljacija atmosfery i klimat [General atmospheric circulation and climate]. Izbrannye trudy. M. Nauka. 287 p. (in Russian)
Dzerdzeevskij B.L., Kurganskaja Z.M., Vitvitskaja Z.M. (1946) Tipizacija cirkuljacionnykh mehanizmov v Severnom polusharii i kharakteristika sinopticheskikh sezonov. [Classification of atmospheric circulation features in the Northen hemisphere including typifying of synoptic seasons]. Trudy NIU GUGMS. Gidrometeoizdat. 80 p. (in Russian).
Finaev A.F. (1999) Climatic Changes in the Mountain Glacier Area of Pamir. In NATO ASI Series I, Vol. 56. Ice Physics in the Natural Environment. (Eds. Wettlaufer/Dash/Untersteiner). Springer-Verlag. Berlin, Heidelberg, pp. 289–294.
Finaev A.F. (2013) Dinamika oledenenija nekotorykh rajonov Pamir-Alaja [Glaciation dynamics in some areas of the Pamir and Pamir-Alay]. Voprosy geografii i geojekologii. TOO “Institut geografii”. Almaty. № 3. pp. 32–42. (in Russian).
Oledenenie Pamiro-Alaja [Glacial areas of the Pamir-Alay]. (1993). Editor V.M. Kotlyakov M., “Nauka”. 256 p. (in Russian).
Glazyrin G.E. (1991). Gornye lednikovye sistemy, ih struktura i jevoljucija [Glacial mountain systems, their structure and evolution]. L., GIMIZ. 109 p. (in Russian).
Glazyrin G.E., Finaev A.F. (2003). Prognoz izmenenija oledenenija gor Zapadnogo Tadzhikistana [The forecast of mountain glaciation change in Western Tajikistan]. MGI Moskva. 2003. Vypusk 95, pp. 102–106. (in Russian).
Hijmans R.J., Cameron S.E., Parra J.L., Jones P.G. and Jarvis A. (2005) Very high resolution interpolated climate surfaces for global land areas. International Journal of Climatology 25: 1965–1978 (2005), pp. 1965. http://www.worldclim.org/worldclim_IJC.pdf
Liu Shiyin, Ding Yongjian. (2008) Glacier changes in West China. In Book: Concise glacier inventory of China.Editor: Shi Yafeng. Shanghai Popular Science Press, pp. 174–181.
Narovljanskij G.Ja. (1968) Aviacionnaja klimatologija [Aviation climatology]. L. Gidrometeoizdat. 268 p. (in Russian).
Pedhazur Elazar J. (1982) Multiple regression in behavioral research: Explanation and prediction (2nd ed.). New York: Holt, Rinehart and Winston. ISBN 0-03-041760-0. Finaev A.F. , Shiyin L. et al. CLIMATE CHANGE AND WATER POTENTIAL OF THE PAMIR MOUNTAINS
Shhetinnikov A.S. (1998) Morfologija i rezhim lednikov Pamiro-Alaja [Morphology and mode of glaciers in the Pamir-Alay]. Red. G.E. Glazyrin. SANIGMI. Tashkent. 220 p. (in Russian).
Tandong Yao, Thompson L., Wei Yang, Wusheng Yu, Yang Gao, Xuejun Guo, Xiaoxin Yang, Keqin Duan, Huabiao Zhao, Baiqing Xu, Jiancheng Pu, Anxin Lu, Yang Xiang, Dambaru B. Kattel and Daniel Joswiak. (2012) Different glacier status with atmospheric circulations in Tibetan Plateau and surroundings. Nature Climate Change Letters. Published online 15 july 2012. Macmillan Publishers Limited.
The international meteorological dictionary. WMO, (1992).
Unger-Shayesteh K., Vorogushyn S., Farinotti D., Gafurov A., Duethmann D., Mandychev A. and Merz B. (2013) What do we know about past changes in the water cycle of Central Asian headwaters? A review. Global and Planetary Change, 110: 4–25.
https://ges.rgo.ru/jour/article/view/109
doi:10.15356/2071-9388_03v09_2016_06
op_rights Authors who publish with this journal agree to the following terms:Authors retain copyright and grant the journal the right of first publication with the work simultaneously licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution License that allows others to share the work with an acknowledgement of the work's authorship and initial publication in this journal.Authors can enter into separate, additional contractual arrangements for the non-exclusive distribution of the journal's published version of the work (e.g., post it to an institutional repository or publish it in a book), with an acknowledgment of its initial publication in this journal.Authors are permitted and encouraged to post their work online (e.g., in institutional repositories or on their website) prior to and during the submission process, as it can lead to productive exchanges, as well as earlier and greater citation of published work (See The Effect of Open Access).The information and opinions presented in the Journal reflect the views of the authors and not of the Journal or its Editorial Board or the Publisher. The GES Journal has used its best endeavors to ensure that the information is correct and current at the time of publication but takes no responsibility for any error, omission, or defect therein.
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spelling ftjges:oai:oai.gesj.elpub.ru:article/109 2023-05-15T16:57:39+02:00 CLIMATE CHANGE AND WATER POTENTIAL OF THE PAMIR MOUNTAINS Alexander Finaev F. Liu Shiyin Bao Weijia Jing Li 2016-09-01 application/pdf https://ges.rgo.ru/jour/article/view/109 https://doi.org/10.15356/2071-9388_03v09_2016_06 eng eng Russian Geographical Society https://ges.rgo.ru/jour/article/view/109/109 Aizen V., Mayewski P., Aizen E, Joswiak D, Surazakov A, Kaspari S, Grigholm B, Krachler M, Handley M, Finaev A. (2009). Stable-isotope and trace element time series from Fedchenko glacier (Pamir) snow/firn cores. Journal of Glaciology, Vol. 55, No. 190, 2009, pp. 275–291. Katalog lednikov SSSR. [USSR Glacier Inventory]. (1968). Tom 14. Srednjaja Azija. Vypusk 3. Chasti 4–18. Gidrometeoizdat. Leningrad. 64 p. (in Russian). Catalogue of Pamir and Hissar-Alay glaciation for 1980 (database of A.S. Schetinnikov). (2011). Ed: M. Glazirina. UNDP. 564 p. Climate Resiliency for Natural Resources Investments. (2011) Asian Development Bank. Project TA 7599-TAJ. 158 p. Drozdov O.A., Vasil’ev V.A., Kobysheva N.V., Raevskij A.N., Smekalova L.K., Shkol’nyj E.P. (1989) Klimatologija [Climatology]. Leningrad. Gidrometeoizdat. 568 p. (in Russian). Dzerdzeevskij B.L. (1975). Obshhaja cirkuljacija atmosfery i klimat [General atmospheric circulation and climate]. Izbrannye trudy. M. Nauka. 287 p. (in Russian) Dzerdzeevskij B.L., Kurganskaja Z.M., Vitvitskaja Z.M. (1946) Tipizacija cirkuljacionnykh mehanizmov v Severnom polusharii i kharakteristika sinopticheskikh sezonov. [Classification of atmospheric circulation features in the Northen hemisphere including typifying of synoptic seasons]. Trudy NIU GUGMS. Gidrometeoizdat. 80 p. (in Russian). Finaev A.F. (1999) Climatic Changes in the Mountain Glacier Area of Pamir. In NATO ASI Series I, Vol. 56. Ice Physics in the Natural Environment. (Eds. Wettlaufer/Dash/Untersteiner). Springer-Verlag. Berlin, Heidelberg, pp. 289–294. Finaev A.F. (2013) Dinamika oledenenija nekotorykh rajonov Pamir-Alaja [Glaciation dynamics in some areas of the Pamir and Pamir-Alay]. Voprosy geografii i geojekologii. TOO “Institut geografii”. Almaty. № 3. pp. 32–42. (in Russian). Oledenenie Pamiro-Alaja [Glacial areas of the Pamir-Alay]. (1993). Editor V.M. Kotlyakov M., “Nauka”. 256 p. (in Russian). Glazyrin G.E. (1991). Gornye lednikovye sistemy, ih struktura i jevoljucija [Glacial mountain systems, their structure and evolution]. L., GIMIZ. 109 p. (in Russian). Glazyrin G.E., Finaev A.F. (2003). Prognoz izmenenija oledenenija gor Zapadnogo Tadzhikistana [The forecast of mountain glaciation change in Western Tajikistan]. MGI Moskva. 2003. Vypusk 95, pp. 102–106. (in Russian). Hijmans R.J., Cameron S.E., Parra J.L., Jones P.G. and Jarvis A. (2005) Very high resolution interpolated climate surfaces for global land areas. International Journal of Climatology 25: 1965–1978 (2005), pp. 1965. http://www.worldclim.org/worldclim_IJC.pdf Liu Shiyin, Ding Yongjian. (2008) Glacier changes in West China. In Book: Concise glacier inventory of China.Editor: Shi Yafeng. Shanghai Popular Science Press, pp. 174–181. Narovljanskij G.Ja. (1968) Aviacionnaja klimatologija [Aviation climatology]. L. Gidrometeoizdat. 268 p. (in Russian). Pedhazur Elazar J. (1982) Multiple regression in behavioral research: Explanation and prediction (2nd ed.). New York: Holt, Rinehart and Winston. ISBN 0-03-041760-0. Finaev A.F. , Shiyin L. et al. CLIMATE CHANGE AND WATER POTENTIAL OF THE PAMIR MOUNTAINS Shhetinnikov A.S. (1998) Morfologija i rezhim lednikov Pamiro-Alaja [Morphology and mode of glaciers in the Pamir-Alay]. Red. G.E. Glazyrin. SANIGMI. Tashkent. 220 p. (in Russian). Tandong Yao, Thompson L., Wei Yang, Wusheng Yu, Yang Gao, Xuejun Guo, Xiaoxin Yang, Keqin Duan, Huabiao Zhao, Baiqing Xu, Jiancheng Pu, Anxin Lu, Yang Xiang, Dambaru B. Kattel and Daniel Joswiak. (2012) Different glacier status with atmospheric circulations in Tibetan Plateau and surroundings. Nature Climate Change Letters. Published online 15 july 2012. Macmillan Publishers Limited. The international meteorological dictionary. WMO, (1992). Unger-Shayesteh K., Vorogushyn S., Farinotti D., Gafurov A., Duethmann D., Mandychev A. and Merz B. (2013) What do we know about past changes in the water cycle of Central Asian headwaters? A review. Global and Planetary Change, 110: 4–25. https://ges.rgo.ru/jour/article/view/109 doi:10.15356/2071-9388_03v09_2016_06 Authors who publish with this journal agree to the following terms:Authors retain copyright and grant the journal the right of first publication with the work simultaneously licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution License that allows others to share the work with an acknowledgement of the work's authorship and initial publication in this journal.Authors can enter into separate, additional contractual arrangements for the non-exclusive distribution of the journal's published version of the work (e.g., post it to an institutional repository or publish it in a book), with an acknowledgment of its initial publication in this journal.Authors are permitted and encouraged to post their work online (e.g., in institutional repositories or on their website) prior to and during the submission process, as it can lead to productive exchanges, as well as earlier and greater citation of published work (See The Effect of Open Access).The information and opinions presented in the Journal reflect the views of the authors and not of the Journal or its Editorial Board or the Publisher. The GES Journal has used its best endeavors to ensure that the information is correct and current at the time of publication but takes no responsibility for any error, omission, or defect therein. Авторы, публикующие в данном журнале, соглашаются со следующим:Авторы сохраняют за собой авторские права на работу и предоставляют журналу право первой публикации работы на условиях лицензии Creative Commons Attribution License, которая позволяет другим распространять данную работу с обязательным сохранением ссылок на авторов оригинальной работы и оригинальную публикацию в этом журнале.Авторы сохраняют право заключать отдельные контрактные договорённости, касающиеся не-эксклюзивного распространения версии работы в опубликованном здесь виде (например, размещение ее в институтском хранилище, публикацию в книге), со ссылкой на ее оригинальную публикацию в этом журнале.Авторы имеют право размещать их работу CC-BY GEOGRAPHY, ENVIRONMENT, SUSTAINABILITY; Vol 9, No 3 (2016); 88-105 2542-1565 2071-9388 Pamirs;water resources;climate change;glaciers;glacial areas;river discharge;mountain precipitation info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion 2016 ftjges https://doi.org/10.15356/2071-9388_03v09_2016_06 2021-05-21T07:34:48Z The Pamir region supplies water for most countries of the Central Asia. Discussions and arguments with regard to reduction of water resources related to climate change are popular today among various governmental and international institutions being a greatconcern for modern society. Probable decrease of the Pamirs runoff will affect downstreamcountries that can face water deficiency. However, there is no scientific rationale behindsuch disputes. The Pamir region is a remote, high-mountainous and hard-to-access area with scarce observation network and no reliable data. It is not sufficiently investigated in order to perform any assessment of climate change. This article represents results of study of climate parameters change (such as temperature, precipitation and river discharge) in the Pamirs. The study area covers all countries included in this mountain region (Tajikistan, China, Afghanistan and Kyrgyzstan). Observation records, remote sensing data and GIS modeling were used in the present work. Chronological data series were divided into two equal time intervals and were treated as climatic periods. Further analysis of climate change helped to estimate its influence on change of water potential in the Pamirs. The paper considers issues of liquid and solid precipitation change in the study area. Article in Journal/Newspaper Journal of Glaciology Geography, Environment, Sustainability (E-Journal) GEOGRAPHY, ENVIRONMENT, SUSTAINABILITY 9 3 88 105