Data insertion in volcanic ash cloud forecasting
During the eruption of Eyjafjallajökull in April and May 2010, the London Volcanic Ash Advisory Centre demonstrated the importance of infrared (IR) satellite imagery for monitoring volcanic ash and validating the Met Office operational model, NAME. This model is used to forecast ash dispersion and f...
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Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, INGV
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Online Access: | https://www.annalsofgeophysics.eu/index.php/annals/article/view/6624 https://doi.org/10.4401/ag-6624 |
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ftjaog:oai:ojs.annalsofgeophysics.eu:article/6624 2023-05-15T16:09:35+02:00 Data insertion in volcanic ash cloud forecasting Wilkins, Kate Louise Mackie, Shona Watson, Matthew Webster, Helen N. Thomson, David J. Dacre, Helen F. 2015-03-03 application/pdf https://www.annalsofgeophysics.eu/index.php/annals/article/view/6624 https://doi.org/10.4401/ag-6624 eng eng Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, INGV https://www.annalsofgeophysics.eu/index.php/annals/article/view/6624/6492 https://www.annalsofgeophysics.eu/index.php/annals/article/view/6624 doi:10.4401/ag-6624 Annals of Geophysics; V. 57 (2014): Fast Track 2: Atmospheric emissions from volcanoes Annals of Geophysics; Vol. 57 (2014): Fast Track 2: Atmospheric emissions from volcanoes 2037-416X 1593-5213 Volcanic ash remote sensing dispersion model forecasting data assimilation Atmosphere Solid Earth General info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion 2015 ftjaog https://doi.org/10.4401/ag-6624 2022-03-27T06:38:26Z During the eruption of Eyjafjallajökull in April and May 2010, the London Volcanic Ash Advisory Centre demonstrated the importance of infrared (IR) satellite imagery for monitoring volcanic ash and validating the Met Office operational model, NAME. This model is used to forecast ash dispersion and forms much of the basis of the advice given to civil aviation. NAME requires a source term describing the properties of the eruption plume at the volcanic source. Elements of the source term are often highly uncertain and significant effort has therefore been invested into the use of satellite observations of ash clouds to constrain them. This paper presents a data insertion method, where satellite observations of downwind ash clouds are used to create effective ‘virtual sources’ far from the vent. Uncertainty in the model output is known to increase over the duration of a model run, as inaccuracies in the source term, meteorological data and the parameterizations of the modelled processes accumulate. This new technique, where the dis- persion model (DM) is ‘reinitialized’ part-way through a run, could go some way to addressing this. Article in Journal/Newspaper Eyjafjallajökull Annals of Geophysics (INGV, Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia) Annals of Geophysics 57 |
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Open Polar |
collection |
Annals of Geophysics (INGV, Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia) |
op_collection_id |
ftjaog |
language |
English |
topic |
Volcanic ash remote sensing dispersion model forecasting data assimilation Atmosphere Solid Earth General |
spellingShingle |
Volcanic ash remote sensing dispersion model forecasting data assimilation Atmosphere Solid Earth General Wilkins, Kate Louise Mackie, Shona Watson, Matthew Webster, Helen N. Thomson, David J. Dacre, Helen F. Data insertion in volcanic ash cloud forecasting |
topic_facet |
Volcanic ash remote sensing dispersion model forecasting data assimilation Atmosphere Solid Earth General |
description |
During the eruption of Eyjafjallajökull in April and May 2010, the London Volcanic Ash Advisory Centre demonstrated the importance of infrared (IR) satellite imagery for monitoring volcanic ash and validating the Met Office operational model, NAME. This model is used to forecast ash dispersion and forms much of the basis of the advice given to civil aviation. NAME requires a source term describing the properties of the eruption plume at the volcanic source. Elements of the source term are often highly uncertain and significant effort has therefore been invested into the use of satellite observations of ash clouds to constrain them. This paper presents a data insertion method, where satellite observations of downwind ash clouds are used to create effective ‘virtual sources’ far from the vent. Uncertainty in the model output is known to increase over the duration of a model run, as inaccuracies in the source term, meteorological data and the parameterizations of the modelled processes accumulate. This new technique, where the dis- persion model (DM) is ‘reinitialized’ part-way through a run, could go some way to addressing this. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Wilkins, Kate Louise Mackie, Shona Watson, Matthew Webster, Helen N. Thomson, David J. Dacre, Helen F. |
author_facet |
Wilkins, Kate Louise Mackie, Shona Watson, Matthew Webster, Helen N. Thomson, David J. Dacre, Helen F. |
author_sort |
Wilkins, Kate Louise |
title |
Data insertion in volcanic ash cloud forecasting |
title_short |
Data insertion in volcanic ash cloud forecasting |
title_full |
Data insertion in volcanic ash cloud forecasting |
title_fullStr |
Data insertion in volcanic ash cloud forecasting |
title_full_unstemmed |
Data insertion in volcanic ash cloud forecasting |
title_sort |
data insertion in volcanic ash cloud forecasting |
publisher |
Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, INGV |
publishDate |
2015 |
url |
https://www.annalsofgeophysics.eu/index.php/annals/article/view/6624 https://doi.org/10.4401/ag-6624 |
genre |
Eyjafjallajökull |
genre_facet |
Eyjafjallajökull |
op_source |
Annals of Geophysics; V. 57 (2014): Fast Track 2: Atmospheric emissions from volcanoes Annals of Geophysics; Vol. 57 (2014): Fast Track 2: Atmospheric emissions from volcanoes 2037-416X 1593-5213 |
op_relation |
https://www.annalsofgeophysics.eu/index.php/annals/article/view/6624/6492 https://www.annalsofgeophysics.eu/index.php/annals/article/view/6624 doi:10.4401/ag-6624 |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.4401/ag-6624 |
container_title |
Annals of Geophysics |
container_volume |
57 |
_version_ |
1766405447692058624 |