Analysis of trends of meteoclimatic characteristics at Enderby Land, East Antarctica based on land observations data and reanalysis
The article studies the presence and possible direction of climate change in Enderby Land, East Antarctica, where from 1963 to 1999, the only meteorological station of the WMO network operated at the Molodezhnaya research station (now the summer field base of the RAE), and now an automatic meteorolo...
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Государственный научный центр Российской Федерации Арктический и антарктический научно-исследовательский институт
2022
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Subjects: | |
Online Access: | https://www.aaresearch.science/jour/article/view/443 https://doi.org/10.30758/0555-2648-2022-68-2-142-159 |
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ftjaaresearch:oai:oai.aari.elpub.ru:article/443 |
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openpolar |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Arctic and Antarctic Research |
op_collection_id |
ftjaaresearch |
language |
Russian |
topic |
температура воздуха air temperature climate trends Molodezhnaya station reanalysis wind speed and direction климатические тренды ряды реанализа скорость и направление ветра станция Молодежная |
spellingShingle |
температура воздуха air temperature climate trends Molodezhnaya station reanalysis wind speed and direction климатические тренды ряды реанализа скорость и направление ветра станция Молодежная S. V. Salivonchyk S. V. Kakareka С. В. Саливончик С. В. Какарека Analysis of trends of meteoclimatic characteristics at Enderby Land, East Antarctica based on land observations data and reanalysis |
topic_facet |
температура воздуха air temperature climate trends Molodezhnaya station reanalysis wind speed and direction климатические тренды ряды реанализа скорость и направление ветра станция Молодежная |
description |
The article studies the presence and possible direction of climate change in Enderby Land, East Antarctica, where from 1963 to 1999, the only meteorological station of the WMO network operated at the Molodezhnaya research station (now the summer field base of the RAE), and now an automatic meteorological station has been installed. The trends in surface air temperature, wind speed and direction for the period from the mid-1960s to the present have been analyzed. As initial data, we used the results of ground-based observations at the Molodezhnaya station, as well as reanalysis datasets, which made it possible to complete the instrumental series and evaluate the dynamics of temperature and wind characteristics for the last decades. Monthly values of climatic parameters were used as initial values, but for wind characteristics presented as the V and U components of the speed vector, single values were taken, according to which the average monthly wind speeds and wind distributions in directions were estimated. From different reanalysis systems, by comparison with ground-based observations, series were selected that showed the greatest similarity in the dynamics of the climatic characteristics studied. Good agreement was found between the temperature series of observations at the Molodezhnaya meteorological station and the datasets UDEL_AirT, ERA5, and GISS. The correlation between the wind observation series is less strong; ERA5 reanalysis data shows the wind speed dynamics slightly better. According to the analysis of the long-term dynamics of average annual and monthly temperatures in the region of Enderby Land, the warming trend has not been statistically confirmed, however, a progressive increase in the number of months of the year with positive temperature dynamics has been noted. Based on the analysis of wind characteristics, it is shown that only an increase in average annual wind speeds of 0,1–0,3 m/s/10 years is statistically significant. В работе исследуются наличие и направленность климатических ... |
author2 |
The work was carried out within the framework of the State programs “Monitoring of the polar regions of the Earth, development of the Belarusian Antarctic station and supporting the activities of polar expeditions for 2016–2020” and “Development of the activities of the Belarusian Antarctic station” for 2021–2025 Работа выполнена в рамках Государственных программ «Мониторинг полярных районов Земли, создание Белорусской антарктической станции и обеспечение деятельности полярных экспедиций на 2016–2020 годы» и «Развитие деятельности белорусской антарктической станции» на 2021–2025 гг. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
S. V. Salivonchyk S. V. Kakareka С. В. Саливончик С. В. Какарека |
author_facet |
S. V. Salivonchyk S. V. Kakareka С. В. Саливончик С. В. Какарека |
author_sort |
S. V. Salivonchyk |
title |
Analysis of trends of meteoclimatic characteristics at Enderby Land, East Antarctica based on land observations data and reanalysis |
title_short |
Analysis of trends of meteoclimatic characteristics at Enderby Land, East Antarctica based on land observations data and reanalysis |
title_full |
Analysis of trends of meteoclimatic characteristics at Enderby Land, East Antarctica based on land observations data and reanalysis |
title_fullStr |
Analysis of trends of meteoclimatic characteristics at Enderby Land, East Antarctica based on land observations data and reanalysis |
title_full_unstemmed |
Analysis of trends of meteoclimatic characteristics at Enderby Land, East Antarctica based on land observations data and reanalysis |
title_sort |
analysis of trends of meteoclimatic characteristics at enderby land, east antarctica based on land observations data and reanalysis |
publisher |
Государственный научный центр Российской Федерации Арктический и антарктический научно-исследовательский институт |
publishDate |
2022 |
url |
https://www.aaresearch.science/jour/article/view/443 https://doi.org/10.30758/0555-2648-2022-68-2-142-159 |
long_lat |
ENVELOPE(45.850,45.850,-67.667,-67.667) ENVELOPE(46.134,46.134,-67.683,-67.683) ENVELOPE(-44.600,-44.600,-60.750,-60.750) |
geographic |
East Antarctica Molodezhnaya Molodezhnaya Station Rae |
geographic_facet |
East Antarctica Molodezhnaya Molodezhnaya Station Rae |
genre |
Antarc* Antarctic Science Antarctica Arctic East Antarctica Enderby Land Polar Record Антарктика |
genre_facet |
Antarc* Antarctic Science Antarctica Arctic East Antarctica Enderby Land Polar Record Антарктика |
op_source |
Arctic and Antarctic Research; Том 68, № 2 (2022); 142-159 Проблемы Арктики и Антарктики; Том 68, № 2 (2022); 142-159 2618-6713 0555-2648 10.30758/0555-2648-2022-68-2 |
op_relation |
https://www.aaresearch.science/jour/article/view/443/226 Turner J., Colwell S. R., Marshall G. J., Lachlan‐Cope T. A., Carleton A. M., Jones P. D., Lagun V., Reid P.A., Iagovkina S. Antarctic climate change during the last 50 years // International journal of Climatology. 2005. V. 25. № 3. P. 279–294. Turner J., Bindschadler R.A., Convey P., Di Prisco G., Fahrbach E., Gutt J., Hodgson D.A., Mayewski P.A., Summerhayes C.P. Antarctic Climate Change and the Environment. Cambridge: SCAR, 2009. 526 p. Turner J., Barrand N. E., Bracegirdle T. J., Convey P., Hodgson D. A., Jarvis M., … & Klepikov A. Antarctic climate change and the environment: an update // Polar Record. 2014. V. 50. № 3. P. 237–259. doi:10.1017/S0032247413000296. Gillett N.P., Stone D.A., Stott P.A., Nozawa T., Karpechko A.Y., Hegerl G.C., Wehner M.F., Jones P.D. Attribution of polar warming to human influence // Nature Geoscience. 2008. V. 1. № 11. P. 750–754. Convey P. Antarctic climate change and its influences on terrestrial ecosystems // Bergstrom D., Convey P., Huiskes A.H.L. (eds.). Trends in Antarctic terrestrial and limnetic ecosystems: Antarctica as a global indicator. Dordrecht: Springer, 2006. P. 253–272. IPCC Special Report on the Ocean and Cryosphere in a Changing Climate / H.-O. Pörtner, D.C. Roberts, V. Masson-Delmotte, P. Zhai, M. Tignor, E. Poloczanska, K. Mintenbeck, A. Alegría, M. Nicolai, A. Okem, J. Petzold, B. Rama, N.M. Weyer (Eds.). Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA: Cambridge University Press, 2019. https://www.ipcc.ch/srocc/home/. Convey P., Bindschadler R., Di Prisco G., Fahrbach E., Gutt J., Hodgson D.A., Mayewski P.A., Summerhayes C.P., Turner J. Antarctic climate change and the environment // Antarctic Science. 2009. V. 21. № 6. P. 541–563. Marshall G.J., Orr A., Turner J. A predominant reversal in the relationship between the SAM and East Antarctic temperatures during the twenty-first century // Journal of Climate. 2013. V. 26. № 14. P. 5196–5204. Bromwich D.H., Nicolas J.P., Monaghan A.J., Lazzara M.A., Keller L.M., Weidner G.A., Wilson A.B. Central West Antarctica among the most rapidly warming regions on Earth // Nature Geoscience. 2013. V. 6. P. 139–145. doi:10.1038/ngeo1671. Steig E.J., Schneider D.P., Rutherford S.D., Mann M.E., Comiso J.C., Shindell D.T. Warming of the Antarctic ice-sheet surface since the 1957 International Geophysical Year // Nature. 2009. V. 457. № 7228. P. 459–462. Bracegirdle T.J., Connolley W.M., Turner J. Antarctic climate change over the twenty first century // Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres. 2008. V. 113. D03103. doi:10.1029/2007JD008933. Robinson S.A., King D.H., Bramley-Alves J., Waterman M.J., Ashcroft M.B., Wasley J., Turnbull J.D., Miller R.E., Ryan-Colton E., Benny T., Mullany K., Clarke L. J., Barry L., Hua Q. Rapid change in East Antarctic terrestrial vegetation in response to regional drying // Nature Climate Change. 2018. V. 8. № 10. P. 879–884. Harig C., Simons F.J. Accelerated West Antarctic ice mass loss continues to outpace East Antarctic gains // Earth and Planetary Science Letters. 2015. V. 415. P. 134–141. Zwally H.J., Giovinetto M.B. Overview and assessment of Antarctic ice-sheet mass balance estimates: 1992–2009 // Surveys in Geophysics. 2011. V. 32. № 4. P. 351–376. Эндерби Земля // Словарь современных географических названий / Под общ. ред. акад. В. М. Котлякова. Институт географии РАН. Екатеринбург: У-Фактория, 2006. Turner J., Chenoli S.N., Abu Samah A., Marshall G., Phillips T., Orr A. Strong wind events in the Antarctic // Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres. 2009. V. 114. D18103. doi:10.1029/2008JD011642. Merzlyakov E.G., Murphy D.J., Vincent R.A., Portnyagin Y.I. Long-term tendencies in the MLT prevailing winds and tides over Antarctica as observed by radars at Molodezhnaya, Mawson and Davis // Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics. 2009. V. 71. № 1. P. 21–32. Comiso J.C. Variability and trends in Antarctic surface temperatures from in situ and satellite infrared measurements // Journal of Climate. 2000. V. 13. № 10. P. 1674–1696. Yu L., Zhong S., Sun B. The climatology and trend of surface wind speed over Antarctica and the Southern Ocean and the implication to wind energy application // Atmosphere. 2020. V. 11. № 1. P. 108. doi:10.3390/atmos11010108. Афанасьев В.Н., Юзбашев М.М. Анализ временных рядов и прогнозирование. 2-е изд., перераб. и доп. М.: Финансы и статистика, 2012. 320 с. https://www.aaresearch.science/jour/article/view/443 doi:10.30758/0555-2648-2022-68-2-142-159 |
op_rights |
Authors who publish with this journal agree to the following terms:Authors retain copyright and grant the journal right of first publication with the work simultaneously licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution License that allows others to share the work with an acknowledgement of the work's authorship and initial publication in this journal.Authors are able to enter into separate, additional contractual arrangements for the non-exclusive distribution of the journal's published version of the work (e.g., post it to an institutional repository or publish it in a book), with an acknowledgement of its initial publication in this journal.Authors are permitted and encouraged to post their work online (e.g., in institutional repositories or on their website) prior to and during the submission process, as it can lead to productive exchanges, as well as earlier and greater citation of published work (See The Effect of Open Access). Авторы, публикующие в данном журнале, соглашаются со следующим:Авторы сохраняют за собой авторские права на работу и предоставляют журналу право первой публикации работы на условиях лицензии Creative Commons Attribution License, которая позволяет другим распространять данную работу с обязательным сохранением ссылок на авторов оригинальной работы и оригинальную публикацию в этом журнале.Авторы сохраняют право заключать отдельные контрактные договорённости, касающиеся не-эксклюзивного распространения версии работы в опубликованном здесь виде (например, размещение ее в институтском хранилище, публикацию в книге), со ссылкой на ее оригинальную публикацию в этом журнале.Авторы имеют право размещать их работу в сети Интернет (например в институтском хранилище или персональном сайте) до и во время процесса рассмотрения ее данным журналом, так как это может привести к продуктивному обсуждению и большему количеству ссылок на данную работу (См. The Effect of Open Access). |
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https://doi.org/10.30758/0555-2648-2022-68-2-142-15910.30758/0555-2648-2022-68-210.1038/ngeo167110.1029/2007JD00893310.1029/2008JD01164210.3390/atmos11010108 |
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ftjaaresearch:oai:oai.aari.elpub.ru:article/443 2024-06-23T07:46:31+00:00 Analysis of trends of meteoclimatic characteristics at Enderby Land, East Antarctica based on land observations data and reanalysis Анализ трендов климатических показателей по данным наземных метеонаблюдений и реанализа на Земле Эндерби, Восточная Антарктика S. V. Salivonchyk S. V. Kakareka С. В. Саливончик С. В. Какарека The work was carried out within the framework of the State programs “Monitoring of the polar regions of the Earth, development of the Belarusian Antarctic station and supporting the activities of polar expeditions for 2016–2020” and “Development of the activities of the Belarusian Antarctic station” for 2021–2025 Работа выполнена в рамках Государственных программ «Мониторинг полярных районов Земли, создание Белорусской антарктической станции и обеспечение деятельности полярных экспедиций на 2016–2020 годы» и «Развитие деятельности белорусской антарктической станции» на 2021–2025 гг. 2022-07-03 application/pdf https://www.aaresearch.science/jour/article/view/443 https://doi.org/10.30758/0555-2648-2022-68-2-142-159 rus rus Государственный научный центр Российской Федерации Арктический и антарктический научно-исследовательский институт https://www.aaresearch.science/jour/article/view/443/226 Turner J., Colwell S. R., Marshall G. J., Lachlan‐Cope T. A., Carleton A. M., Jones P. D., Lagun V., Reid P.A., Iagovkina S. Antarctic climate change during the last 50 years // International journal of Climatology. 2005. V. 25. № 3. P. 279–294. Turner J., Bindschadler R.A., Convey P., Di Prisco G., Fahrbach E., Gutt J., Hodgson D.A., Mayewski P.A., Summerhayes C.P. Antarctic Climate Change and the Environment. Cambridge: SCAR, 2009. 526 p. Turner J., Barrand N. E., Bracegirdle T. J., Convey P., Hodgson D. A., Jarvis M., … & Klepikov A. Antarctic climate change and the environment: an update // Polar Record. 2014. V. 50. № 3. P. 237–259. doi:10.1017/S0032247413000296. Gillett N.P., Stone D.A., Stott P.A., Nozawa T., Karpechko A.Y., Hegerl G.C., Wehner M.F., Jones P.D. Attribution of polar warming to human influence // Nature Geoscience. 2008. V. 1. № 11. P. 750–754. Convey P. Antarctic climate change and its influences on terrestrial ecosystems // Bergstrom D., Convey P., Huiskes A.H.L. (eds.). Trends in Antarctic terrestrial and limnetic ecosystems: Antarctica as a global indicator. Dordrecht: Springer, 2006. P. 253–272. IPCC Special Report on the Ocean and Cryosphere in a Changing Climate / H.-O. Pörtner, D.C. Roberts, V. Masson-Delmotte, P. Zhai, M. Tignor, E. Poloczanska, K. Mintenbeck, A. Alegría, M. Nicolai, A. Okem, J. Petzold, B. Rama, N.M. Weyer (Eds.). Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA: Cambridge University Press, 2019. https://www.ipcc.ch/srocc/home/. Convey P., Bindschadler R., Di Prisco G., Fahrbach E., Gutt J., Hodgson D.A., Mayewski P.A., Summerhayes C.P., Turner J. Antarctic climate change and the environment // Antarctic Science. 2009. V. 21. № 6. P. 541–563. Marshall G.J., Orr A., Turner J. A predominant reversal in the relationship between the SAM and East Antarctic temperatures during the twenty-first century // Journal of Climate. 2013. V. 26. № 14. P. 5196–5204. Bromwich D.H., Nicolas J.P., Monaghan A.J., Lazzara M.A., Keller L.M., Weidner G.A., Wilson A.B. Central West Antarctica among the most rapidly warming regions on Earth // Nature Geoscience. 2013. V. 6. P. 139–145. doi:10.1038/ngeo1671. Steig E.J., Schneider D.P., Rutherford S.D., Mann M.E., Comiso J.C., Shindell D.T. Warming of the Antarctic ice-sheet surface since the 1957 International Geophysical Year // Nature. 2009. V. 457. № 7228. P. 459–462. Bracegirdle T.J., Connolley W.M., Turner J. Antarctic climate change over the twenty first century // Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres. 2008. V. 113. D03103. doi:10.1029/2007JD008933. Robinson S.A., King D.H., Bramley-Alves J., Waterman M.J., Ashcroft M.B., Wasley J., Turnbull J.D., Miller R.E., Ryan-Colton E., Benny T., Mullany K., Clarke L. J., Barry L., Hua Q. Rapid change in East Antarctic terrestrial vegetation in response to regional drying // Nature Climate Change. 2018. V. 8. № 10. P. 879–884. Harig C., Simons F.J. Accelerated West Antarctic ice mass loss continues to outpace East Antarctic gains // Earth and Planetary Science Letters. 2015. V. 415. P. 134–141. Zwally H.J., Giovinetto M.B. Overview and assessment of Antarctic ice-sheet mass balance estimates: 1992–2009 // Surveys in Geophysics. 2011. V. 32. № 4. P. 351–376. Эндерби Земля // Словарь современных географических названий / Под общ. ред. акад. В. М. Котлякова. Институт географии РАН. Екатеринбург: У-Фактория, 2006. Turner J., Chenoli S.N., Abu Samah A., Marshall G., Phillips T., Orr A. Strong wind events in the Antarctic // Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres. 2009. V. 114. D18103. doi:10.1029/2008JD011642. Merzlyakov E.G., Murphy D.J., Vincent R.A., Portnyagin Y.I. Long-term tendencies in the MLT prevailing winds and tides over Antarctica as observed by radars at Molodezhnaya, Mawson and Davis // Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics. 2009. V. 71. № 1. P. 21–32. Comiso J.C. Variability and trends in Antarctic surface temperatures from in situ and satellite infrared measurements // Journal of Climate. 2000. V. 13. № 10. P. 1674–1696. Yu L., Zhong S., Sun B. The climatology and trend of surface wind speed over Antarctica and the Southern Ocean and the implication to wind energy application // Atmosphere. 2020. V. 11. № 1. P. 108. doi:10.3390/atmos11010108. Афанасьев В.Н., Юзбашев М.М. Анализ временных рядов и прогнозирование. 2-е изд., перераб. и доп. М.: Финансы и статистика, 2012. 320 с. https://www.aaresearch.science/jour/article/view/443 doi:10.30758/0555-2648-2022-68-2-142-159 Authors who publish with this journal agree to the following terms:Authors retain copyright and grant the journal right of first publication with the work simultaneously licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution License that allows others to share the work with an acknowledgement of the work's authorship and initial publication in this journal.Authors are able to enter into separate, additional contractual arrangements for the non-exclusive distribution of the journal's published version of the work (e.g., post it to an institutional repository or publish it in a book), with an acknowledgement of its initial publication in this journal.Authors are permitted and encouraged to post their work online (e.g., in institutional repositories or on their website) prior to and during the submission process, as it can lead to productive exchanges, as well as earlier and greater citation of published work (See The Effect of Open Access). Авторы, публикующие в данном журнале, соглашаются со следующим:Авторы сохраняют за собой авторские права на работу и предоставляют журналу право первой публикации работы на условиях лицензии Creative Commons Attribution License, которая позволяет другим распространять данную работу с обязательным сохранением ссылок на авторов оригинальной работы и оригинальную публикацию в этом журнале.Авторы сохраняют право заключать отдельные контрактные договорённости, касающиеся не-эксклюзивного распространения версии работы в опубликованном здесь виде (например, размещение ее в институтском хранилище, публикацию в книге), со ссылкой на ее оригинальную публикацию в этом журнале.Авторы имеют право размещать их работу в сети Интернет (например в институтском хранилище или персональном сайте) до и во время процесса рассмотрения ее данным журналом, так как это может привести к продуктивному обсуждению и большему количеству ссылок на данную работу (См. The Effect of Open Access). Arctic and Antarctic Research; Том 68, № 2 (2022); 142-159 Проблемы Арктики и Антарктики; Том 68, № 2 (2022); 142-159 2618-6713 0555-2648 10.30758/0555-2648-2022-68-2 температура воздуха air temperature climate trends Molodezhnaya station reanalysis wind speed and direction климатические тренды ряды реанализа скорость и направление ветра станция Молодежная info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion 2022 ftjaaresearch https://doi.org/10.30758/0555-2648-2022-68-2-142-15910.30758/0555-2648-2022-68-210.1038/ngeo167110.1029/2007JD00893310.1029/2008JD01164210.3390/atmos11010108 2024-05-31T03:22:51Z The article studies the presence and possible direction of climate change in Enderby Land, East Antarctica, where from 1963 to 1999, the only meteorological station of the WMO network operated at the Molodezhnaya research station (now the summer field base of the RAE), and now an automatic meteorological station has been installed. The trends in surface air temperature, wind speed and direction for the period from the mid-1960s to the present have been analyzed. As initial data, we used the results of ground-based observations at the Molodezhnaya station, as well as reanalysis datasets, which made it possible to complete the instrumental series and evaluate the dynamics of temperature and wind characteristics for the last decades. Monthly values of climatic parameters were used as initial values, but for wind characteristics presented as the V and U components of the speed vector, single values were taken, according to which the average monthly wind speeds and wind distributions in directions were estimated. From different reanalysis systems, by comparison with ground-based observations, series were selected that showed the greatest similarity in the dynamics of the climatic characteristics studied. Good agreement was found between the temperature series of observations at the Molodezhnaya meteorological station and the datasets UDEL_AirT, ERA5, and GISS. The correlation between the wind observation series is less strong; ERA5 reanalysis data shows the wind speed dynamics slightly better. According to the analysis of the long-term dynamics of average annual and monthly temperatures in the region of Enderby Land, the warming trend has not been statistically confirmed, however, a progressive increase in the number of months of the year with positive temperature dynamics has been noted. Based on the analysis of wind characteristics, it is shown that only an increase in average annual wind speeds of 0,1–0,3 m/s/10 years is statistically significant. В работе исследуются наличие и направленность климатических ... Article in Journal/Newspaper Antarc* Antarctic Science Antarctica Arctic East Antarctica Enderby Land Polar Record Антарктика Arctic and Antarctic Research East Antarctica Molodezhnaya ENVELOPE(45.850,45.850,-67.667,-67.667) Molodezhnaya Station ENVELOPE(46.134,46.134,-67.683,-67.683) Rae ENVELOPE(-44.600,-44.600,-60.750,-60.750) Arctic and Antarctic Research 68 2 142 159 |