Actual Problems of Hydrological Assessments in the Arctic Zone of Russian Federation and Adjacent Permafrost Territories

• Published in: GEOGRAPHY, ENVIRONMENT, SUSTAINABILITY
• Main Authors: O. M. Makarieva, N. V. Nesterova, I. N. Beldiman, L. S. Lebedeva, О. М. Макарьева, Н. В. Нестерова, И. Н. Бельдиман, Л. С. Лебедева
• Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
• Language: Russian
• Published: Государственный научный центр Российской Федерации Арктический и антарктический научно-исследовательский институт 2018
• Subjects: СП-33-101-2003; floods; hydrological engineering; hydrological safety; mathematical modeling; permafrost; SP-33-101-2003; гидрологическая безопасность; инженерное проектирование; математическое моделирование; мерзлота; паводки; Arctic
• Online Access: https://www.aaresearch.science/jour/article/view/24; https://doi.org/10.30758/0555-2648-2018-64-1-101-118

The article reveals the main problems facing hydrologists in engineering design in the Arctic zone of Russia and adjacent territories of permafrost. Climate warming and degradation of permafrost cause a significant transformation of the hydrological cycle. The retrospective observations of runoff cannot be considered therefore in modern conditions. The density of the hydrological network in the permafrost zone of Russia has decreased by more than 1.5 times, and on small rivers – more than three times in recent decades. Thus, the use of standard calculation methods (SP 33-101-2003) to assess the runoff characteristics in the Arctic regions is practically impossible. It is shown that in the developed Arctic countries where the size of the territories and their inaccessibility could be compared with withRussia, the low density of the standard observation network is compensated by the organization of small scientific research stations for studying hydrological processes in various physical and geographical conditions and the development of mathematical modeling methods. It is shown that historicallyRussiawas the leader of hydrological research in cold regions. It is stated that there is an urgent need to create a state program aimed at restoring the previously operating in the cryolithоzone and organizing new research hydrological watersheds, improving the standard hydrological network, and developing complex modeling systems and methods for their parameterization. В статье раскрыты основные проблемы, стоящие перед гидрологами при инженерном проектировании в Арктической зоне России и прилегающих территориях распространения многолетней мерзлоты. Основной из них является практическая невозможность использования стандартных методов расчета (СП 33-101-2003) для оценки характеристик стока в регионах с крайне ограниченными данными наблюдений гидрометрической сети в современных условиях изменений климата. Констатируется срочная необходимость создания государственной программы, направленной на восстановление ранее ...