Tsunamis in the geological record: Making waves with a cautionary tale from the Mediterranean
International audience From 2000 to 2015, tsunamis and storms killed more than 430,000 people worldwide and affected a further >530 million, with total damages exceeding US\970 billion. These alarming trends, underscored by the tragic events of the 2004 Indian Ocean catastrophe, have fueled incre...
Published in: | Science Advances |
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Main Authors: | , , , , , , |
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Format: | Article in Journal/Newspaper |
Language: | English |
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HAL CCSD
2017
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Online Access: | https://hal.science/hal-01765608 https://hal.science/hal-01765608/document https://hal.science/hal-01765608/file/e1700485.full.pdf https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.1700485 |
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Institut national des sciences de l'Univers: HAL-INSU |
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language |
English |
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[SDU.STU]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences |
spellingShingle |
[SDU.STU]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences Marriner, Nick Kaniewski, David Morhange, Christophe Flaux, Clement Giaime, Matthieu Vacchi, Matteo Goff, James Tsunamis in the geological record: Making waves with a cautionary tale from the Mediterranean |
topic_facet |
[SDU.STU]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences |
description |
International audience From 2000 to 2015, tsunamis and storms killed more than 430,000 people worldwide and affected a further >530 million, with total damages exceeding US\970 billion. These alarming trends, underscored by the tragic events of the 2004 Indian Ocean catastrophe, have fueled increased worldwide demands for assessments of past, present, and future coastal risks. Nonetheless, despite its importance for hazard mitigation, discriminating between storm and tsunami deposits in the geological record is one of the most challenging and hotly contended topics in coastal geoscience. To probe this knowledge gap, we present a 4500-year reconstruction of ``tsunami'' variability from the Mediterranean based on stratigraphic but not historical archives and assess it in relation to climate records and reconstructions of storminess. We elucidate evidence for previously unrecognized ``tsunami megacycles'' with three peaks centered on the Little Ice Age, 1600, and 3100 cal. yr B. P. (calibrated years before present). These similar to 1500-year cycles, strongly correlated with climate deterioration in the Mediterranean/North Atlantic, challenge up to 90% of the original tsunami attributions and suggest, by contrast, that most events are better ascribed to periods of heightened storminess. This timely and provocative finding is crucial in providing appropriately tailored assessments of coastal hazard risk in the Mediterranean and beyond. |
author2 |
Laboratoire Chrono-environnement (UMR 6249) (LCE) Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université de Franche-Comté (UFC) Université Bourgogne Franche-Comté COMUE (UBFC)-Université Bourgogne Franche-Comté COMUE (UBFC) Laboratoire Ecologie Fonctionnelle et Environnement (LEFE) Institut Ecologie et Environnement - CNRS Ecologie et Environnement (INEE-CNRS) Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université Toulouse III - Paul Sabatier (UT3) Université de Toulouse (UT)-Université de Toulouse (UT)-Observatoire Midi-Pyrénées (OMP) Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD)-Université Toulouse III - Paul Sabatier (UT3) Université de Toulouse (UT)-Université de Toulouse (UT)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Centre National d'Études Spatiales Toulouse (CNES)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Météo-France-Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Centre National d'Études Spatiales Toulouse (CNES)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Météo-France-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Institut National Polytechnique (Toulouse) (Toulouse INP) Université de Toulouse (UT) Centre européen de recherche et d'enseignement des géosciences de l'environnement (CEREGE) Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD)-Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique (INRA)-Aix Marseille Université (AMU)-Collège de France (CdF (institution))-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS) ANR-11-IDEX-0001,Amidex,INITIATIVE D'EXCELLENCE AIX MARSEILLE UNIVERSITE(2011) ANR-11-LABX-0061,OTMed,Objectif Terre : Bassin Méditerranéen(2011) |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Marriner, Nick Kaniewski, David Morhange, Christophe Flaux, Clement Giaime, Matthieu Vacchi, Matteo Goff, James |
author_facet |
Marriner, Nick Kaniewski, David Morhange, Christophe Flaux, Clement Giaime, Matthieu Vacchi, Matteo Goff, James |
author_sort |
Marriner, Nick |
title |
Tsunamis in the geological record: Making waves with a cautionary tale from the Mediterranean |
title_short |
Tsunamis in the geological record: Making waves with a cautionary tale from the Mediterranean |
title_full |
Tsunamis in the geological record: Making waves with a cautionary tale from the Mediterranean |
title_fullStr |
Tsunamis in the geological record: Making waves with a cautionary tale from the Mediterranean |
title_full_unstemmed |
Tsunamis in the geological record: Making waves with a cautionary tale from the Mediterranean |
title_sort |
tsunamis in the geological record: making waves with a cautionary tale from the mediterranean |
publisher |
HAL CCSD |
publishDate |
2017 |
url |
https://hal.science/hal-01765608 https://hal.science/hal-01765608/document https://hal.science/hal-01765608/file/e1700485.full.pdf https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.1700485 |
geographic |
Indian |
geographic_facet |
Indian |
genre |
North Atlantic |
genre_facet |
North Atlantic |
op_source |
ISSN: 2375-2548 Science Advances https://hal.science/hal-01765608 Science Advances , 2017, 3 (10), ⟨10.1126/sciadv.1700485⟩ |
op_relation |
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1126/sciadv.1700485 hal-01765608 https://hal.science/hal-01765608 https://hal.science/hal-01765608/document https://hal.science/hal-01765608/file/e1700485.full.pdf doi:10.1126/sciadv.1700485 |
op_rights |
info:eu-repo/semantics/OpenAccess |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.1700485 |
container_title |
Science Advances |
container_volume |
3 |
container_issue |
10 |
container_start_page |
e1700485 |
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1790604274370084864 |
spelling |
ftinsu:oai:HAL:hal-01765608v1 2024-02-11T10:06:30+01:00 Tsunamis in the geological record: Making waves with a cautionary tale from the Mediterranean Marriner, Nick Kaniewski, David Morhange, Christophe Flaux, Clement Giaime, Matthieu Vacchi, Matteo Goff, James Laboratoire Chrono-environnement (UMR 6249) (LCE) Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université de Franche-Comté (UFC) Université Bourgogne Franche-Comté COMUE (UBFC)-Université Bourgogne Franche-Comté COMUE (UBFC) Laboratoire Ecologie Fonctionnelle et Environnement (LEFE) Institut Ecologie et Environnement - CNRS Ecologie et Environnement (INEE-CNRS) Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université Toulouse III - Paul Sabatier (UT3) Université de Toulouse (UT)-Université de Toulouse (UT)-Observatoire Midi-Pyrénées (OMP) Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD)-Université Toulouse III - Paul Sabatier (UT3) Université de Toulouse (UT)-Université de Toulouse (UT)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Centre National d'Études Spatiales Toulouse (CNES)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Météo-France-Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Centre National d'Études Spatiales Toulouse (CNES)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Météo-France-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Institut National Polytechnique (Toulouse) (Toulouse INP) Université de Toulouse (UT) Centre européen de recherche et d'enseignement des géosciences de l'environnement (CEREGE) Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD)-Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique (INRA)-Aix Marseille Université (AMU)-Collège de France (CdF (institution))-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS) ANR-11-IDEX-0001,Amidex,INITIATIVE D'EXCELLENCE AIX MARSEILLE UNIVERSITE(2011) ANR-11-LABX-0061,OTMed,Objectif Terre : Bassin Méditerranéen(2011) 2017 https://hal.science/hal-01765608 https://hal.science/hal-01765608/document https://hal.science/hal-01765608/file/e1700485.full.pdf https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.1700485 en eng HAL CCSD American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS) info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1126/sciadv.1700485 hal-01765608 https://hal.science/hal-01765608 https://hal.science/hal-01765608/document https://hal.science/hal-01765608/file/e1700485.full.pdf doi:10.1126/sciadv.1700485 info:eu-repo/semantics/OpenAccess ISSN: 2375-2548 Science Advances https://hal.science/hal-01765608 Science Advances , 2017, 3 (10), ⟨10.1126/sciadv.1700485⟩ [SDU.STU]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences info:eu-repo/semantics/article Journal articles 2017 ftinsu https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.1700485 2024-01-24T17:37:24Z International audience From 2000 to 2015, tsunamis and storms killed more than 430,000 people worldwide and affected a further >530 million, with total damages exceeding US\970 billion. These alarming trends, underscored by the tragic events of the 2004 Indian Ocean catastrophe, have fueled increased worldwide demands for assessments of past, present, and future coastal risks. Nonetheless, despite its importance for hazard mitigation, discriminating between storm and tsunami deposits in the geological record is one of the most challenging and hotly contended topics in coastal geoscience. To probe this knowledge gap, we present a 4500-year reconstruction of ``tsunami'' variability from the Mediterranean based on stratigraphic but not historical archives and assess it in relation to climate records and reconstructions of storminess. We elucidate evidence for previously unrecognized ``tsunami megacycles'' with three peaks centered on the Little Ice Age, 1600, and 3100 cal. yr B. P. (calibrated years before present). These similar to 1500-year cycles, strongly correlated with climate deterioration in the Mediterranean/North Atlantic, challenge up to 90% of the original tsunami attributions and suggest, by contrast, that most events are better ascribed to periods of heightened storminess. This timely and provocative finding is crucial in providing appropriately tailored assessments of coastal hazard risk in the Mediterranean and beyond. Article in Journal/Newspaper North Atlantic Institut national des sciences de l'Univers: HAL-INSU Indian Science Advances 3 10 e1700485 |