Applying the concept of the ecological niche and a macroecological approach to understand how climate influences zooplankton : advantages, assumptions, limitations and requirements.
International audience Ecosystem effects of climate change have been detected in all components of the Earth System. In the marine biosphere, climate-change responses have caused large and well-documented biogeographical and phenological shifts, which have in turn altered local dominance hierarchies...
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ftinsu:oai:HAL:hal-00824437v1 2024-02-11T10:02:39+01:00 Applying the concept of the ecological niche and a macroecological approach to understand how climate influences zooplankton : advantages, assumptions, limitations and requirements. Beaugrand, Gregory Mackas, D. Goberville, Eric Laboratoire d’Océanologie et de Géosciences (LOG) - UMR 8187 (LOG) Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université du Littoral Côte d'Opale (ULCO)-Université de Lille-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD France-Nord ) 2013 https://hal.science/hal-00824437 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pocean.2012.11.002 en eng HAL CCSD Elsevier info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1016/j.pocean.2012.11.002 hal-00824437 https://hal.science/hal-00824437 doi:10.1016/j.pocean.2012.11.002 ISSN: 0079-6611 Progress in Oceanography https://hal.science/hal-00824437 Progress in Oceanography, 2013, 111, pp.75-90. ⟨10.1016/j.pocean.2012.11.002⟩ [SDU.STU.OC]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Oceanography info:eu-repo/semantics/article Journal articles 2013 ftinsu https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pocean.2012.11.002 2024-01-24T17:22:58Z International audience Ecosystem effects of climate change have been detected in all components of the Earth System. In the marine biosphere, climate-change responses have caused large and well-documented biogeographical and phenological shifts, which have in turn altered local dominance hierarchies, and also the structure, diversity and functional linkages within regional marine ecosystems. There is an urgent need to improve both our knowledge of the global-scale effects of climate change on marine biodiversity and our capacity to project future impacts. But extrapolation of previously estimated changes to additional places and to future conditions is complicated by non-linear responses to environmental variables, and also by complexities of multivariate interaction that can lead to tipping-points. In this paper, we show how observations from widely-spaced locations can be combined to characterise the ecological niche of a species, and how the concept of the niche can be used to understand and project how climate-induced changes in temperatures will alter marine zooplankton both locally and globally. As an example to illustrate our view, we apply this framework to the relatively well-known copepod Calanus finmarchicus. Our results suggest that climate change will strongly affect the local abundance of this species in the North Atlantic Ocean by the end of this century. Predicted changes are large (e.g. increase by ±6-10-fold of the temporal changes in the abundance of C. finmarchicus) and vary as a function of the magnitude of warming and the local sign and steepness of the thermal niche. Substantial rates of change hold even under optimistic climatic scenarii. After reviewing the main limitations of the niche concept in bioclimatological research, we argue that the application of this concept in ecology and bioclimatology might nevertheless represent the best tool currently available to scientists to discern and anticipate the effect of global climate change on species and ecosystems. The framework we ... Article in Journal/Newspaper Calanus finmarchicus North Atlantic Institut national des sciences de l'Univers: HAL-INSU Progress in Oceanography 111 75 90 |
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Institut national des sciences de l'Univers: HAL-INSU |
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English |
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[SDU.STU.OC]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Oceanography |
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[SDU.STU.OC]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Oceanography Beaugrand, Gregory Mackas, D. Goberville, Eric Applying the concept of the ecological niche and a macroecological approach to understand how climate influences zooplankton : advantages, assumptions, limitations and requirements. |
topic_facet |
[SDU.STU.OC]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Oceanography |
description |
International audience Ecosystem effects of climate change have been detected in all components of the Earth System. In the marine biosphere, climate-change responses have caused large and well-documented biogeographical and phenological shifts, which have in turn altered local dominance hierarchies, and also the structure, diversity and functional linkages within regional marine ecosystems. There is an urgent need to improve both our knowledge of the global-scale effects of climate change on marine biodiversity and our capacity to project future impacts. But extrapolation of previously estimated changes to additional places and to future conditions is complicated by non-linear responses to environmental variables, and also by complexities of multivariate interaction that can lead to tipping-points. In this paper, we show how observations from widely-spaced locations can be combined to characterise the ecological niche of a species, and how the concept of the niche can be used to understand and project how climate-induced changes in temperatures will alter marine zooplankton both locally and globally. As an example to illustrate our view, we apply this framework to the relatively well-known copepod Calanus finmarchicus. Our results suggest that climate change will strongly affect the local abundance of this species in the North Atlantic Ocean by the end of this century. Predicted changes are large (e.g. increase by ±6-10-fold of the temporal changes in the abundance of C. finmarchicus) and vary as a function of the magnitude of warming and the local sign and steepness of the thermal niche. Substantial rates of change hold even under optimistic climatic scenarii. After reviewing the main limitations of the niche concept in bioclimatological research, we argue that the application of this concept in ecology and bioclimatology might nevertheless represent the best tool currently available to scientists to discern and anticipate the effect of global climate change on species and ecosystems. The framework we ... |
author2 |
Laboratoire d’Océanologie et de Géosciences (LOG) - UMR 8187 (LOG) Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université du Littoral Côte d'Opale (ULCO)-Université de Lille-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD France-Nord ) |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Beaugrand, Gregory Mackas, D. Goberville, Eric |
author_facet |
Beaugrand, Gregory Mackas, D. Goberville, Eric |
author_sort |
Beaugrand, Gregory |
title |
Applying the concept of the ecological niche and a macroecological approach to understand how climate influences zooplankton : advantages, assumptions, limitations and requirements. |
title_short |
Applying the concept of the ecological niche and a macroecological approach to understand how climate influences zooplankton : advantages, assumptions, limitations and requirements. |
title_full |
Applying the concept of the ecological niche and a macroecological approach to understand how climate influences zooplankton : advantages, assumptions, limitations and requirements. |
title_fullStr |
Applying the concept of the ecological niche and a macroecological approach to understand how climate influences zooplankton : advantages, assumptions, limitations and requirements. |
title_full_unstemmed |
Applying the concept of the ecological niche and a macroecological approach to understand how climate influences zooplankton : advantages, assumptions, limitations and requirements. |
title_sort |
applying the concept of the ecological niche and a macroecological approach to understand how climate influences zooplankton : advantages, assumptions, limitations and requirements. |
publisher |
HAL CCSD |
publishDate |
2013 |
url |
https://hal.science/hal-00824437 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pocean.2012.11.002 |
genre |
Calanus finmarchicus North Atlantic |
genre_facet |
Calanus finmarchicus North Atlantic |
op_source |
ISSN: 0079-6611 Progress in Oceanography https://hal.science/hal-00824437 Progress in Oceanography, 2013, 111, pp.75-90. ⟨10.1016/j.pocean.2012.11.002⟩ |
op_relation |
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1016/j.pocean.2012.11.002 hal-00824437 https://hal.science/hal-00824437 doi:10.1016/j.pocean.2012.11.002 |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pocean.2012.11.002 |
container_title |
Progress in Oceanography |
container_volume |
111 |
container_start_page |
75 |
op_container_end_page |
90 |
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1790598697692692480 |