The Improved Determination of the Source Boundaries for Earthquakes of M 7 of the Seismic Prediction for the Kurile-Kamchatka Arc
Abstract. Based on a great amount of data on seismicity of the Kurile Islands and Kamchatka which have been accumulated since 1965, a detailed study has been made of the seismic regime of the regions of M . 1\ earthquakes in the Southern Kurile Islands, Kamchatka and near Northeastern Japan in the p...
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ftinstvs:oai:repo.kscnet.ru:1867 2023-05-15T16:58:47+02:00 The Improved Determination of the Source Boundaries for Earthquakes of M 7 of the Seismic Prediction for the Kurile-Kamchatka Arc Fedotov S.A. Chernyshev S.D. Chernysheva G.V. 1982 http://repo.kscnet.ru/1867/ en eng Fedotov S.A. <http://repo.kscnet.ru/view/creators/Fedotov=3AS=2EA=2E=3A=3A.html>, Chernyshev S.D. <http://repo.kscnet.ru/view/creators/Chernyshev=3AS=2ED=2E=3A=3A.html>, Chernysheva G.V. <http://repo.kscnet.ru/view/creators/Chernysheva=3AG=2EV=2E=3A=3A.html> (1982) The Improved Determination of the Source Boundaries for Earthquakes of M 7 of the Seismic Prediction for the Kurile-Kamchatka Arc // Earthquake Prediction Research. Vol. 1, No. 2. pp. 153-172. 37.31.19 Сейсмология Статья PeerReviewed 1982 ftinstvs 2022-08-09T17:05:06Z Abstract. Based on a great amount of data on seismicity of the Kurile Islands and Kamchatka which have been accumulated since 1965, a detailed study has been made of the seismic regime of the regions of M . 1\ earthquakes in the Southern Kurile Islands, Kamchatka and near Northeastern Japan in the period 1952-1978. A rule has been deduced for the construction of source boundaries of M 7f earthquakes that permits more accurate and reliable identification of locations of likely catastrophic earthquakes. The mean line between seismic activity isolines Alo = 10 and released seismic energy D = 1 for the first-year aftershocks is taken as a source boundary. In addition, in doubtful cases, the position of a smooth contour of the area of M 3* 6 aftershocks, which occurred within the first year after the main shock, was taken into account. The new materiai was used to test cycles of seismic activity Al0 (t) and seismic energy release D (t) for M. \ earthquakes. Cycle Alo (t) did not change substantially in comparison to the former constructions; the minimum in cycle D (t) in the stable regime stage disappeared and the root-mean-square deviation of this value decreased. A test was made of prediction for 1971-1975 which proved to be reasonably successful. A prediction for 1976-1980 was refined. A preliminary prediction for 1981-1985 is presented. Text Kamchatka Institute of Volcanology and Seismology, Petropavlovsk-Kamchatsky: IVS FEB RAS Repository |
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Institute of Volcanology and Seismology, Petropavlovsk-Kamchatsky: IVS FEB RAS Repository |
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ftinstvs |
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English |
topic |
37.31.19 Сейсмология |
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37.31.19 Сейсмология Fedotov S.A. Chernyshev S.D. Chernysheva G.V. The Improved Determination of the Source Boundaries for Earthquakes of M 7 of the Seismic Prediction for the Kurile-Kamchatka Arc |
topic_facet |
37.31.19 Сейсмология |
description |
Abstract. Based on a great amount of data on seismicity of the Kurile Islands and Kamchatka which have been accumulated since 1965, a detailed study has been made of the seismic regime of the regions of M . 1\ earthquakes in the Southern Kurile Islands, Kamchatka and near Northeastern Japan in the period 1952-1978. A rule has been deduced for the construction of source boundaries of M 7f earthquakes that permits more accurate and reliable identification of locations of likely catastrophic earthquakes. The mean line between seismic activity isolines Alo = 10 and released seismic energy D = 1 for the first-year aftershocks is taken as a source boundary. In addition, in doubtful cases, the position of a smooth contour of the area of M 3* 6 aftershocks, which occurred within the first year after the main shock, was taken into account. The new materiai was used to test cycles of seismic activity Al0 (t) and seismic energy release D (t) for M. \ earthquakes. Cycle Alo (t) did not change substantially in comparison to the former constructions; the minimum in cycle D (t) in the stable regime stage disappeared and the root-mean-square deviation of this value decreased. A test was made of prediction for 1971-1975 which proved to be reasonably successful. A prediction for 1976-1980 was refined. A preliminary prediction for 1981-1985 is presented. |
format |
Text |
author |
Fedotov S.A. Chernyshev S.D. Chernysheva G.V. |
author_facet |
Fedotov S.A. Chernyshev S.D. Chernysheva G.V. |
author_sort |
Fedotov S.A. |
title |
The Improved Determination of the Source Boundaries for Earthquakes of M 7 of the Seismic Prediction for the Kurile-Kamchatka Arc |
title_short |
The Improved Determination of the Source Boundaries for Earthquakes of M 7 of the Seismic Prediction for the Kurile-Kamchatka Arc |
title_full |
The Improved Determination of the Source Boundaries for Earthquakes of M 7 of the Seismic Prediction for the Kurile-Kamchatka Arc |
title_fullStr |
The Improved Determination of the Source Boundaries for Earthquakes of M 7 of the Seismic Prediction for the Kurile-Kamchatka Arc |
title_full_unstemmed |
The Improved Determination of the Source Boundaries for Earthquakes of M 7 of the Seismic Prediction for the Kurile-Kamchatka Arc |
title_sort |
improved determination of the source boundaries for earthquakes of m 7 of the seismic prediction for the kurile-kamchatka arc |
publishDate |
1982 |
url |
http://repo.kscnet.ru/1867/ |
genre |
Kamchatka |
genre_facet |
Kamchatka |
op_relation |
Fedotov S.A. <http://repo.kscnet.ru/view/creators/Fedotov=3AS=2EA=2E=3A=3A.html>, Chernyshev S.D. <http://repo.kscnet.ru/view/creators/Chernyshev=3AS=2ED=2E=3A=3A.html>, Chernysheva G.V. <http://repo.kscnet.ru/view/creators/Chernysheva=3AG=2EV=2E=3A=3A.html> (1982) The Improved Determination of the Source Boundaries for Earthquakes of M 7 of the Seismic Prediction for the Kurile-Kamchatka Arc // Earthquake Prediction Research. Vol. 1, No. 2. pp. 153-172. |
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1766050880025526272 |