Should Sea-Ice Modeling Tools Designed for Climate Research Be Used for Short-Term Forecasting?
International audience In theory, the same sea-ice models could be used for both research and operations, but in practice, differences in scientific and software requirements and computational and human resources complicate the matter. Although sea-ice modeling tools developed for climate studies an...
Published in: | Current Climate Change Reports |
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Main Authors: | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , |
Other Authors: | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , |
Format: | Article in Journal/Newspaper |
Language: | English |
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HAL CCSD
2020
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Online Access: | https://hal.science/hal-02957870 https://hal.science/hal-02957870/document https://hal.science/hal-02957870/file/Hunke2020_Article_ShouldSea-IceModelingToolsDesi-1.pdf https://doi.org/10.1007/s40641-020-00162-y |
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Open Polar |
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HAL de l'Institut Polytechnique de Paris |
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ftinspolytechpar |
language |
English |
topic |
[PHYS.PHYS.PHYS-GEO-PH]Physics [physics]/Physics [physics]/Geophysics [physics.geo-ph] |
spellingShingle |
[PHYS.PHYS.PHYS-GEO-PH]Physics [physics]/Physics [physics]/Geophysics [physics.geo-ph] Hunke, Elizabeth Allard, Richard Blain, Philippe Blockley, Ed Feltham, Daniel Fichefet, Thierry Garric, Gilles Grumbine, Robert Lemieux, Jean-François Rasmussen, Till Ribergaard, Mads Roberts, Andrew Schweiger, Axel Tietsche, Steffen Tremblay, Bruno Vancoppenolle, Martin Zhang, Jinlun Should Sea-Ice Modeling Tools Designed for Climate Research Be Used for Short-Term Forecasting? |
topic_facet |
[PHYS.PHYS.PHYS-GEO-PH]Physics [physics]/Physics [physics]/Geophysics [physics.geo-ph] |
description |
International audience In theory, the same sea-ice models could be used for both research and operations, but in practice, differences in scientific and software requirements and computational and human resources complicate the matter. Although sea-ice modeling tools developed for climate studies and other research applications produce output of interest to operational forecast users, such as ice motion, convergence, and internal ice pressure, the relevant spatial and temporal scales may not be sufficiently resolved. For instance, sea-ice research codes are typically run with horizontal resolution of more than 3 km, while mariners need information on scales less than 300 m. Certain sea-ice processes and coupled feedbacks that are critical to simulating the Earth system may not be relevant on these scales; and therefore, the most important model upgrades for improving sea-ice predictions might be made in the atmosphere and ocean components of coupled models or in their coupling mechanisms, rather than in the sea-ice model itself. This paper discusses some of the challenges in applying sea-ice modeling tools developed for research purposes for operational forecasting on short time scales, and highlights promising new directions in sea-ice modeling. |
author2 |
Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL) Naval Research Laboratory at Stennis Space Center (NRL-SSC) Naval Research Laboratory (NRL) Centre de prévision météorologique et environnementale du Canada Met Office Hadley Centre (MOHC) United Kingdom Met Office Exeter University of Reading (UOR) Earth and Life Institute - Environmental Sciences (ELIE) Université Catholique de Louvain = Catholic University of Louvain (UCL) Mercator Océan Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD)-Institut Français de Recherche pour l'Exploitation de la Mer (IFREMER)-Service hydrographique et océanographique de la Marine-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Météo-France NOAA National Weather Service (NWS) Danish Meteorological Institute (DMI) European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) Polar Science Center Seattle Applied Physics Laboratory Seattle (APL-UW) University of Washington Seattle -University of Washington Seattle McGill University = Université McGill Montréal, Canada Nucleus for European Modeling of the Ocean (NEMO R&D ) Laboratoire d'Océanographie et du Climat : Expérimentations et Approches Numériques (LOCEAN) Muséum national d'Histoire naturelle (MNHN)-Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Sorbonne Université (SU)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Institut Pierre-Simon-Laplace (IPSL (FR_636)) École normale supérieure - Paris (ENS-PSL) Université Paris Sciences et Lettres (PSL)-Université Paris Sciences et Lettres (PSL)-Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-École polytechnique (X)-Centre National d'Études Spatiales Toulouse (CNES)-Sorbonne Université (SU)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université Paris Cité (UPCité)-École normale supérieure - Paris (ENS-PSL) Université Paris Sciences et Lettres (PSL)-Université Paris Sciences et Lettres (PSL)-Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-École polytechnique (X)-Centre National d'Études Spatiales Toulouse (CNES)-Sorbonne Université (SU)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université Paris Cité (UPCité)-Muséum national d'Histoire naturelle (MNHN)-Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Sorbonne Université (SU)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Institut Pierre-Simon-Laplace (IPSL (FR_636)) Université Paris Sciences et Lettres (PSL)-Université Paris Sciences et Lettres (PSL)-Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-École polytechnique (X)-Centre National d'Études Spatiales Toulouse (CNES)-Sorbonne Université (SU)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université Paris Cité (UPCité) European Project: 824084,IS-ENES3(2019) |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Hunke, Elizabeth Allard, Richard Blain, Philippe Blockley, Ed Feltham, Daniel Fichefet, Thierry Garric, Gilles Grumbine, Robert Lemieux, Jean-François Rasmussen, Till Ribergaard, Mads Roberts, Andrew Schweiger, Axel Tietsche, Steffen Tremblay, Bruno Vancoppenolle, Martin Zhang, Jinlun |
author_facet |
Hunke, Elizabeth Allard, Richard Blain, Philippe Blockley, Ed Feltham, Daniel Fichefet, Thierry Garric, Gilles Grumbine, Robert Lemieux, Jean-François Rasmussen, Till Ribergaard, Mads Roberts, Andrew Schweiger, Axel Tietsche, Steffen Tremblay, Bruno Vancoppenolle, Martin Zhang, Jinlun |
author_sort |
Hunke, Elizabeth |
title |
Should Sea-Ice Modeling Tools Designed for Climate Research Be Used for Short-Term Forecasting? |
title_short |
Should Sea-Ice Modeling Tools Designed for Climate Research Be Used for Short-Term Forecasting? |
title_full |
Should Sea-Ice Modeling Tools Designed for Climate Research Be Used for Short-Term Forecasting? |
title_fullStr |
Should Sea-Ice Modeling Tools Designed for Climate Research Be Used for Short-Term Forecasting? |
title_full_unstemmed |
Should Sea-Ice Modeling Tools Designed for Climate Research Be Used for Short-Term Forecasting? |
title_sort |
should sea-ice modeling tools designed for climate research be used for short-term forecasting? |
publisher |
HAL CCSD |
publishDate |
2020 |
url |
https://hal.science/hal-02957870 https://hal.science/hal-02957870/document https://hal.science/hal-02957870/file/Hunke2020_Article_ShouldSea-IceModelingToolsDesi-1.pdf https://doi.org/10.1007/s40641-020-00162-y |
genre |
Sea ice |
genre_facet |
Sea ice |
op_source |
ISSN: 2198-6061 Current Climate Change reports https://hal.science/hal-02957870 Current Climate Change reports, 2020, 6, pp.121-136. ⟨10.1007/s40641-020-00162-y⟩ |
op_relation |
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1007/s40641-020-00162-y info:eu-repo/grantAgreement//824084/EU/Infrastructure for the European Network for Earth System modelling - Phase 3/IS-ENES3 hal-02957870 https://hal.science/hal-02957870 https://hal.science/hal-02957870/document https://hal.science/hal-02957870/file/Hunke2020_Article_ShouldSea-IceModelingToolsDesi-1.pdf doi:10.1007/s40641-020-00162-y WOS: 000572700400001 |
op_rights |
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nd/ info:eu-repo/semantics/OpenAccess |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1007/s40641-020-00162-y |
container_title |
Current Climate Change Reports |
container_volume |
6 |
container_issue |
4 |
container_start_page |
121 |
op_container_end_page |
136 |
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1799488674492055552 |
spelling |
ftinspolytechpar:oai:HAL:hal-02957870v1 2024-05-19T07:48:10+00:00 Should Sea-Ice Modeling Tools Designed for Climate Research Be Used for Short-Term Forecasting? Hunke, Elizabeth Allard, Richard Blain, Philippe Blockley, Ed Feltham, Daniel Fichefet, Thierry Garric, Gilles Grumbine, Robert Lemieux, Jean-François Rasmussen, Till Ribergaard, Mads Roberts, Andrew Schweiger, Axel Tietsche, Steffen Tremblay, Bruno Vancoppenolle, Martin Zhang, Jinlun Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL) Naval Research Laboratory at Stennis Space Center (NRL-SSC) Naval Research Laboratory (NRL) Centre de prévision météorologique et environnementale du Canada Met Office Hadley Centre (MOHC) United Kingdom Met Office Exeter University of Reading (UOR) Earth and Life Institute - Environmental Sciences (ELIE) Université Catholique de Louvain = Catholic University of Louvain (UCL) Mercator Océan Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD)-Institut Français de Recherche pour l'Exploitation de la Mer (IFREMER)-Service hydrographique et océanographique de la Marine-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Météo-France NOAA National Weather Service (NWS) Danish Meteorological Institute (DMI) European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) Polar Science Center Seattle Applied Physics Laboratory Seattle (APL-UW) University of Washington Seattle -University of Washington Seattle McGill University = Université McGill Montréal, Canada Nucleus for European Modeling of the Ocean (NEMO R&D ) Laboratoire d'Océanographie et du Climat : Expérimentations et Approches Numériques (LOCEAN) Muséum national d'Histoire naturelle (MNHN)-Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Sorbonne Université (SU)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Institut Pierre-Simon-Laplace (IPSL (FR_636)) École normale supérieure - Paris (ENS-PSL) Université Paris Sciences et Lettres (PSL)-Université Paris Sciences et Lettres (PSL)-Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-École polytechnique (X)-Centre National d'Études Spatiales Toulouse (CNES)-Sorbonne Université (SU)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université Paris Cité (UPCité)-École normale supérieure - Paris (ENS-PSL) Université Paris Sciences et Lettres (PSL)-Université Paris Sciences et Lettres (PSL)-Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-École polytechnique (X)-Centre National d'Études Spatiales Toulouse (CNES)-Sorbonne Université (SU)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université Paris Cité (UPCité)-Muséum national d'Histoire naturelle (MNHN)-Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Sorbonne Université (SU)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Institut Pierre-Simon-Laplace (IPSL (FR_636)) Université Paris Sciences et Lettres (PSL)-Université Paris Sciences et Lettres (PSL)-Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-École polytechnique (X)-Centre National d'Études Spatiales Toulouse (CNES)-Sorbonne Université (SU)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université Paris Cité (UPCité) European Project: 824084,IS-ENES3(2019) 2020-09-26 https://hal.science/hal-02957870 https://hal.science/hal-02957870/document https://hal.science/hal-02957870/file/Hunke2020_Article_ShouldSea-IceModelingToolsDesi-1.pdf https://doi.org/10.1007/s40641-020-00162-y en eng HAL CCSD Springer info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1007/s40641-020-00162-y info:eu-repo/grantAgreement//824084/EU/Infrastructure for the European Network for Earth System modelling - Phase 3/IS-ENES3 hal-02957870 https://hal.science/hal-02957870 https://hal.science/hal-02957870/document https://hal.science/hal-02957870/file/Hunke2020_Article_ShouldSea-IceModelingToolsDesi-1.pdf doi:10.1007/s40641-020-00162-y WOS: 000572700400001 http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nd/ info:eu-repo/semantics/OpenAccess ISSN: 2198-6061 Current Climate Change reports https://hal.science/hal-02957870 Current Climate Change reports, 2020, 6, pp.121-136. ⟨10.1007/s40641-020-00162-y⟩ [PHYS.PHYS.PHYS-GEO-PH]Physics [physics]/Physics [physics]/Geophysics [physics.geo-ph] info:eu-repo/semantics/article Journal articles 2020 ftinspolytechpar https://doi.org/10.1007/s40641-020-00162-y 2024-04-22T01:48:17Z International audience In theory, the same sea-ice models could be used for both research and operations, but in practice, differences in scientific and software requirements and computational and human resources complicate the matter. Although sea-ice modeling tools developed for climate studies and other research applications produce output of interest to operational forecast users, such as ice motion, convergence, and internal ice pressure, the relevant spatial and temporal scales may not be sufficiently resolved. For instance, sea-ice research codes are typically run with horizontal resolution of more than 3 km, while mariners need information on scales less than 300 m. Certain sea-ice processes and coupled feedbacks that are critical to simulating the Earth system may not be relevant on these scales; and therefore, the most important model upgrades for improving sea-ice predictions might be made in the atmosphere and ocean components of coupled models or in their coupling mechanisms, rather than in the sea-ice model itself. This paper discusses some of the challenges in applying sea-ice modeling tools developed for research purposes for operational forecasting on short time scales, and highlights promising new directions in sea-ice modeling. Article in Journal/Newspaper Sea ice HAL de l'Institut Polytechnique de Paris Current Climate Change Reports 6 4 121 136 |