Cosmic-ray variability on the multi-millennial time scale: A new multi-proxy reconstruction
https://pos.sissa.it/358/1164/pdf International audience On the time scale of up to millennia the flux of cosmic rays outside the Heliosphere can be assumed roughly constant, and the cosmic-ray variability observed near Earth is driven by solar magnetic activity. Thus, using data on cosmogenic isoto...
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ftinraparis:oai:HAL:hal-03769249v1 2024-06-23T07:47:53+00:00 Cosmic-ray variability on the multi-millennial time scale: A new multi-proxy reconstruction Usoskin, Ilya Wu, Chi Ju Krivova, Natalie Solanki, Sami K. Kovaltsov, Gennady Baroni, Meanié Bard, Edouard University of Oulu Max-Planck-Institut für Sonnensystemforschung = Max Planck Institute for Solar System Research (MPS) Max-Planck-Gesellschaft A.F. Ioffe Physical-Technical Institute Russian Academy of Sciences Moscow (RAS) Centre Européen de Recherche et d'Enseignement des Géosciences de l'Environnement (CEREGE) Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD)-Aix Marseille Université (AMU)-Collège de France (CdF (institution))-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement (INRAE) Madison, WI, United States 2021-07-24 https://hal.science/hal-03769249 https://doi.org/10.22323/1.358.1164 en eng HAL CCSD SISSA Medialab info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.22323/1.358.1164 hal-03769249 https://hal.science/hal-03769249 doi:10.22323/1.358.1164 Proceedings of 36th International Cosmic Ray Conference — PoS(ICRC2019) https://hal.science/hal-03769249 Proceedings of 36th International Cosmic Ray Conference — PoS(ICRC2019), Jul 2021, Madison, WI, United States. pp.1164, ⟨10.22323/1.358.1164⟩ Document sous DOI (Digital Object Identifier) Texte intégral (accès ouvert) BARD Édouard web-evolution-climat-ocean 2HAL [SDU.STU.CL]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Climatology info:eu-repo/semantics/conferenceObject Conference papers 2021 ftinraparis https://doi.org/10.22323/1.358.1164 2024-06-11T14:52:13Z https://pos.sissa.it/358/1164/pdf International audience On the time scale of up to millennia the flux of cosmic rays outside the Heliosphere can be assumed roughly constant, and the cosmic-ray variability observed near Earth is driven by solar magnetic activity. Thus, using data on cosmogenic isotopes measured in natural terrestrial archives, past solar activity can be reconstructed. The most important cosmogenic isotopes are radiocarbon 14C and beryllium 10Be. However, because of the diversity of the proxy archives, it is difficult to build a homogeneous reconstruction, and previous studies showed inconsistencies with each other. Here we report a new consistent multi-proxy reconstruction of the cosmic-ray variability over the Holocene (last 9000 years), using all available long-span datasets of 10Be and 14C in terrestrial archives (six 10Be series of different ice cores from Greenland and Antarctica, as well as the global 14C production series). We have applied a new method, based on a Bayesian approach, which yields the most probable values of the solar modulation as well as straightforward estimates of the related uncertainties. The final reconstruction indicates the presence of a slow 6 – 7 millennia 'wave' in the long-term evolution of solar activity, with lows at ca. 5500 BC and 1000 AD. Two distinct components of solar activity were confirmed: the main component, corresponding to the "normal" moderate level, and a component corresponding to grand minima. A possible existence of a component representing grand maxima cannot be separated from the main component in a statistically significant manner. Conference Object Antarc* Antarctica Greenland Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique: ProdINRA Greenland Proceedings of 36th International Cosmic Ray Conference — PoS(ICRC2019) 1164 |
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Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique: ProdINRA |
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English |
topic |
Document sous DOI (Digital Object Identifier) Texte intégral (accès ouvert) BARD Édouard web-evolution-climat-ocean 2HAL [SDU.STU.CL]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Climatology |
spellingShingle |
Document sous DOI (Digital Object Identifier) Texte intégral (accès ouvert) BARD Édouard web-evolution-climat-ocean 2HAL [SDU.STU.CL]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Climatology Usoskin, Ilya Wu, Chi Ju Krivova, Natalie Solanki, Sami K. Kovaltsov, Gennady Baroni, Meanié Bard, Edouard Cosmic-ray variability on the multi-millennial time scale: A new multi-proxy reconstruction |
topic_facet |
Document sous DOI (Digital Object Identifier) Texte intégral (accès ouvert) BARD Édouard web-evolution-climat-ocean 2HAL [SDU.STU.CL]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Earth Sciences/Climatology |
description |
https://pos.sissa.it/358/1164/pdf International audience On the time scale of up to millennia the flux of cosmic rays outside the Heliosphere can be assumed roughly constant, and the cosmic-ray variability observed near Earth is driven by solar magnetic activity. Thus, using data on cosmogenic isotopes measured in natural terrestrial archives, past solar activity can be reconstructed. The most important cosmogenic isotopes are radiocarbon 14C and beryllium 10Be. However, because of the diversity of the proxy archives, it is difficult to build a homogeneous reconstruction, and previous studies showed inconsistencies with each other. Here we report a new consistent multi-proxy reconstruction of the cosmic-ray variability over the Holocene (last 9000 years), using all available long-span datasets of 10Be and 14C in terrestrial archives (six 10Be series of different ice cores from Greenland and Antarctica, as well as the global 14C production series). We have applied a new method, based on a Bayesian approach, which yields the most probable values of the solar modulation as well as straightforward estimates of the related uncertainties. The final reconstruction indicates the presence of a slow 6 – 7 millennia 'wave' in the long-term evolution of solar activity, with lows at ca. 5500 BC and 1000 AD. Two distinct components of solar activity were confirmed: the main component, corresponding to the "normal" moderate level, and a component corresponding to grand minima. A possible existence of a component representing grand maxima cannot be separated from the main component in a statistically significant manner. |
author2 |
University of Oulu Max-Planck-Institut für Sonnensystemforschung = Max Planck Institute for Solar System Research (MPS) Max-Planck-Gesellschaft A.F. Ioffe Physical-Technical Institute Russian Academy of Sciences Moscow (RAS) Centre Européen de Recherche et d'Enseignement des Géosciences de l'Environnement (CEREGE) Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD)-Aix Marseille Université (AMU)-Collège de France (CdF (institution))-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement (INRAE) |
format |
Conference Object |
author |
Usoskin, Ilya Wu, Chi Ju Krivova, Natalie Solanki, Sami K. Kovaltsov, Gennady Baroni, Meanié Bard, Edouard |
author_facet |
Usoskin, Ilya Wu, Chi Ju Krivova, Natalie Solanki, Sami K. Kovaltsov, Gennady Baroni, Meanié Bard, Edouard |
author_sort |
Usoskin, Ilya |
title |
Cosmic-ray variability on the multi-millennial time scale: A new multi-proxy reconstruction |
title_short |
Cosmic-ray variability on the multi-millennial time scale: A new multi-proxy reconstruction |
title_full |
Cosmic-ray variability on the multi-millennial time scale: A new multi-proxy reconstruction |
title_fullStr |
Cosmic-ray variability on the multi-millennial time scale: A new multi-proxy reconstruction |
title_full_unstemmed |
Cosmic-ray variability on the multi-millennial time scale: A new multi-proxy reconstruction |
title_sort |
cosmic-ray variability on the multi-millennial time scale: a new multi-proxy reconstruction |
publisher |
HAL CCSD |
publishDate |
2021 |
url |
https://hal.science/hal-03769249 https://doi.org/10.22323/1.358.1164 |
op_coverage |
Madison, WI, United States |
geographic |
Greenland |
geographic_facet |
Greenland |
genre |
Antarc* Antarctica Greenland |
genre_facet |
Antarc* Antarctica Greenland |
op_source |
Proceedings of 36th International Cosmic Ray Conference — PoS(ICRC2019) https://hal.science/hal-03769249 Proceedings of 36th International Cosmic Ray Conference — PoS(ICRC2019), Jul 2021, Madison, WI, United States. pp.1164, ⟨10.22323/1.358.1164⟩ |
op_relation |
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.22323/1.358.1164 hal-03769249 https://hal.science/hal-03769249 doi:10.22323/1.358.1164 |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.22323/1.358.1164 |
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Proceedings of 36th International Cosmic Ray Conference — PoS(ICRC2019) |
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1164 |
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