Comment on “Global pattern of nest predation is disrupted by climate change in shorebirds”

International audience Kubelka et al. (Reports, 9 November 2018, p. 680) claim that climate change has disrupted patterns of nest predation in shorebirds. They report that predation rates have increased since the 1950s, especially in the Arctic. We describe methodological problems with their analyse...

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Published in:Science
Main Authors: Bulla, Martin, Reneerkens, Jeroen, Weiser, Emily, Sokolov, Aleksandr, Taylor, Audrey, Sittler, Benoît, Mccaffery, Brian, Ruthrauff, Dan, Catlin, Daniel, Payer, David, Ward, David, Solovyeva, Diana, Santos, Eduardo, Rakhimberdiev, Eldar, Nol, Erica, Kwon, Eunbi, Brown, Glen, Hevia, Glenda, Gates, H. River, Johnson, James, R., van Gils, Jan, Hansen, Jannik, Lamarre, Jean-Francois, Rausch, Jennie, Conklin, Jesse, Liebezeit, Joe, Bêty, Joël, Lang, Johannes, Alves, José, F., Fernández-Elipe, Juan, Exo, Klaus-Michael, Bollache, Loïc, Bertellotti, Marcelo, Giroux, Marie-Andrée, van de Pol, Martijn, Johnson, Matthew, Boldenow, Megan, Valcu, Mihai, Soloviev, Mikhail, Sokolova, Natalya, Senner, Nathan, Lecomte, Nicolas, Meyer, Nicolas, Schmidt, Niels Martin, Gilg, Olivier, Smith, Paul, Machín, Paula, Mcguire, Rebecca, Cerboncini, Ricardo, Ottvall, Richard, van Bemmelen, Rob, Swift, Rose, Saalfeld, Sarah, Jamieson, Sarah, Brown, Stephen, Piersma, Theunis, Albrecht, Tomas, D’amico, Verónica, Lanctot, Richard, Kempenaers, Bart
Other Authors: Department of Behavioural Ecology and Evolutionary Genetics, Max Planck Institute for Ornithology, Max-Planck-Gesellschaft-Max-Planck-Gesellschaft, Royal Netherlands Institute for Sea Research (NIOZ), U.S. Geological Survey, Forest and Rangeland Ecosystem Science Center, Arctic Research Station of Institute of Plant and Animal Ecology, Ural Branch of Russian Academy of Sciences (UB RAS), Department of Geography and Environmental Studies, University of Alaska Anchorage, Groupe de recherche en écologie arctique (GREA), Yukon Delta National Wildlife Refuge, US Fish & Wildlife Service, Alaska Fisheries Science Center (AFSC), NOAA National Marine Fisheries Service (NMFS), National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)-National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), Department of Fish and Wildlife Conservation, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University Blacksburg, Natural Resource Sciences - National Park Service, Institute of Biological Problems of the North (IBPN), Graduate Program in Production Engineering and System (PPGEPS), Pontifícia Universidade Católica do Paraná Curitiba, Brasil = Pontifical Catholic University of Paraná Curitiba, Brazil = Université catholique pontificale du Paraná Curitiba, Brésil (PUCPR), Groningen Institute for Evolutionary Life Sciences Groningen (GELIFES), University of Groningen Groningen, Department of Biology, Trent University, Division of Biology, Kansas State University, ONTARIO MINISTRY OF NATURAL RESOURCES AND FORESTRY CAN, Partenaires IRSTEA, Institut national de recherche en sciences et technologies pour l'environnement et l'agriculture (IRSTEA)-Institut national de recherche en sciences et technologies pour l'environnement et l'agriculture (IRSTEA), Centro para el Estudio de Sistemas Marinos (CESIMAR/CENPAT-CONICET) (CESIMAR), Summit Analytical, Department of Bioscience, Aarhus University Aarhus -Arctic Research Centre, Synchrotron SOLEIL (SSOLEIL), Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC), Audubon Society of Portland, Departement de Biologie & Centre d'Etudes Nordiques, Université du Québec à Rimouski (UQAR), Institut für Medizinische Mikrobiologie - Institute of Medical Microbiology, Justus-Liebig-Universität Gießen = Justus Liebig University (JLU), Universidade do Porto = University of Porto, Institute of Avian Research, Laboratoire Chrono-environnement (UMR 6249) (LCE), Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université de Franche-Comté (UFC), Université Bourgogne Franche-Comté COMUE (UBFC)-Université Bourgogne Franche-Comté COMUE (UBFC), Departement de Biologie, Chimie et Géographie, Netherlands Institute of Ecology (NIOO-KNAW)
Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
Language:English
Published: HAL CCSD 2019
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hal.science/hal-02535676
https://hal.science/hal-02535676/document
https://hal.science/hal-02535676/file/601047.full.pdf
https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aaw8529
id ftinraparis:oai:HAL:hal-02535676v1
record_format openpolar
institution Open Polar
collection Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique: ProdINRA
op_collection_id ftinraparis
language English
topic [SDE]Environmental Sciences
spellingShingle [SDE]Environmental Sciences
Bulla, Martin
Reneerkens, Jeroen
Weiser, Emily
Sokolov, Aleksandr
Taylor, Audrey
Sittler, Benoît
Mccaffery, Brian
Ruthrauff, Dan
Catlin, Daniel
Payer, David
Ward, David
Solovyeva, Diana
Santos, Eduardo
Rakhimberdiev, Eldar
Nol, Erica
Kwon, Eunbi
Brown, Glen
Hevia, Glenda
Gates, H. River
Johnson, James, R.
van Gils, Jan
Hansen, Jannik
Lamarre, Jean-Francois
Rausch, Jennie
Conklin, Jesse
Liebezeit, Joe
Bêty, Joël
Lang, Johannes
Alves, José, F.
Fernández-Elipe, Juan
Exo, Klaus-Michael
Bollache, Loïc
Bertellotti, Marcelo
Giroux, Marie-Andrée
van de Pol, Martijn
Johnson, Matthew
Boldenow, Megan
Valcu, Mihai
Soloviev, Mikhail
Sokolova, Natalya
Senner, Nathan
Lecomte, Nicolas
Meyer, Nicolas
Schmidt, Niels Martin
Gilg, Olivier
Smith, Paul
Machín, Paula
Mcguire, Rebecca
Cerboncini, Ricardo
Ottvall, Richard
van Bemmelen, Rob
Swift, Rose
Saalfeld, Sarah
Jamieson, Sarah
Brown, Stephen
Piersma, Theunis
Albrecht, Tomas
D’amico, Verónica
Lanctot, Richard
Kempenaers, Bart
Comment on “Global pattern of nest predation is disrupted by climate change in shorebirds”
topic_facet [SDE]Environmental Sciences
description International audience Kubelka et al. (Reports, 9 November 2018, p. 680) claim that climate change has disrupted patterns of nest predation in shorebirds. They report that predation rates have increased since the 1950s, especially in the Arctic. We describe methodological problems with their analyses and argue that there is no solid statistical support for their claims.
author2 Department of Behavioural Ecology and Evolutionary Genetics
Max Planck Institute for Ornithology
Max-Planck-Gesellschaft-Max-Planck-Gesellschaft
Royal Netherlands Institute for Sea Research (NIOZ)
U.S. Geological Survey
Forest and Rangeland Ecosystem Science Center
Arctic Research Station of Institute of Plant and Animal Ecology
Ural Branch of Russian Academy of Sciences (UB RAS)
Department of Geography and Environmental Studies
University of Alaska Anchorage
Groupe de recherche en écologie arctique (GREA)
Yukon Delta National Wildlife Refuge
US Fish & Wildlife Service
Alaska Fisheries Science Center (AFSC)
NOAA National Marine Fisheries Service (NMFS)
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)-National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)
Department of Fish and Wildlife Conservation
Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University Blacksburg
Natural Resource Sciences - National Park Service
Institute of Biological Problems of the North (IBPN)
Graduate Program in Production Engineering and System (PPGEPS)
Pontifícia Universidade Católica do Paraná Curitiba, Brasil = Pontifical Catholic University of Paraná Curitiba, Brazil = Université catholique pontificale du Paraná Curitiba, Brésil (PUCPR)
Groningen Institute for Evolutionary Life Sciences Groningen (GELIFES)
University of Groningen Groningen
Department of Biology
Trent University
Division of Biology
Kansas State University
ONTARIO MINISTRY OF NATURAL RESOURCES AND FORESTRY CAN
Partenaires IRSTEA
Institut national de recherche en sciences et technologies pour l'environnement et l'agriculture (IRSTEA)-Institut national de recherche en sciences et technologies pour l'environnement et l'agriculture (IRSTEA)
Centro para el Estudio de Sistemas Marinos (CESIMAR/CENPAT-CONICET) (CESIMAR)
Summit Analytical
Department of Bioscience
Aarhus University Aarhus -Arctic Research Centre
Synchrotron SOLEIL (SSOLEIL)
Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)
Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC)
Audubon Society of Portland
Departement de Biologie & Centre d'Etudes Nordiques
Université du Québec à Rimouski (UQAR)
Institut für Medizinische Mikrobiologie - Institute of Medical Microbiology
Justus-Liebig-Universität Gießen = Justus Liebig University (JLU)
Universidade do Porto = University of Porto
Institute of Avian Research
Laboratoire Chrono-environnement (UMR 6249) (LCE)
Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université de Franche-Comté (UFC)
Université Bourgogne Franche-Comté COMUE (UBFC)-Université Bourgogne Franche-Comté COMUE (UBFC)
Departement de Biologie, Chimie et Géographie
Netherlands Institute of Ecology (NIOO-KNAW)
format Article in Journal/Newspaper
author Bulla, Martin
Reneerkens, Jeroen
Weiser, Emily
Sokolov, Aleksandr
Taylor, Audrey
Sittler, Benoît
Mccaffery, Brian
Ruthrauff, Dan
Catlin, Daniel
Payer, David
Ward, David
Solovyeva, Diana
Santos, Eduardo
Rakhimberdiev, Eldar
Nol, Erica
Kwon, Eunbi
Brown, Glen
Hevia, Glenda
Gates, H. River
Johnson, James, R.
van Gils, Jan
Hansen, Jannik
Lamarre, Jean-Francois
Rausch, Jennie
Conklin, Jesse
Liebezeit, Joe
Bêty, Joël
Lang, Johannes
Alves, José, F.
Fernández-Elipe, Juan
Exo, Klaus-Michael
Bollache, Loïc
Bertellotti, Marcelo
Giroux, Marie-Andrée
van de Pol, Martijn
Johnson, Matthew
Boldenow, Megan
Valcu, Mihai
Soloviev, Mikhail
Sokolova, Natalya
Senner, Nathan
Lecomte, Nicolas
Meyer, Nicolas
Schmidt, Niels Martin
Gilg, Olivier
Smith, Paul
Machín, Paula
Mcguire, Rebecca
Cerboncini, Ricardo
Ottvall, Richard
van Bemmelen, Rob
Swift, Rose
Saalfeld, Sarah
Jamieson, Sarah
Brown, Stephen
Piersma, Theunis
Albrecht, Tomas
D’amico, Verónica
Lanctot, Richard
Kempenaers, Bart
author_facet Bulla, Martin
Reneerkens, Jeroen
Weiser, Emily
Sokolov, Aleksandr
Taylor, Audrey
Sittler, Benoît
Mccaffery, Brian
Ruthrauff, Dan
Catlin, Daniel
Payer, David
Ward, David
Solovyeva, Diana
Santos, Eduardo
Rakhimberdiev, Eldar
Nol, Erica
Kwon, Eunbi
Brown, Glen
Hevia, Glenda
Gates, H. River
Johnson, James, R.
van Gils, Jan
Hansen, Jannik
Lamarre, Jean-Francois
Rausch, Jennie
Conklin, Jesse
Liebezeit, Joe
Bêty, Joël
Lang, Johannes
Alves, José, F.
Fernández-Elipe, Juan
Exo, Klaus-Michael
Bollache, Loïc
Bertellotti, Marcelo
Giroux, Marie-Andrée
van de Pol, Martijn
Johnson, Matthew
Boldenow, Megan
Valcu, Mihai
Soloviev, Mikhail
Sokolova, Natalya
Senner, Nathan
Lecomte, Nicolas
Meyer, Nicolas
Schmidt, Niels Martin
Gilg, Olivier
Smith, Paul
Machín, Paula
Mcguire, Rebecca
Cerboncini, Ricardo
Ottvall, Richard
van Bemmelen, Rob
Swift, Rose
Saalfeld, Sarah
Jamieson, Sarah
Brown, Stephen
Piersma, Theunis
Albrecht, Tomas
D’amico, Verónica
Lanctot, Richard
Kempenaers, Bart
author_sort Bulla, Martin
title Comment on “Global pattern of nest predation is disrupted by climate change in shorebirds”
title_short Comment on “Global pattern of nest predation is disrupted by climate change in shorebirds”
title_full Comment on “Global pattern of nest predation is disrupted by climate change in shorebirds”
title_fullStr Comment on “Global pattern of nest predation is disrupted by climate change in shorebirds”
title_full_unstemmed Comment on “Global pattern of nest predation is disrupted by climate change in shorebirds”
title_sort comment on “global pattern of nest predation is disrupted by climate change in shorebirds”
publisher HAL CCSD
publishDate 2019
url https://hal.science/hal-02535676
https://hal.science/hal-02535676/document
https://hal.science/hal-02535676/file/601047.full.pdf
https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aaw8529
geographic Arctic
geographic_facet Arctic
genre Arctic
Climate change
genre_facet Arctic
Climate change
op_source ISSN: 0036-8075
EISSN: 1095-9203
Science
https://hal.science/hal-02535676
Science, 2019, 364 (6445), ⟨10.1126/science.aaw8529⟩
https://science.sciencemag.org/content/364/6445/eaaw8529
op_relation info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1126/science.aaw8529
hal-02535676
https://hal.science/hal-02535676
https://hal.science/hal-02535676/document
https://hal.science/hal-02535676/file/601047.full.pdf
BIORXIV: 601047
doi:10.1126/science.aaw8529
op_rights info:eu-repo/semantics/OpenAccess
op_doi https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aaw8529
container_title Science
container_volume 364
container_issue 6445
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spelling ftinraparis:oai:HAL:hal-02535676v1 2024-09-09T19:22:36+00:00 Comment on “Global pattern of nest predation is disrupted by climate change in shorebirds” Bulla, Martin Reneerkens, Jeroen Weiser, Emily Sokolov, Aleksandr Taylor, Audrey Sittler, Benoît Mccaffery, Brian Ruthrauff, Dan Catlin, Daniel Payer, David Ward, David Solovyeva, Diana Santos, Eduardo Rakhimberdiev, Eldar Nol, Erica Kwon, Eunbi Brown, Glen Hevia, Glenda Gates, H. River Johnson, James, R. van Gils, Jan Hansen, Jannik Lamarre, Jean-Francois Rausch, Jennie Conklin, Jesse Liebezeit, Joe Bêty, Joël Lang, Johannes Alves, José, F. Fernández-Elipe, Juan Exo, Klaus-Michael Bollache, Loïc Bertellotti, Marcelo Giroux, Marie-Andrée van de Pol, Martijn Johnson, Matthew Boldenow, Megan Valcu, Mihai Soloviev, Mikhail Sokolova, Natalya Senner, Nathan Lecomte, Nicolas Meyer, Nicolas Schmidt, Niels Martin Gilg, Olivier Smith, Paul Machín, Paula Mcguire, Rebecca Cerboncini, Ricardo Ottvall, Richard van Bemmelen, Rob Swift, Rose Saalfeld, Sarah Jamieson, Sarah Brown, Stephen Piersma, Theunis Albrecht, Tomas D’amico, Verónica Lanctot, Richard Kempenaers, Bart Department of Behavioural Ecology and Evolutionary Genetics Max Planck Institute for Ornithology Max-Planck-Gesellschaft-Max-Planck-Gesellschaft Royal Netherlands Institute for Sea Research (NIOZ) U.S. Geological Survey Forest and Rangeland Ecosystem Science Center Arctic Research Station of Institute of Plant and Animal Ecology Ural Branch of Russian Academy of Sciences (UB RAS) Department of Geography and Environmental Studies University of Alaska Anchorage Groupe de recherche en écologie arctique (GREA) Yukon Delta National Wildlife Refuge US Fish & Wildlife Service Alaska Fisheries Science Center (AFSC) NOAA National Marine Fisheries Service (NMFS) National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)-National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Department of Fish and Wildlife Conservation Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University Blacksburg Natural Resource Sciences - National Park Service Institute of Biological Problems of the North (IBPN) Graduate Program in Production Engineering and System (PPGEPS) Pontifícia Universidade Católica do Paraná Curitiba, Brasil = Pontifical Catholic University of Paraná Curitiba, Brazil = Université catholique pontificale du Paraná Curitiba, Brésil (PUCPR) Groningen Institute for Evolutionary Life Sciences Groningen (GELIFES) University of Groningen Groningen Department of Biology Trent University Division of Biology Kansas State University ONTARIO MINISTRY OF NATURAL RESOURCES AND FORESTRY CAN Partenaires IRSTEA Institut national de recherche en sciences et technologies pour l'environnement et l'agriculture (IRSTEA)-Institut national de recherche en sciences et technologies pour l'environnement et l'agriculture (IRSTEA) Centro para el Estudio de Sistemas Marinos (CESIMAR/CENPAT-CONICET) (CESIMAR) Summit Analytical Department of Bioscience Aarhus University Aarhus -Arctic Research Centre Synchrotron SOLEIL (SSOLEIL) Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS) Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC) Audubon Society of Portland Departement de Biologie & Centre d'Etudes Nordiques Université du Québec à Rimouski (UQAR) Institut für Medizinische Mikrobiologie - Institute of Medical Microbiology Justus-Liebig-Universität Gießen = Justus Liebig University (JLU) Universidade do Porto = University of Porto Institute of Avian Research Laboratoire Chrono-environnement (UMR 6249) (LCE) Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université de Franche-Comté (UFC) Université Bourgogne Franche-Comté COMUE (UBFC)-Université Bourgogne Franche-Comté COMUE (UBFC) Departement de Biologie, Chimie et Géographie Netherlands Institute of Ecology (NIOO-KNAW) 2019-06-14 https://hal.science/hal-02535676 https://hal.science/hal-02535676/document https://hal.science/hal-02535676/file/601047.full.pdf https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aaw8529 en eng HAL CCSD American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS) info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1126/science.aaw8529 hal-02535676 https://hal.science/hal-02535676 https://hal.science/hal-02535676/document https://hal.science/hal-02535676/file/601047.full.pdf BIORXIV: 601047 doi:10.1126/science.aaw8529 info:eu-repo/semantics/OpenAccess ISSN: 0036-8075 EISSN: 1095-9203 Science https://hal.science/hal-02535676 Science, 2019, 364 (6445), ⟨10.1126/science.aaw8529⟩ https://science.sciencemag.org/content/364/6445/eaaw8529 [SDE]Environmental Sciences info:eu-repo/semantics/article Journal articles 2019 ftinraparis https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aaw8529 2024-08-27T14:23:02Z International audience Kubelka et al. (Reports, 9 November 2018, p. 680) claim that climate change has disrupted patterns of nest predation in shorebirds. They report that predation rates have increased since the 1950s, especially in the Arctic. We describe methodological problems with their analyses and argue that there is no solid statistical support for their claims. Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic Climate change Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique: ProdINRA Arctic Science 364 6445