Comment on “Global pattern of nest predation is disrupted by climate change in shorebirds”

International audience Kubelka et al. (Reports, 9 November 2018, p. 680) claim that climate change has disrupted patterns of nest predation in shorebirds. They report that predation rates have increased since the 1950s, especially in the Arctic. We describe methodological problems with their analyse...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Published in:Science
Main Authors: Bulla, Martin, Reneerkens, Jeroen, Weiser, Emily, Sokolov, Aleksandr, Taylor, Audrey, Sittler, Benoît, Mccaffery, Brian, Ruthrauff, Dan, Catlin, Daniel, Payer, David, Ward, David, Solovyeva, Diana, Santos, Eduardo, Rakhimberdiev, Eldar, Nol, Erica, Kwon, Eunbi, Brown, Glen, Hevia, Glenda, Gates, H. River, Johnson, James, R., van Gils, Jan, Hansen, Jannik, Lamarre, Jean-Francois, Rausch, Jennie, Conklin, Jesse, Liebezeit, Joe, Bêty, Joël, Lang, Johannes, Alves, José, F., Fernández-Elipe, Juan, Exo, Klaus-Michael, Bollache, Loïc, Bertellotti, Marcelo, Giroux, Marie-Andrée, van de Pol, Martijn, Johnson, Matthew, Boldenow, Megan, Valcu, Mihai, Soloviev, Mikhail, Sokolova, Natalya, Senner, Nathan, Lecomte, Nicolas, Meyer, Nicolas, Schmidt, Niels Martin, Gilg, Olivier, Smith, Paul, Machín, Paula, Mcguire, Rebecca, Cerboncini, Ricardo, Ottvall, Richard, van Bemmelen, Rob, Swift, Rose, Saalfeld, Sarah, Jamieson, Sarah, Brown, Stephen, Piersma, Theunis, Albrecht, Tomas, D’amico, Verónica, Lanctot, Richard, Kempenaers, Bart
Other Authors: Department of Behavioural Ecology and Evolutionary Genetics, Max Planck Institute for Ornithology, Max-Planck-Gesellschaft-Max-Planck-Gesellschaft, Royal Netherlands Institute for Sea Research (NIOZ), U.S. Geological Survey, Forest and Rangeland Ecosystem Science Center, Arctic Research Station of Institute of Plant and Animal Ecology, Ural Branch of Russian Academy of Sciences (UB RAS), Department of Geography and Environmental Studies, University of Alaska Anchorage, Groupe de recherche en écologie arctique (GREA), Yukon Delta National Wildlife Refuge, US Fish & Wildlife Service, Alaska Fisheries Science Center (AFSC), NOAA National Marine Fisheries Service (NMFS), National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)-National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), Department of Fish and Wildlife Conservation, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University Blacksburg, Natural Resource Sciences - National Park Service, Institute of Biological Problems of the North (IBPN), Graduate Program in Production Engineering and System (PPGEPS), Pontifícia Universidade Católica do Paraná Curitiba, Brasil = Pontifical Catholic University of Paraná Curitiba, Brazil = Université catholique pontificale du Paraná Curitiba, Brésil (PUCPR), Groningen Institute for Evolutionary Life Sciences Groningen (GELIFES), University of Groningen Groningen, Department of Biology, Trent University, Division of Biology, Kansas State University, ONTARIO MINISTRY OF NATURAL RESOURCES AND FORESTRY CAN, Partenaires IRSTEA, Institut national de recherche en sciences et technologies pour l'environnement et l'agriculture (IRSTEA)-Institut national de recherche en sciences et technologies pour l'environnement et l'agriculture (IRSTEA), Centro para el Estudio de Sistemas Marinos (CESIMAR/CENPAT-CONICET) (CESIMAR), Summit Analytical, Department of Bioscience, Aarhus University Aarhus -Arctic Research Centre, Synchrotron SOLEIL (SSOLEIL), Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC), Audubon Society of Portland, Departement de Biologie & Centre d'Etudes Nordiques, Université du Québec à Rimouski (UQAR), Institut für Medizinische Mikrobiologie - Institute of Medical Microbiology, Justus-Liebig-Universität Gießen = Justus Liebig University (JLU), Universidade do Porto = University of Porto, Institute of Avian Research, Laboratoire Chrono-environnement (UMR 6249) (LCE), Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université de Franche-Comté (UFC), Université Bourgogne Franche-Comté COMUE (UBFC)-Université Bourgogne Franche-Comté COMUE (UBFC), Departement de Biologie, Chimie et Géographie, Netherlands Institute of Ecology (NIOO-KNAW)
Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
Language:English
Published: HAL CCSD 2019
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hal.science/hal-02535676
https://hal.science/hal-02535676/document
https://hal.science/hal-02535676/file/601047.full.pdf
https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aaw8529
Description
Summary:International audience Kubelka et al. (Reports, 9 November 2018, p. 680) claim that climate change has disrupted patterns of nest predation in shorebirds. They report that predation rates have increased since the 1950s, especially in the Arctic. We describe methodological problems with their analyses and argue that there is no solid statistical support for their claims.