Application of a structured decision‐making process in cryospheric hazard planning: Case study of Bering Glacier surges on local state planning in Alaska
Surging glaciers are glaciers that experience rapidly accelerated glacier flow over a comparatively short period of time. Though relatively rare worldwide, Alaska is home to the largest number of surge-type glaciers globally. However, their impact on the broader socioecological system in the state i...
Published in: | Journal of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis |
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Wiley-Blackwell
2024
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Online Access: | https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/19466/ https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/19466/1/Multi%20Criteria%20Decision%20Anal%20-%202023%20-%20Abdel%E2%80%90Fattah%20-%20Application%20of%20a%20structured%20decision%E2%80%90making%20process%20in%20cryospheric.pdf https://doi.org/10.1002/mcda.1825 |
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ftiiasalaxenburg:oai:pure.iiasa.ac.at:19466 2024-05-19T07:40:39+00:00 Application of a structured decision‐making process in cryospheric hazard planning: Case study of Bering Glacier surges on local state planning in Alaska Abdel‐Fattah, D. Danielson, M. Ekenberg, L. Hock, R. Trainor, S. 2024-01 text https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/19466/ https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/19466/1/Multi%20Criteria%20Decision%20Anal%20-%202023%20-%20Abdel%E2%80%90Fattah%20-%20Application%20of%20a%20structured%20decision%E2%80%90making%20process%20in%20cryospheric.pdf https://doi.org/10.1002/mcda.1825 en eng Wiley-Blackwell https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/19466/1/Multi%20Criteria%20Decision%20Anal%20-%202023%20-%20Abdel%E2%80%90Fattah%20-%20Application%20of%20a%20structured%20decision%E2%80%90making%20process%20in%20cryospheric.pdf Abdel‐Fattah, D., Danielson, M. <https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/view/iiasa/3245.html>, Ekenberg, L. <https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/view/iiasa/79.html> orcid:0000-0002-0665-1889 , Hock, R., & Trainor, S. (2024). Application of a structured decision‐making process in cryospheric hazard planning: Case study of Bering Glacier surges on local state planning in Alaska. Journal of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis 31 (1-2) e1825. 10.1002/mcda.1825 <https://doi.org/10.1002/mcda.1825>. doi:10.1002/mcda.1825 cc_by_nc_4 Article PeerReviewed 2024 ftiiasalaxenburg https://doi.org/10.1002/mcda.1825 2024-05-02T00:03:58Z Surging glaciers are glaciers that experience rapidly accelerated glacier flow over a comparatively short period of time. Though relatively rare worldwide, Alaska is home to the largest number of surge-type glaciers globally. However, their impact on the broader socioecological system in the state is both poorly understood and under-researched, which poses a challenge in developing appropriate sustainability decisions in Alaska. We investigated how the surge patterns of the Bering Glacier in Alaska have potentially devastating effects on the local ecological biodiversity of its watershed via a structured decision-making analysis of the different possible consequences. Specifically, this analysis was conducted to explore the various outcomes of a Bering Glacier surge particularly if humans have an increased presence near the glacier due to the area potentially becoming a state park. This work explored the benefits of applying a risk and decision analytical framework in a cryosphere context, to better understand the socioeconomic impact of glacier surges. This is a novel approach in which a decision analysis tool was used to better understand an environmental sustainability challenge, offering an innovative method to support the achievement of the United Nations Sustainability Development Goals in Alaska. We therefore emphasise the need for integrated biophysical and socioeconomic analyses when it comes to understanding glacier hazards. Our research highlights the importance of understanding and researching biophysical changes as well as using a structured decision-making process for complicated hazard planning scenarios, exemplified via glaciated regions in Alaska, in order to create adaptation strategies that are sustainable and encompass the range of possible outcomes. Article in Journal/Newspaper glacier glaciers Alaska IIASA PURE (International Institute of Applied Systems Analysis: PUblications REpository) Journal of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis 31 1-2 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
IIASA PURE (International Institute of Applied Systems Analysis: PUblications REpository) |
op_collection_id |
ftiiasalaxenburg |
language |
English |
description |
Surging glaciers are glaciers that experience rapidly accelerated glacier flow over a comparatively short period of time. Though relatively rare worldwide, Alaska is home to the largest number of surge-type glaciers globally. However, their impact on the broader socioecological system in the state is both poorly understood and under-researched, which poses a challenge in developing appropriate sustainability decisions in Alaska. We investigated how the surge patterns of the Bering Glacier in Alaska have potentially devastating effects on the local ecological biodiversity of its watershed via a structured decision-making analysis of the different possible consequences. Specifically, this analysis was conducted to explore the various outcomes of a Bering Glacier surge particularly if humans have an increased presence near the glacier due to the area potentially becoming a state park. This work explored the benefits of applying a risk and decision analytical framework in a cryosphere context, to better understand the socioeconomic impact of glacier surges. This is a novel approach in which a decision analysis tool was used to better understand an environmental sustainability challenge, offering an innovative method to support the achievement of the United Nations Sustainability Development Goals in Alaska. We therefore emphasise the need for integrated biophysical and socioeconomic analyses when it comes to understanding glacier hazards. Our research highlights the importance of understanding and researching biophysical changes as well as using a structured decision-making process for complicated hazard planning scenarios, exemplified via glaciated regions in Alaska, in order to create adaptation strategies that are sustainable and encompass the range of possible outcomes. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Abdel‐Fattah, D. Danielson, M. Ekenberg, L. Hock, R. Trainor, S. |
spellingShingle |
Abdel‐Fattah, D. Danielson, M. Ekenberg, L. Hock, R. Trainor, S. Application of a structured decision‐making process in cryospheric hazard planning: Case study of Bering Glacier surges on local state planning in Alaska |
author_facet |
Abdel‐Fattah, D. Danielson, M. Ekenberg, L. Hock, R. Trainor, S. |
author_sort |
Abdel‐Fattah, D. |
title |
Application of a structured decision‐making process in cryospheric hazard planning: Case study of Bering Glacier surges on local state planning in Alaska |
title_short |
Application of a structured decision‐making process in cryospheric hazard planning: Case study of Bering Glacier surges on local state planning in Alaska |
title_full |
Application of a structured decision‐making process in cryospheric hazard planning: Case study of Bering Glacier surges on local state planning in Alaska |
title_fullStr |
Application of a structured decision‐making process in cryospheric hazard planning: Case study of Bering Glacier surges on local state planning in Alaska |
title_full_unstemmed |
Application of a structured decision‐making process in cryospheric hazard planning: Case study of Bering Glacier surges on local state planning in Alaska |
title_sort |
application of a structured decision‐making process in cryospheric hazard planning: case study of bering glacier surges on local state planning in alaska |
publisher |
Wiley-Blackwell |
publishDate |
2024 |
url |
https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/19466/ https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/19466/1/Multi%20Criteria%20Decision%20Anal%20-%202023%20-%20Abdel%E2%80%90Fattah%20-%20Application%20of%20a%20structured%20decision%E2%80%90making%20process%20in%20cryospheric.pdf https://doi.org/10.1002/mcda.1825 |
genre |
glacier glaciers Alaska |
genre_facet |
glacier glaciers Alaska |
op_relation |
https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/id/eprint/19466/1/Multi%20Criteria%20Decision%20Anal%20-%202023%20-%20Abdel%E2%80%90Fattah%20-%20Application%20of%20a%20structured%20decision%E2%80%90making%20process%20in%20cryospheric.pdf Abdel‐Fattah, D., Danielson, M. <https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/view/iiasa/3245.html>, Ekenberg, L. <https://pure.iiasa.ac.at/view/iiasa/79.html> orcid:0000-0002-0665-1889 , Hock, R., & Trainor, S. (2024). Application of a structured decision‐making process in cryospheric hazard planning: Case study of Bering Glacier surges on local state planning in Alaska. Journal of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis 31 (1-2) e1825. 10.1002/mcda.1825 <https://doi.org/10.1002/mcda.1825>. doi:10.1002/mcda.1825 |
op_rights |
cc_by_nc_4 |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1002/mcda.1825 |
container_title |
Journal of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis |
container_volume |
31 |
container_issue |
1-2 |
_version_ |
1799480227774070784 |