Snow cover duration trends observed at sites and predicted by multiple models
The 30-year simulations of seasonal snow cover in 22 physically based models driven with bias-corrected meteorological reanalyses are examined at four sites with long records of snow observations. Annual snow cover durations differ widely between models, but interannual variations are strongly corre...
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fthzgzmk:oai:publications.hereon.de:39385 2023-06-11T04:17:19+02:00 Snow cover duration trends observed at sites and predicted by multiple models Essery, R. Kim, H. Wang, L. Bartlett, P. Boone, A. Brutel-Vuilmet, C. Burke, E. Cuntz, M. Decharme, B. Dutra, E. Fang, X. Gusev, Y. Hagemann, S. Haverd, V. Kontu, A. Krinner, G. Lafaysse, M. Lejeune, Y. Marke, T. Marks, D. Marty, C. Menard, C.B. Nasonova, O. Nitta, T. Pomeroy, J. Schädler, G. Semenov, V. Smirnova, T. Swenson, S. Turkov, D. Wever, N. Yuan, H. 2020 https://publications.hereon.de/id/39385 https://publications.hzg.de/id/39385 https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-4687-2020 en eng EGU - Copernicus Publication https://dx.doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-4687-2020 urn:issn:1994-0416 https://publications.hereon.de/id/39385 https://publications.hzg.de/id/39385 info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess open_access oa_gold issn:1994-0416 Essery, R.; Kim, H.; Wang, L.; Bartlett, P.; Boone, A.; Brutel-Vuilmet, C.; Burke, E.; Cuntz, M.; Decharme, B.; Dutra, E.; Fang, X.; Gusev, Y.; Hagemann, S.; Haverd, V.; Kontu, A.; Krinner, G.; Lafaysse, M.; Lejeune, Y.; Marke, T.; Marks, D.; Marty, C.; Menard, C.B.; Nasonova, O.; Nitta, T.; Pomeroy, J.; Schädler, G.; Semenov, V.; Smirnova, T.; Swenson, S.; Turkov, D.; Wever, N.; Yuan, H.: Snow cover duration trends observed at sites and predicted by multiple models. In: The Cryosphere. Vol. 14 (2020) 12, 4687 - 4698. (DOI: /10.5194/tc-14-4687-2020) info:eu-repo/semantics/article Zeitschrift Artikel 2020 fthzgzmk https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-4687-2020 2023-05-28T23:25:08Z The 30-year simulations of seasonal snow cover in 22 physically based models driven with bias-corrected meteorological reanalyses are examined at four sites with long records of snow observations. Annual snow cover durations differ widely between models, but interannual variations are strongly correlated because of the common driving data. No significant trends are observed in starting dates for seasonal snow cover, but there are significant trends towards snow cover ending earlier at two of the sites in observations and most of the models. A simplified model with just two parameters controlling solar radiation and sensible heat contributions to snowmelt spans the ranges of snow cover durations and trends. This model predicts that sites where snow persists beyond annual peaks in solar radiation and air temperature will experience rapid decreases in snow cover duration with warming as snow begins to melt earlier and at times of year with more energy available for melting. Article in Journal/Newspaper The Cryosphere Hereon Publications (Helmholtz-Zentrum) The Cryosphere 14 12 4687 4698 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Hereon Publications (Helmholtz-Zentrum) |
op_collection_id |
fthzgzmk |
language |
English |
description |
The 30-year simulations of seasonal snow cover in 22 physically based models driven with bias-corrected meteorological reanalyses are examined at four sites with long records of snow observations. Annual snow cover durations differ widely between models, but interannual variations are strongly correlated because of the common driving data. No significant trends are observed in starting dates for seasonal snow cover, but there are significant trends towards snow cover ending earlier at two of the sites in observations and most of the models. A simplified model with just two parameters controlling solar radiation and sensible heat contributions to snowmelt spans the ranges of snow cover durations and trends. This model predicts that sites where snow persists beyond annual peaks in solar radiation and air temperature will experience rapid decreases in snow cover duration with warming as snow begins to melt earlier and at times of year with more energy available for melting. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Essery, R. Kim, H. Wang, L. Bartlett, P. Boone, A. Brutel-Vuilmet, C. Burke, E. Cuntz, M. Decharme, B. Dutra, E. Fang, X. Gusev, Y. Hagemann, S. Haverd, V. Kontu, A. Krinner, G. Lafaysse, M. Lejeune, Y. Marke, T. Marks, D. Marty, C. Menard, C.B. Nasonova, O. Nitta, T. Pomeroy, J. Schädler, G. Semenov, V. Smirnova, T. Swenson, S. Turkov, D. Wever, N. Yuan, H. |
spellingShingle |
Essery, R. Kim, H. Wang, L. Bartlett, P. Boone, A. Brutel-Vuilmet, C. Burke, E. Cuntz, M. Decharme, B. Dutra, E. Fang, X. Gusev, Y. Hagemann, S. Haverd, V. Kontu, A. Krinner, G. Lafaysse, M. Lejeune, Y. Marke, T. Marks, D. Marty, C. Menard, C.B. Nasonova, O. Nitta, T. Pomeroy, J. Schädler, G. Semenov, V. Smirnova, T. Swenson, S. Turkov, D. Wever, N. Yuan, H. Snow cover duration trends observed at sites and predicted by multiple models |
author_facet |
Essery, R. Kim, H. Wang, L. Bartlett, P. Boone, A. Brutel-Vuilmet, C. Burke, E. Cuntz, M. Decharme, B. Dutra, E. Fang, X. Gusev, Y. Hagemann, S. Haverd, V. Kontu, A. Krinner, G. Lafaysse, M. Lejeune, Y. Marke, T. Marks, D. Marty, C. Menard, C.B. Nasonova, O. Nitta, T. Pomeroy, J. Schädler, G. Semenov, V. Smirnova, T. Swenson, S. Turkov, D. Wever, N. Yuan, H. |
author_sort |
Essery, R. |
title |
Snow cover duration trends observed at sites and predicted by multiple models |
title_short |
Snow cover duration trends observed at sites and predicted by multiple models |
title_full |
Snow cover duration trends observed at sites and predicted by multiple models |
title_fullStr |
Snow cover duration trends observed at sites and predicted by multiple models |
title_full_unstemmed |
Snow cover duration trends observed at sites and predicted by multiple models |
title_sort |
snow cover duration trends observed at sites and predicted by multiple models |
publisher |
EGU - Copernicus Publication |
publishDate |
2020 |
url |
https://publications.hereon.de/id/39385 https://publications.hzg.de/id/39385 https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-4687-2020 |
genre |
The Cryosphere |
genre_facet |
The Cryosphere |
op_source |
issn:1994-0416 Essery, R.; Kim, H.; Wang, L.; Bartlett, P.; Boone, A.; Brutel-Vuilmet, C.; Burke, E.; Cuntz, M.; Decharme, B.; Dutra, E.; Fang, X.; Gusev, Y.; Hagemann, S.; Haverd, V.; Kontu, A.; Krinner, G.; Lafaysse, M.; Lejeune, Y.; Marke, T.; Marks, D.; Marty, C.; Menard, C.B.; Nasonova, O.; Nitta, T.; Pomeroy, J.; Schädler, G.; Semenov, V.; Smirnova, T.; Swenson, S.; Turkov, D.; Wever, N.; Yuan, H.: Snow cover duration trends observed at sites and predicted by multiple models. In: The Cryosphere. Vol. 14 (2020) 12, 4687 - 4698. (DOI: /10.5194/tc-14-4687-2020) |
op_relation |
https://dx.doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-4687-2020 urn:issn:1994-0416 https://publications.hereon.de/id/39385 https://publications.hzg.de/id/39385 |
op_rights |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess open_access oa_gold |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-4687-2020 |
container_title |
The Cryosphere |
container_volume |
14 |
container_issue |
12 |
container_start_page |
4687 |
op_container_end_page |
4698 |
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1768376374849961984 |