Mass loss of the Greenland ice sheet until the year 3000 under a sustained late-21st-century climate
We conduct extended versions of the ISMIP6 future climate experiments for the Greenland ice sheet until the year 3000 with the model SICOPOLIS. Beyond 2100, the climate forcing is kept fixed at late-21st-century conditions. For the unabated warming pathway RCP8.5/SSP5-8.5, the ice sheet suffers a se...
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Online Access: | http://hdl.handle.net/2115/85297 https://doi.org/10.1017/jog.2022.9 |
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fthokunivhus:oai:eprints.lib.hokudai.ac.jp:2115/85297 2023-05-15T15:03:10+02:00 Mass loss of the Greenland ice sheet until the year 3000 under a sustained late-21st-century climate Greve, Ralf Chambers, Christopher http://hdl.handle.net/2115/85297 https://doi.org/10.1017/jog.2022.9 eng eng Cambridge University Press http://hdl.handle.net/2115/85297 Journal of Glaciology, 68(269): 618-624 http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/jog.2022.9 Arctic glaciology climate change ice and climate ice-sheet modelling 452 article fthokunivhus https://doi.org/10.1017/jog.2022.9 2022-11-18T01:07:01Z We conduct extended versions of the ISMIP6 future climate experiments for the Greenland ice sheet until the year 3000 with the model SICOPOLIS. Beyond 2100, the climate forcing is kept fixed at late-21st-century conditions. For the unabated warming pathway RCP8.5/SSP5-8.5, the ice sheet suffers a severe mass loss, which amounts to ~ 1.8 m SLE (sea-level equivalent) for the 12-experiment mean, and ~ 3.5 m SLE (~ 50% of the entire mass) for the most sensitive experiment. For the reduced emissions pathway RCP2.6/SSP1-2.6, the mass loss is limited to a two-experiment mean of ~ 0.28 m SLE. Climate-change mitigation during the next decades will therefore be an efficient means for limiting the contribution of the Greenland ice sheet to sea-level rise in the long term. Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic Climate change Greenland Ice Sheet Journal of Glaciology Hokkaido University Collection of Scholarly and Academic Papers (HUSCAP) Arctic Greenland Journal of Glaciology 68 269 618 624 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Hokkaido University Collection of Scholarly and Academic Papers (HUSCAP) |
op_collection_id |
fthokunivhus |
language |
English |
topic |
Arctic glaciology climate change ice and climate ice-sheet modelling 452 |
spellingShingle |
Arctic glaciology climate change ice and climate ice-sheet modelling 452 Greve, Ralf Chambers, Christopher Mass loss of the Greenland ice sheet until the year 3000 under a sustained late-21st-century climate |
topic_facet |
Arctic glaciology climate change ice and climate ice-sheet modelling 452 |
description |
We conduct extended versions of the ISMIP6 future climate experiments for the Greenland ice sheet until the year 3000 with the model SICOPOLIS. Beyond 2100, the climate forcing is kept fixed at late-21st-century conditions. For the unabated warming pathway RCP8.5/SSP5-8.5, the ice sheet suffers a severe mass loss, which amounts to ~ 1.8 m SLE (sea-level equivalent) for the 12-experiment mean, and ~ 3.5 m SLE (~ 50% of the entire mass) for the most sensitive experiment. For the reduced emissions pathway RCP2.6/SSP1-2.6, the mass loss is limited to a two-experiment mean of ~ 0.28 m SLE. Climate-change mitigation during the next decades will therefore be an efficient means for limiting the contribution of the Greenland ice sheet to sea-level rise in the long term. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Greve, Ralf Chambers, Christopher |
author_facet |
Greve, Ralf Chambers, Christopher |
author_sort |
Greve, Ralf |
title |
Mass loss of the Greenland ice sheet until the year 3000 under a sustained late-21st-century climate |
title_short |
Mass loss of the Greenland ice sheet until the year 3000 under a sustained late-21st-century climate |
title_full |
Mass loss of the Greenland ice sheet until the year 3000 under a sustained late-21st-century climate |
title_fullStr |
Mass loss of the Greenland ice sheet until the year 3000 under a sustained late-21st-century climate |
title_full_unstemmed |
Mass loss of the Greenland ice sheet until the year 3000 under a sustained late-21st-century climate |
title_sort |
mass loss of the greenland ice sheet until the year 3000 under a sustained late-21st-century climate |
publisher |
Cambridge University Press |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/2115/85297 https://doi.org/10.1017/jog.2022.9 |
geographic |
Arctic Greenland |
geographic_facet |
Arctic Greenland |
genre |
Arctic Climate change Greenland Ice Sheet Journal of Glaciology |
genre_facet |
Arctic Climate change Greenland Ice Sheet Journal of Glaciology |
op_relation |
http://hdl.handle.net/2115/85297 Journal of Glaciology, 68(269): 618-624 http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/jog.2022.9 |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1017/jog.2022.9 |
container_title |
Journal of Glaciology |
container_volume |
68 |
container_issue |
269 |
container_start_page |
618 |
op_container_end_page |
624 |
_version_ |
1766335061773254656 |