Temperature and Precipitation Development at Svalbard 1900–2100
Substantial variations in temperature and precipitation have been observed since the first permanent weather station was established in the Svalbard region in 1911. Temperature and precipitation development are analysed for the longest observational series, and periods with positive and negative tre...
Published in: | Advances in Meteorology |
---|---|
Main Authors: | , , , , |
Format: | Article in Journal/Newspaper |
Language: | English |
Published: |
Advances in Meteorology
2011
|
Subjects: | |
Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1155/2011/893790 |
id |
fthindawi:oai:hindawi.com:10.1155/2011/893790 |
---|---|
record_format |
openpolar |
spelling |
fthindawi:oai:hindawi.com:10.1155/2011/893790 2023-05-15T17:08:30+02:00 Temperature and Precipitation Development at Svalbard 1900–2100 Eirik J. Førland Rasmus Benestad Inger Hanssen-Bauer Jan Erik Haugen Torill Engen Skaugen 2011 https://doi.org/10.1155/2011/893790 en eng Advances in Meteorology https://doi.org/10.1155/2011/893790 Copyright © 2011 Eirik J. Førland et al. Research Article 2011 fthindawi https://doi.org/10.1155/2011/893790 2019-05-25T21:19:47Z Substantial variations in temperature and precipitation have been observed since the first permanent weather station was established in the Svalbard region in 1911. Temperature and precipitation development are analysed for the longest observational series, and periods with positive and negative trends are identified. For all temperature series, positive linear trends are found for annual values as well as spring, summer, and autumn series. A very strong winter warming is identified for the latest decades. Evaluation of temperature trends downscaled from global climate models forced with observed greenhouse gas emissions suggests that the downscaled results do span the observation-based trends at Svalbard Airport 1912–2010. Novel projections focussing on the Svalbard region indicate a future warming rate up to year 2100 three times stronger than observed during the latest 100 years. The average winter temperature in the Longyearbyen area at the end of this century is projected to be around 10°C higher than in present climate. Also for precipitation, the long-term observational series indicate an increase and the projections indicate a further increase up to year 2100. Article in Journal/Newspaper Longyearbyen Svalbard Hindawi Publishing Corporation Longyearbyen Svalbard Advances in Meteorology 2011 1 14 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Hindawi Publishing Corporation |
op_collection_id |
fthindawi |
language |
English |
description |
Substantial variations in temperature and precipitation have been observed since the first permanent weather station was established in the Svalbard region in 1911. Temperature and precipitation development are analysed for the longest observational series, and periods with positive and negative trends are identified. For all temperature series, positive linear trends are found for annual values as well as spring, summer, and autumn series. A very strong winter warming is identified for the latest decades. Evaluation of temperature trends downscaled from global climate models forced with observed greenhouse gas emissions suggests that the downscaled results do span the observation-based trends at Svalbard Airport 1912–2010. Novel projections focussing on the Svalbard region indicate a future warming rate up to year 2100 three times stronger than observed during the latest 100 years. The average winter temperature in the Longyearbyen area at the end of this century is projected to be around 10°C higher than in present climate. Also for precipitation, the long-term observational series indicate an increase and the projections indicate a further increase up to year 2100. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Eirik J. Førland Rasmus Benestad Inger Hanssen-Bauer Jan Erik Haugen Torill Engen Skaugen |
spellingShingle |
Eirik J. Førland Rasmus Benestad Inger Hanssen-Bauer Jan Erik Haugen Torill Engen Skaugen Temperature and Precipitation Development at Svalbard 1900–2100 |
author_facet |
Eirik J. Førland Rasmus Benestad Inger Hanssen-Bauer Jan Erik Haugen Torill Engen Skaugen |
author_sort |
Eirik J. Førland |
title |
Temperature and Precipitation Development at Svalbard 1900–2100 |
title_short |
Temperature and Precipitation Development at Svalbard 1900–2100 |
title_full |
Temperature and Precipitation Development at Svalbard 1900–2100 |
title_fullStr |
Temperature and Precipitation Development at Svalbard 1900–2100 |
title_full_unstemmed |
Temperature and Precipitation Development at Svalbard 1900–2100 |
title_sort |
temperature and precipitation development at svalbard 1900–2100 |
publisher |
Advances in Meteorology |
publishDate |
2011 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.1155/2011/893790 |
geographic |
Longyearbyen Svalbard |
geographic_facet |
Longyearbyen Svalbard |
genre |
Longyearbyen Svalbard |
genre_facet |
Longyearbyen Svalbard |
op_relation |
https://doi.org/10.1155/2011/893790 |
op_rights |
Copyright © 2011 Eirik J. Førland et al. |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1155/2011/893790 |
container_title |
Advances in Meteorology |
container_volume |
2011 |
container_start_page |
1 |
op_container_end_page |
14 |
_version_ |
1766064265166323712 |