Evaluating the impact of buffers to account for scientific uncertainty when setting TACs: application to red king crab in Bristol Bay, Alaska
<qd> Punt, A. E., Siddeek, M. S. M., Garber-Yonts, B., Dalton, M., Rugolo, L., Stram, D., Turnock, B. J., and Zheng, J. Evaluating the impact of buffers to account for scientific uncertainty when setting TACs: application to red king crab in Bristol Bay, Alaska. – ICES Journal of Marine Scienc...
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Oxford University Press
2012
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fthighwire:oai:open-archive.highwire.org:icesjms:fss047v1 2023-05-15T17:54:37+02:00 Evaluating the impact of buffers to account for scientific uncertainty when setting TACs: application to red king crab in Bristol Bay, Alaska Punt, André E. Siddeek, M. S. M. Garber-Yonts, Brian Dalton, Michael Rugolo, Louis Stram, Diana Turnock, Benjamin J. Zheng, Jie 2012-03-20 01:31:53.0 text/html http://icesjms.oxfordjournals.org/cgi/content/short/fss047v1 https://doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fss047 en eng Oxford University Press http://icesjms.oxfordjournals.org/cgi/content/short/fss047v1 http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fss047 Copyright (C) 2012, International Council for the Exploration of the Sea/Conseil International pour l'Exploration de la Mer Article TEXT 2012 fthighwire https://doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fss047 2013-05-26T22:47:31Z <qd> Punt, A. E., Siddeek, M. S. M., Garber-Yonts, B., Dalton, M., Rugolo, L., Stram, D., Turnock, B. J., and Zheng, J. Evaluating the impact of buffers to account for scientific uncertainty when setting TACs: application to red king crab in Bristol Bay, Alaska. – ICES Journal of Marine Science, doi:10.1093/icesjms/fss047. </qd>Increasingly, scientific uncertainty is being accounted for in fisheries management by implementing an uncertainty buffer, i.e. a difference between the limit catch level given perfect information and the set catch. An approach based on simulation is outlined, which can be used to evaluate the impact of different buffers on short- and long-term catches, discounted revenue, the probability of overfishing (i.e. the catch exceeding the true, but unknown, limit catch), and the stock becoming overfished (i.e. for crab, mature male biomass, MMB, dropping below one-half of the MMB corresponding to maximum sustainable yield). This approach can be applied when only a fraction of the uncertainty related to estimating the limit catch level is quantified through stock assessments. The approach is applied for illustrative purposes to the fishery for red king crab, Paralithodes camtschaticus , in Bristol Bay, AK. Text Paralithodes camtschaticus Red king crab Alaska HighWire Press (Stanford University) ICES Journal of Marine Science 69 4 624 634 |
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HighWire Press (Stanford University) |
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English |
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Article Punt, André E. Siddeek, M. S. M. Garber-Yonts, Brian Dalton, Michael Rugolo, Louis Stram, Diana Turnock, Benjamin J. Zheng, Jie Evaluating the impact of buffers to account for scientific uncertainty when setting TACs: application to red king crab in Bristol Bay, Alaska |
topic_facet |
Article |
description |
<qd> Punt, A. E., Siddeek, M. S. M., Garber-Yonts, B., Dalton, M., Rugolo, L., Stram, D., Turnock, B. J., and Zheng, J. Evaluating the impact of buffers to account for scientific uncertainty when setting TACs: application to red king crab in Bristol Bay, Alaska. – ICES Journal of Marine Science, doi:10.1093/icesjms/fss047. </qd>Increasingly, scientific uncertainty is being accounted for in fisheries management by implementing an uncertainty buffer, i.e. a difference between the limit catch level given perfect information and the set catch. An approach based on simulation is outlined, which can be used to evaluate the impact of different buffers on short- and long-term catches, discounted revenue, the probability of overfishing (i.e. the catch exceeding the true, but unknown, limit catch), and the stock becoming overfished (i.e. for crab, mature male biomass, MMB, dropping below one-half of the MMB corresponding to maximum sustainable yield). This approach can be applied when only a fraction of the uncertainty related to estimating the limit catch level is quantified through stock assessments. The approach is applied for illustrative purposes to the fishery for red king crab, Paralithodes camtschaticus , in Bristol Bay, AK. |
format |
Text |
author |
Punt, André E. Siddeek, M. S. M. Garber-Yonts, Brian Dalton, Michael Rugolo, Louis Stram, Diana Turnock, Benjamin J. Zheng, Jie |
author_facet |
Punt, André E. Siddeek, M. S. M. Garber-Yonts, Brian Dalton, Michael Rugolo, Louis Stram, Diana Turnock, Benjamin J. Zheng, Jie |
author_sort |
Punt, André E. |
title |
Evaluating the impact of buffers to account for scientific uncertainty when setting TACs: application to red king crab in Bristol Bay, Alaska |
title_short |
Evaluating the impact of buffers to account for scientific uncertainty when setting TACs: application to red king crab in Bristol Bay, Alaska |
title_full |
Evaluating the impact of buffers to account for scientific uncertainty when setting TACs: application to red king crab in Bristol Bay, Alaska |
title_fullStr |
Evaluating the impact of buffers to account for scientific uncertainty when setting TACs: application to red king crab in Bristol Bay, Alaska |
title_full_unstemmed |
Evaluating the impact of buffers to account for scientific uncertainty when setting TACs: application to red king crab in Bristol Bay, Alaska |
title_sort |
evaluating the impact of buffers to account for scientific uncertainty when setting tacs: application to red king crab in bristol bay, alaska |
publisher |
Oxford University Press |
publishDate |
2012 |
url |
http://icesjms.oxfordjournals.org/cgi/content/short/fss047v1 https://doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fss047 |
genre |
Paralithodes camtschaticus Red king crab Alaska |
genre_facet |
Paralithodes camtschaticus Red king crab Alaska |
op_relation |
http://icesjms.oxfordjournals.org/cgi/content/short/fss047v1 http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fss047 |
op_rights |
Copyright (C) 2012, International Council for the Exploration of the Sea/Conseil International pour l'Exploration de la Mer |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fss047 |
container_title |
ICES Journal of Marine Science |
container_volume |
69 |
container_issue |
4 |
container_start_page |
624 |
op_container_end_page |
634 |
_version_ |
1766162416767336448 |