Future sea surface temperatures in Large Marine Ecosystems of the Northwest Atlantic
<qd> Khan, A. H., Levac, E., and Chmura, G. L. 2013. Future sea surface temperatures in Large Marine Ecosystems of the Northwest Atlantic. – ICES Journal of Marine Science, 70: 915–921. </qd>We analysed projections of future sea surface temperatures (SSTs) for six Large Marine Ecosystems...
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fthighwire:oai:open-archive.highwire.org:icesjms:70/5/915 2023-05-15T16:29:44+02:00 Future sea surface temperatures in Large Marine Ecosystems of the Northwest Atlantic Khan, Amina H. Levac, Elisabeth Chmura, Gail L. 2013-09-01 00:00:00.0 text/html http://icesjms.oxfordjournals.org/cgi/content/short/70/5/915 https://doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fst002 en eng Oxford University Press http://icesjms.oxfordjournals.org/cgi/content/short/70/5/915 http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fst002 Copyright (C) 2013, International Council for the Exploration of the Sea/Conseil International pour l'Exploration de la Mer Original Articles TEXT 2013 fthighwire https://doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fst002 2015-02-28T21:39:05Z <qd> Khan, A. H., Levac, E., and Chmura, G. L. 2013. Future sea surface temperatures in Large Marine Ecosystems of the Northwest Atlantic. – ICES Journal of Marine Science, 70: 915–921. </qd>We analysed projections of future sea surface temperatures (SSTs) for six Large Marine Ecosystems (LMEs) of the Northwest Atlantic: the West Greenland Shelf, the Newfoundland-Labrador Shelf, the Scotian Shelf, the Northeast US continental shelf, the Southeast US continental shelf, and the Gulf of Mexico. We used state-of-the-art global climate models (CSIRO-Mk3.6, GISS-E2-R) and earth system models (CanESM2, HadGEM2-ES) and representative concentration pathways (RCPs) 8.5 and 4.5 that represent a range in possible future concentrations of atmospheric CO 2 . Our analysis focuses on average February and August SSTs from the period 2071–2100 as the low and high temperatures of these months generally define the thermal habitat of a species. SSTs will increase in most, but not all, waters of the LMEs, and seasonality will increase in all LMEs. The difference in SSTs from the Gulf of Mexico to the Scotian Shelf may be reduced but differences will increase from the Scotian Shelf north. Although past SST changes have been greatest on the Newfoundland-Labrador Shelf, ensemble average projections indicate that the greatest future change will occur on the Scotian Shelf. The variation in future SSTs is greater among models than between RCPs, suggesting that impact studies limited to a single model may be biased. Text Greenland Newfoundland Northwest Atlantic HighWire Press (Stanford University) Newfoundland Greenland Labrador Shelf ENVELOPE(-58.000,-58.000,56.000,56.000) ICES Journal of Marine Science 70 5 915 921 |
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HighWire Press (Stanford University) |
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English |
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Original Articles |
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Original Articles Khan, Amina H. Levac, Elisabeth Chmura, Gail L. Future sea surface temperatures in Large Marine Ecosystems of the Northwest Atlantic |
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Original Articles |
description |
<qd> Khan, A. H., Levac, E., and Chmura, G. L. 2013. Future sea surface temperatures in Large Marine Ecosystems of the Northwest Atlantic. – ICES Journal of Marine Science, 70: 915–921. </qd>We analysed projections of future sea surface temperatures (SSTs) for six Large Marine Ecosystems (LMEs) of the Northwest Atlantic: the West Greenland Shelf, the Newfoundland-Labrador Shelf, the Scotian Shelf, the Northeast US continental shelf, the Southeast US continental shelf, and the Gulf of Mexico. We used state-of-the-art global climate models (CSIRO-Mk3.6, GISS-E2-R) and earth system models (CanESM2, HadGEM2-ES) and representative concentration pathways (RCPs) 8.5 and 4.5 that represent a range in possible future concentrations of atmospheric CO 2 . Our analysis focuses on average February and August SSTs from the period 2071–2100 as the low and high temperatures of these months generally define the thermal habitat of a species. SSTs will increase in most, but not all, waters of the LMEs, and seasonality will increase in all LMEs. The difference in SSTs from the Gulf of Mexico to the Scotian Shelf may be reduced but differences will increase from the Scotian Shelf north. Although past SST changes have been greatest on the Newfoundland-Labrador Shelf, ensemble average projections indicate that the greatest future change will occur on the Scotian Shelf. The variation in future SSTs is greater among models than between RCPs, suggesting that impact studies limited to a single model may be biased. |
format |
Text |
author |
Khan, Amina H. Levac, Elisabeth Chmura, Gail L. |
author_facet |
Khan, Amina H. Levac, Elisabeth Chmura, Gail L. |
author_sort |
Khan, Amina H. |
title |
Future sea surface temperatures in Large Marine Ecosystems of the Northwest Atlantic |
title_short |
Future sea surface temperatures in Large Marine Ecosystems of the Northwest Atlantic |
title_full |
Future sea surface temperatures in Large Marine Ecosystems of the Northwest Atlantic |
title_fullStr |
Future sea surface temperatures in Large Marine Ecosystems of the Northwest Atlantic |
title_full_unstemmed |
Future sea surface temperatures in Large Marine Ecosystems of the Northwest Atlantic |
title_sort |
future sea surface temperatures in large marine ecosystems of the northwest atlantic |
publisher |
Oxford University Press |
publishDate |
2013 |
url |
http://icesjms.oxfordjournals.org/cgi/content/short/70/5/915 https://doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fst002 |
long_lat |
ENVELOPE(-58.000,-58.000,56.000,56.000) |
geographic |
Newfoundland Greenland Labrador Shelf |
geographic_facet |
Newfoundland Greenland Labrador Shelf |
genre |
Greenland Newfoundland Northwest Atlantic |
genre_facet |
Greenland Newfoundland Northwest Atlantic |
op_relation |
http://icesjms.oxfordjournals.org/cgi/content/short/70/5/915 http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fst002 |
op_rights |
Copyright (C) 2013, International Council for the Exploration of the Sea/Conseil International pour l'Exploration de la Mer |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fst002 |
container_title |
ICES Journal of Marine Science |
container_volume |
70 |
container_issue |
5 |
container_start_page |
915 |
op_container_end_page |
921 |
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1766019446001893376 |