Trends in the incidence and prevalence of atrial fibrillation in Iceland and future projections
Aims Data are scarce on the epidemiology of atrial fibrillation (AF) in Europe. The aim of this study was to examine recent trends in the incidence and prevalence of AF and project the prevalence to the year 2050. Methods and results From 1991 to 2008 a total of 4905 residents of Reykjavik, Iceland...
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2011
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fthighwire:oai:open-archive.highwire.org:europace:13/8/1110 2023-05-15T16:47:18+02:00 Trends in the incidence and prevalence of atrial fibrillation in Iceland and future projections Stefansdottir, Hrafnhildur Aspelund, Thor Gudnason, Vilmundur Arnar, David O. 2011-08-01 00:00:00.0 text/html http://europace.oxfordjournals.org/cgi/content/short/13/8/1110 https://doi.org/10.1093/europace/eur132 en eng Oxford University Press http://europace.oxfordjournals.org/cgi/content/short/13/8/1110 http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/europace/eur132 Copyright (C) 2011, European Heart Rhythm Association of the European Society of Cardiology (ESC) Epidemiology and Burden of Atrial Fibrillation TEXT 2011 fthighwire https://doi.org/10.1093/europace/eur132 2013-05-27T23:47:50Z Aims Data are scarce on the epidemiology of atrial fibrillation (AF) in Europe. The aim of this study was to examine recent trends in the incidence and prevalence of AF and project the prevalence to the year 2050. Methods and results From 1991 to 2008 a total of 4905 residents of Reykjavik, Iceland were diagnosed with AF at the city's main health care centre. The age-standardized incidence of AF increased in women (0.9% per year, 95% CI 0.1–1.8) but not in men (0.1% per year, 95% CI −0.6 to 0.9). The age-standardized prevalence increased per year by 1.8% (95% CI 1.3–2.3) in men and 2.3% (95% CI 1.7–2.9) in women from 1998 to 2008. The number of adults with AF in Iceland is projected to increase from 4495 (prevalence 2.0%) in 2008 to 11 088 (prevalence 3.5%) in 2050, if the incidence of AF and mortality remain constant beyond 2008. However, if the incidence continues to increase as it has and mortality decreases according to projections for the general population, the projected number will rise to 13 583 (prevalence 4.3%). Conclusion In this study in a northern European population, the incidence of AF increased in women but not men from 1991 to 2008. The prevalence of AF is currently high and the number of patients with AF is expected to triple in the next four decades. AF is already a serious public health problem and the burden of this disease could reach epidemic proportions in the coming years. Text Iceland HighWire Press (Stanford University) EP Europace 13 8 1110 1117 |
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HighWire Press (Stanford University) |
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fthighwire |
language |
English |
topic |
Epidemiology and Burden of Atrial Fibrillation |
spellingShingle |
Epidemiology and Burden of Atrial Fibrillation Stefansdottir, Hrafnhildur Aspelund, Thor Gudnason, Vilmundur Arnar, David O. Trends in the incidence and prevalence of atrial fibrillation in Iceland and future projections |
topic_facet |
Epidemiology and Burden of Atrial Fibrillation |
description |
Aims Data are scarce on the epidemiology of atrial fibrillation (AF) in Europe. The aim of this study was to examine recent trends in the incidence and prevalence of AF and project the prevalence to the year 2050. Methods and results From 1991 to 2008 a total of 4905 residents of Reykjavik, Iceland were diagnosed with AF at the city's main health care centre. The age-standardized incidence of AF increased in women (0.9% per year, 95% CI 0.1–1.8) but not in men (0.1% per year, 95% CI −0.6 to 0.9). The age-standardized prevalence increased per year by 1.8% (95% CI 1.3–2.3) in men and 2.3% (95% CI 1.7–2.9) in women from 1998 to 2008. The number of adults with AF in Iceland is projected to increase from 4495 (prevalence 2.0%) in 2008 to 11 088 (prevalence 3.5%) in 2050, if the incidence of AF and mortality remain constant beyond 2008. However, if the incidence continues to increase as it has and mortality decreases according to projections for the general population, the projected number will rise to 13 583 (prevalence 4.3%). Conclusion In this study in a northern European population, the incidence of AF increased in women but not men from 1991 to 2008. The prevalence of AF is currently high and the number of patients with AF is expected to triple in the next four decades. AF is already a serious public health problem and the burden of this disease could reach epidemic proportions in the coming years. |
format |
Text |
author |
Stefansdottir, Hrafnhildur Aspelund, Thor Gudnason, Vilmundur Arnar, David O. |
author_facet |
Stefansdottir, Hrafnhildur Aspelund, Thor Gudnason, Vilmundur Arnar, David O. |
author_sort |
Stefansdottir, Hrafnhildur |
title |
Trends in the incidence and prevalence of atrial fibrillation in Iceland and future projections |
title_short |
Trends in the incidence and prevalence of atrial fibrillation in Iceland and future projections |
title_full |
Trends in the incidence and prevalence of atrial fibrillation in Iceland and future projections |
title_fullStr |
Trends in the incidence and prevalence of atrial fibrillation in Iceland and future projections |
title_full_unstemmed |
Trends in the incidence and prevalence of atrial fibrillation in Iceland and future projections |
title_sort |
trends in the incidence and prevalence of atrial fibrillation in iceland and future projections |
publisher |
Oxford University Press |
publishDate |
2011 |
url |
http://europace.oxfordjournals.org/cgi/content/short/13/8/1110 https://doi.org/10.1093/europace/eur132 |
genre |
Iceland |
genre_facet |
Iceland |
op_relation |
http://europace.oxfordjournals.org/cgi/content/short/13/8/1110 http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/europace/eur132 |
op_rights |
Copyright (C) 2011, European Heart Rhythm Association of the European Society of Cardiology (ESC) |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1093/europace/eur132 |
container_title |
EP Europace |
container_volume |
13 |
container_issue |
8 |
container_start_page |
1110 |
op_container_end_page |
1117 |
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1766037387057561600 |