The emperor penguin - Vulnerable to projected rates of warming and sea ice loss
International audience We argue the need to improve climate change forecasting for ecology, and importantly, how to relate long-term projections to conservation. As an example, we discuss the need for effective management of one species, the emperor penguin, Aptenodyptes forsteri. This species is un...
Published in: | Biological Conservation |
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Main Authors: | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , |
Other Authors: | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , |
Format: | Article in Journal/Newspaper |
Language: | English |
Published: |
HAL CCSD
2020
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Subjects: | |
Online Access: | https://hal.science/hal-02317922 https://hal.science/hal-02317922/document https://hal.science/hal-02317922/file/biol%20cons%202019.pdf https://doi.org/10.1016/j.biocon.2019.108216 |
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fthalin2p3:oai:HAL:hal-02317922v1 |
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record_format |
openpolar |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
HAL-IN2P3 (Institut national de physique nucléaire et de physique des particules) |
op_collection_id |
fthalin2p3 |
language |
English |
topic |
Antarctic Climate change Aptenodyptes forsteri IUCN Red List threat status Protection Conservation [SDE]Environmental Sciences |
spellingShingle |
Antarctic Climate change Aptenodyptes forsteri IUCN Red List threat status Protection Conservation [SDE]Environmental Sciences Trathan, Philip Wienecke, Barbara Barbraud, Christophe Jenouvrier, Stéphanie Kooyman, Gerald Le Bohec, Céline Ainley, David Ancel, André Zitterbart, Daniel Chown, Steven, L. Larue, Michelle Cristofari, Robin Younger, Jane Clucas, Gemma Bost, Charles-André Brown, Jennifer Gillett, Harriet Fretwell, Peter, T The emperor penguin - Vulnerable to projected rates of warming and sea ice loss |
topic_facet |
Antarctic Climate change Aptenodyptes forsteri IUCN Red List threat status Protection Conservation [SDE]Environmental Sciences |
description |
International audience We argue the need to improve climate change forecasting for ecology, and importantly, how to relate long-term projections to conservation. As an example, we discuss the need for effective management of one species, the emperor penguin, Aptenodyptes forsteri. This species is unique amongst birds in that its breeding habit is critically dependent upon seasonal fast ice. Here, we review its vulnerability to ongoing and projected climate change, given that sea ice is susceptible to changes in winds and temperatures. We consider published projections of future emperor penguin population status in response to changing environments. Furthermore, we evaluate the current IUCN Red List status for the species, and recommend that its status be changed to Vulnerable, based on different modelling projections of population decrease of ≥50% over the current century, and the specific traits of the species. We conclude that current conservation measures are inadequate to protect the species under future projected scenarios. Only a reduction in anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions will reduce threats to the emperor penguin from altered wind regimes, rising temperatures and melting sea ice; until such time, other conservation actions are necessary, including increased spatial protection at breeding sites and foraging locations. The designation of large-scale marine spatial protection across its range would benefit the species, particularly in areas that have a high probability of becoming future climate change refugia. We also recommend that the emperor penguin is listed by the Antarctic Treaty as an Antarctic Specially Protected Species, with development of a species Action Plan. |
author2 |
Natural Environment Research Council - British Antarctic Survey Cambridge, UK British Antarctic Survey NERC UK Australian Antarctic Division (AAD) Australian Government, Department of the Environment and Energy Centre d'Études Biologiques de Chizé - UMR 7372 (CEBC) La Rochelle Université (ULR)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement (INRAE) Scholander Hall, Scripps Institution of Oceanography CA, USA Scripps Institution of Oceanography (SIO - UC San Diego) University of California San Diego (UC San Diego) University of California (UC)-University of California (UC)-University of California San Diego (UC San Diego) University of California (UC)-University of California (UC) Département Ecologie, Physiologie et Ethologie (DEPE-IPHC) Institut Pluridisciplinaire Hubert Curien (IPHC) Université de Strasbourg (UNISTRA)-Université de Haute-Alsace (UHA) Mulhouse - Colmar (Université de Haute-Alsace (UHA))-Institut National de Physique Nucléaire et de Physique des Particules du CNRS (IN2P3)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université de Strasbourg (UNISTRA)-Université de Haute-Alsace (UHA) Mulhouse - Colmar (Université de Haute-Alsace (UHA))-Institut National de Physique Nucléaire et de Physique des Particules du CNRS (IN2P3)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS) H.T. Harvey & Associates Ecological Consultants USA H.T. Harvey & Associates-H.T. Harvey and Associates Ecological Consultants USA Applied Ocean Physics and Engineering MA, USA Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (WHOI) School of Biological Sciences VIC, Australia Monash University Australia University of Minnesota MN, USA University of Turku Milner Centre for Evolution University of Bath Bath Cornell Laboratory of Ornithology Cornell University New York Information Services University of Cambridge, UK University of Cambridge UK (CAM) |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Trathan, Philip Wienecke, Barbara Barbraud, Christophe Jenouvrier, Stéphanie Kooyman, Gerald Le Bohec, Céline Ainley, David Ancel, André Zitterbart, Daniel Chown, Steven, L. Larue, Michelle Cristofari, Robin Younger, Jane Clucas, Gemma Bost, Charles-André Brown, Jennifer Gillett, Harriet Fretwell, Peter, T |
author_facet |
Trathan, Philip Wienecke, Barbara Barbraud, Christophe Jenouvrier, Stéphanie Kooyman, Gerald Le Bohec, Céline Ainley, David Ancel, André Zitterbart, Daniel Chown, Steven, L. Larue, Michelle Cristofari, Robin Younger, Jane Clucas, Gemma Bost, Charles-André Brown, Jennifer Gillett, Harriet Fretwell, Peter, T |
author_sort |
Trathan, Philip |
title |
The emperor penguin - Vulnerable to projected rates of warming and sea ice loss |
title_short |
The emperor penguin - Vulnerable to projected rates of warming and sea ice loss |
title_full |
The emperor penguin - Vulnerable to projected rates of warming and sea ice loss |
title_fullStr |
The emperor penguin - Vulnerable to projected rates of warming and sea ice loss |
title_full_unstemmed |
The emperor penguin - Vulnerable to projected rates of warming and sea ice loss |
title_sort |
emperor penguin - vulnerable to projected rates of warming and sea ice loss |
publisher |
HAL CCSD |
publishDate |
2020 |
url |
https://hal.science/hal-02317922 https://hal.science/hal-02317922/document https://hal.science/hal-02317922/file/biol%20cons%202019.pdf https://doi.org/10.1016/j.biocon.2019.108216 |
geographic |
Antarctic The Antarctic |
geographic_facet |
Antarctic The Antarctic |
genre |
Antarc* Antarctic Sea ice |
genre_facet |
Antarc* Antarctic Sea ice |
op_source |
ISSN: 0006-3207 Biological Conservation https://hal.science/hal-02317922 Biological Conservation, 2020, 241, pp.108216. ⟨10.1016/j.biocon.2019.108216⟩ |
op_relation |
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1016/j.biocon.2019.108216 hal-02317922 https://hal.science/hal-02317922 https://hal.science/hal-02317922/document https://hal.science/hal-02317922/file/biol%20cons%202019.pdf doi:10.1016/j.biocon.2019.108216 |
op_rights |
info:eu-repo/semantics/OpenAccess |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.biocon.2019.108216 |
container_title |
Biological Conservation |
container_volume |
241 |
container_start_page |
108216 |
_version_ |
1809825233709826048 |
spelling |
fthalin2p3:oai:HAL:hal-02317922v1 2024-09-09T19:10:20+00:00 The emperor penguin - Vulnerable to projected rates of warming and sea ice loss Trathan, Philip Wienecke, Barbara Barbraud, Christophe Jenouvrier, Stéphanie Kooyman, Gerald Le Bohec, Céline Ainley, David Ancel, André Zitterbart, Daniel Chown, Steven, L. Larue, Michelle Cristofari, Robin Younger, Jane Clucas, Gemma Bost, Charles-André Brown, Jennifer Gillett, Harriet Fretwell, Peter, T Natural Environment Research Council - British Antarctic Survey Cambridge, UK British Antarctic Survey NERC UK Australian Antarctic Division (AAD) Australian Government, Department of the Environment and Energy Centre d'Études Biologiques de Chizé - UMR 7372 (CEBC) La Rochelle Université (ULR)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement (INRAE) Scholander Hall, Scripps Institution of Oceanography CA, USA Scripps Institution of Oceanography (SIO - UC San Diego) University of California San Diego (UC San Diego) University of California (UC)-University of California (UC)-University of California San Diego (UC San Diego) University of California (UC)-University of California (UC) Département Ecologie, Physiologie et Ethologie (DEPE-IPHC) Institut Pluridisciplinaire Hubert Curien (IPHC) Université de Strasbourg (UNISTRA)-Université de Haute-Alsace (UHA) Mulhouse - Colmar (Université de Haute-Alsace (UHA))-Institut National de Physique Nucléaire et de Physique des Particules du CNRS (IN2P3)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université de Strasbourg (UNISTRA)-Université de Haute-Alsace (UHA) Mulhouse - Colmar (Université de Haute-Alsace (UHA))-Institut National de Physique Nucléaire et de Physique des Particules du CNRS (IN2P3)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS) H.T. Harvey & Associates Ecological Consultants USA H.T. Harvey & Associates-H.T. Harvey and Associates Ecological Consultants USA Applied Ocean Physics and Engineering MA, USA Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (WHOI) School of Biological Sciences VIC, Australia Monash University Australia University of Minnesota MN, USA University of Turku Milner Centre for Evolution University of Bath Bath Cornell Laboratory of Ornithology Cornell University New York Information Services University of Cambridge, UK University of Cambridge UK (CAM) 2020 https://hal.science/hal-02317922 https://hal.science/hal-02317922/document https://hal.science/hal-02317922/file/biol%20cons%202019.pdf https://doi.org/10.1016/j.biocon.2019.108216 en eng HAL CCSD Elsevier info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1016/j.biocon.2019.108216 hal-02317922 https://hal.science/hal-02317922 https://hal.science/hal-02317922/document https://hal.science/hal-02317922/file/biol%20cons%202019.pdf doi:10.1016/j.biocon.2019.108216 info:eu-repo/semantics/OpenAccess ISSN: 0006-3207 Biological Conservation https://hal.science/hal-02317922 Biological Conservation, 2020, 241, pp.108216. ⟨10.1016/j.biocon.2019.108216⟩ Antarctic Climate change Aptenodyptes forsteri IUCN Red List threat status Protection Conservation [SDE]Environmental Sciences info:eu-repo/semantics/article Journal articles 2020 fthalin2p3 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.biocon.2019.108216 2024-06-18T23:52:27Z International audience We argue the need to improve climate change forecasting for ecology, and importantly, how to relate long-term projections to conservation. As an example, we discuss the need for effective management of one species, the emperor penguin, Aptenodyptes forsteri. This species is unique amongst birds in that its breeding habit is critically dependent upon seasonal fast ice. Here, we review its vulnerability to ongoing and projected climate change, given that sea ice is susceptible to changes in winds and temperatures. We consider published projections of future emperor penguin population status in response to changing environments. Furthermore, we evaluate the current IUCN Red List status for the species, and recommend that its status be changed to Vulnerable, based on different modelling projections of population decrease of ≥50% over the current century, and the specific traits of the species. We conclude that current conservation measures are inadequate to protect the species under future projected scenarios. Only a reduction in anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions will reduce threats to the emperor penguin from altered wind regimes, rising temperatures and melting sea ice; until such time, other conservation actions are necessary, including increased spatial protection at breeding sites and foraging locations. The designation of large-scale marine spatial protection across its range would benefit the species, particularly in areas that have a high probability of becoming future climate change refugia. We also recommend that the emperor penguin is listed by the Antarctic Treaty as an Antarctic Specially Protected Species, with development of a species Action Plan. Article in Journal/Newspaper Antarc* Antarctic Sea ice HAL-IN2P3 (Institut national de physique nucléaire et de physique des particules) Antarctic The Antarctic Biological Conservation 241 108216 |