Increased El Niño-Southern Oscillation variability under greenhouse warming and the impact on Antarctic ice sheet melt and Southern Ocean warming
Sea surface temperature (SST) variability of El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) underpins its global impact. Future change of ENSO SST variability is a long-standing science issue. In its sixth assessment, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change reports no systematic change in ENSO and IOD SS...
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ftgfzpotsdam:oai:gfzpublic.gfz-potsdam.de:item_5018910 2023-10-01T03:51:58+02:00 Increased El Niño-Southern Oscillation variability under greenhouse warming and the impact on Antarctic ice sheet melt and Southern Ocean warming Cai, W. 2023 https://gfzpublic.gfz-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_5018910 eng eng info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.57757/IUGG23-2982 https://gfzpublic.gfz-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_5018910 XXVIII General Assembly of the International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG) info:eu-repo/semantics/conferenceObject 2023 ftgfzpotsdam https://doi.org/10.57757/IUGG23-2982 2023-09-03T23:42:28Z Sea surface temperature (SST) variability of El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) underpins its global impact. Future change of ENSO SST variability is a long-standing science issue. In its sixth assessment, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change reports no systematic change in ENSO and IOD SST under any emission scenarios considered. However, comparison in a century-long period between the 20th and 21st century shows a robust increase in ENSO and IOD SST variability in some plausible scenarios, with substantial impacts. For example, the increase in ENSO SST variability leads to a reduced Southern Ocean midlatitude warming, an accelerated warming in Antarctic shelf ocean, but a slowed Antarctic sea ice reduction. An increase in ENSO variability leading to a slower intensification of circum-Antarctic warm upwelling is responsible for these impacts. Conference Object Antarc* Antarctic Ice Sheet Sea ice Southern Ocean GFZpublic (German Research Centre for Geosciences, Helmholtz-Zentrum Potsdam) Antarctic Southern Ocean |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
GFZpublic (German Research Centre for Geosciences, Helmholtz-Zentrum Potsdam) |
op_collection_id |
ftgfzpotsdam |
language |
English |
description |
Sea surface temperature (SST) variability of El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) underpins its global impact. Future change of ENSO SST variability is a long-standing science issue. In its sixth assessment, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change reports no systematic change in ENSO and IOD SST under any emission scenarios considered. However, comparison in a century-long period between the 20th and 21st century shows a robust increase in ENSO and IOD SST variability in some plausible scenarios, with substantial impacts. For example, the increase in ENSO SST variability leads to a reduced Southern Ocean midlatitude warming, an accelerated warming in Antarctic shelf ocean, but a slowed Antarctic sea ice reduction. An increase in ENSO variability leading to a slower intensification of circum-Antarctic warm upwelling is responsible for these impacts. |
format |
Conference Object |
author |
Cai, W. |
spellingShingle |
Cai, W. Increased El Niño-Southern Oscillation variability under greenhouse warming and the impact on Antarctic ice sheet melt and Southern Ocean warming |
author_facet |
Cai, W. |
author_sort |
Cai, W. |
title |
Increased El Niño-Southern Oscillation variability under greenhouse warming and the impact on Antarctic ice sheet melt and Southern Ocean warming |
title_short |
Increased El Niño-Southern Oscillation variability under greenhouse warming and the impact on Antarctic ice sheet melt and Southern Ocean warming |
title_full |
Increased El Niño-Southern Oscillation variability under greenhouse warming and the impact on Antarctic ice sheet melt and Southern Ocean warming |
title_fullStr |
Increased El Niño-Southern Oscillation variability under greenhouse warming and the impact on Antarctic ice sheet melt and Southern Ocean warming |
title_full_unstemmed |
Increased El Niño-Southern Oscillation variability under greenhouse warming and the impact on Antarctic ice sheet melt and Southern Ocean warming |
title_sort |
increased el niño-southern oscillation variability under greenhouse warming and the impact on antarctic ice sheet melt and southern ocean warming |
publishDate |
2023 |
url |
https://gfzpublic.gfz-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_5018910 |
geographic |
Antarctic Southern Ocean |
geographic_facet |
Antarctic Southern Ocean |
genre |
Antarc* Antarctic Ice Sheet Sea ice Southern Ocean |
genre_facet |
Antarc* Antarctic Ice Sheet Sea ice Southern Ocean |
op_source |
XXVIII General Assembly of the International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG) |
op_relation |
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.57757/IUGG23-2982 https://gfzpublic.gfz-potsdam.de/pubman/item/item_5018910 |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.57757/IUGG23-2982 |
_version_ |
1778517371660533760 |